ClaimsMarc Andreessen

“it's entirely possible that there are fundamentally better neural network architectures that we will now invent.”

Marc Andreessen, venture capitalist, interviewee 12 June 2023 Marc Andreessen on Why AI Will Save the World (EconTalk) archived copy

Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

It is entirely possible that fundamentally better neural network architectures will now be invented.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Prediction with no horizon and 'fundamentally better' is undefined.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “It is entirely possible that fundamentally better neural network architectures will now be invented.” (said 12 June 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_3e56f57ee924, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3e56f57ee924

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Marc Andreessen

  1. Mixed Prediction 12 June 2023
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  2. Mostly true Prediction 12 June 2023
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  3. Mostly true Prediction 26 January 2025
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    The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 26 January 2025
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  5. Mostly false Prediction 2 September 2023
    “they have a law that looks like it may pass as soon as October that effectively bans AI inside the Eu.”

    The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.

All of them

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