ClaimsTyler Cowen

“That doesn't mean the UFOs are aliens. I give that something ranging between 1 percent and 10 percent, depending on my mood on a given day.”

Tyler Cowen, host 29 December 2021 Conversations with Tyler 2021 Retrospective (Ep. 139) (Conversations with Tyler) archived copy

Factual Other

Tyler Cowen gave his personal estimate that UFOs are aliens as somewhere between 1 and 10 percent, depending on his mood on a given day.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Reasoning

A subjective probability estimate about aliens that no public record can verify.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “Tyler Cowen gave his personal estimate that UFOs are aliens as somewhere between 1 and 10 percent, depending on his mood on a given day.” (said 29 December 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_2d069f5bb62d, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_2d069f5bb62d

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Tyler Cowen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.