Brooks said that, as of the end of 2022, he could not find a single video of a demo of an actual eVTOL flight profile with actual people aboard, of the sort said to generate eVTOL taxi revenue by 2025.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
True if no publicly available video existed by 31 December 2022 showing an eVTOL from a company targeting air-taxi revenue by 2025 flying a realistic passenger flight profile (vertical take-off, transition to wing-borne cruise, landing) with people aboard. Mostly true if such videos existed only for flights that fall short in a minor respect, e.g. a pilot only and no passengers, or a partial profile. Mixed if it is genuinely unclear whether existing videos meet the description. Mostly false if one or more such videos existed but were obscure or arguably not 'actual' operations. False if a clear, publicly released video of a piloted or passenger-carrying full-transition eVTOL flight of that kind existed by the end of 2022.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (6)
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E1 Archer Completes Maker's First Full Transition Flight Archer (BUSINESS WIRE release) · 1 December 2022
“today announced that Maker successfully completed its first transition to full wing-borne flight on November 29, 2022.”
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E2 Archer's Maker eVTOL Demos Transition To Wing-borne Flight | Aviation Week Aviation Week · 2 December 2022
“The technology demonstrator aircraft took off vertically and climbed to an altitude of about 240 ft. and then accelerated to a horizontal airspeed of 91 kt. (105 mph)”
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E3 Archer eVTOL prototype conducts first full transition flight - AeroTime AeroTime · 2 December 2022
“California-based manufacturer Archer Aviation completed the first full transition flight of Maker, a two-seater electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft.”
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E4 Archer Aviation's Maker eVTOL makes transition from vertical to cruise flight Military & Aerospace Electronics · 6 December 2022
“Archer Aviation Inc. said its Maker prototype eVTOL aircraft made its first transition from a vertical takeoff, powered-lift mode of flight to fully wingborne forward flight.”
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E5 Vertical Aerospace begins eVTOL flight tests, with a pilot on board New Atlas · 27 September 2022
“presumably this is why VA thought it best not to provide any photos or video of what was probably not the most spectacular of events.”
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E6 Vertical Aerospace Ltd. Form 6-K, Exhibit 99.1: Third Quarter 2022 Financial Results Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (filed with the US SEC) · 9 November 2022
“To date, under its CAA Permit to Fly, Vertical has undertaken 14 piloted flight tests and 5.5 hours of continuous propeller turning test operations.”
Reasoning
E1–E4 confirm that Archer's Maker made a full transition from vertical take-off to wing-borne flight in November 2022. None of them says whether anyone was aboard or whether video was released. E5 reports that Vertical Aerospace did not provide any photos or video of its piloted flight, and E6 records that Vertical carried out 14 piloted flight tests but says nothing about full transition or video. These items cover only two companies and do not show whether any qualifying video with people aboard existed across the eVTOL field by the end of 2022, so the claim cannot be settled either way.
Cite this claim
Rodney Brooks, “Brooks said that, as of the end of 2022, he could not find a single video of a demo of an actual eVTOL flight profile with actual people aboard, of the sort said to generate eVTOL taxi revenue by 2025.” (said 1 January 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_2ce278d6ee76, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_2ce278d6ee76
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Rodney Brooks
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Mostly true
“Zoox has purpose built vehicles that have no steering wheel or pedals for brake or accelerator.”
Zoox has purpose-built vehicles with no steering wheel or brake and accelerator pedals.
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Mixed
“In the early days of robots for hospitals and for hospitality (i.e., hotels) and for managed care facilities for the elderly, it was first necessary to install Wi-Fi in the buildings as it was needed…”
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Mostly true
“The Roomba was an easy sale, not just for its price, but because it did not demand that people had to install some infrastructure in their home environment before they could have a Roomba clean their…”
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Mostly true
“I did an analysis of the lack of videos showing any practical looking flights of any potential eVTOL solution”
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Resolved true
“The long tail is not solved by learning, fire chief not happy with humanless vehicles in SF”
The San Francisco fire chief is unhappy with driverless vehicles in the city.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.