ClaimsRodney Brooks

“There is an enormous supply chain for standard sized bolts, so they are way cheaper than custom sized bolts, by two or three orders of magnitude.”

Rodney Brooks, blog author 29 September 2024 Tips For Building and Deploying Robots (rodneybrooks.com) archived copy

Factual Economics and markets

Standard-sized bolts are two to three orders of magnitude cheaper than custom-sized bolts because of their enormous supply chain.

Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Test: standard-sized bolts cost roughly 100 to 1000 times less than custom-sized bolts, and their large supply chain explains why. True: industry pricing data or credible engineering sources show per-unit price ratios typically of about 100x to 1000x between standard and custom bolts, and attribute the gap to scale and supply chain. Mostly true: standard bolts are much cheaper because of scale and supply chain, but typical ratios fall somewhat outside the range (for example about 30x to 100x, or above 1000x). Mixed: the ratio depends heavily on quantity, with typical cases only sometimes reaching two orders of magnitude. Mostly false: custom bolts are typically only a few times to about 10x more expensive. False: there is no material price difference. Rough figures are acceptable given the claim's own 'two or three orders of magnitude' precision.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 When Do You Need Custom Screws Instead of Standard Screws? CNC Machining Shops · 5 June 2026

    “The unit price of custom screws is higher than standard equivalents by a factor that ranges from 3× (simple dimensional modification in standard material) to 10–20× (exotic material, tight tolerance, proprietary drive, small volume).”
  2. E2 Custom Head Style Fasteners: A Complete B2B Guide for Southeast Asian Exporters Alibaba.com Seller Central blog · 26 March 2026

    “Custom fasteners cost 5x-10x more than standard, with 6-12 month development cycles and USD 500-5000 tooling fees [5]”
  3. E3 How to Customize Fasteners Through OEM Services? Bobfast · 27 November 2025

    “Custom fasteners do come with a price tag about 15 to 30 percent higher than what we see with standard parts, but looking at the bigger picture shows they're worth every penny.”

Reasoning

Three independent industry sources put the price premium for custom fasteners well below the claimed two to three orders of magnitude. E1 gives a unit-price premium of about 3x to 10–20x, E2 gives 5x–10x, and E3 says custom fasteners cost about 15–30% more. None of them attributes the gap to supply-chain scale. That matches the criteria's 'mostly false' band (custom bolts typically a few times to about 10x more expensive), though these are vendor blogs rather than systematic pricing data.

Cite this claim

Rodney Brooks, “Standard-sized bolts are two to three orders of magnitude cheaper than custom-sized bolts because of their enormous supply chain.” (said 29 September 2024). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_239df121a308, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_239df121a308

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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All of them

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