ClaimsMark Zuckerberg

“You'll probably have a photo realistic avatar for work, a stylized one for hanging out and maybe even a fantasy one for gaming.”

Mark Zuckerberg, Meta CEO, keynote 28 October 2021 Meta (Facebook) Connect 2021 Metaverse Event Transcript (Rev)

Prediction Technology

People will probably have a photorealistic avatar for work, a stylized one for socializing and perhaps a fantasy one for gaming.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Hedged prediction with no horizon or measure.

Cite this claim

Mark Zuckerberg, “People will probably have a photorealistic avatar for work, a stylized one for socializing and perhaps a fantasy one for gaming.” (said 28 October 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_20e99bdb4dca, method 0.1.0+3f84d14d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_20e99bdb4dca

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Mark Zuckerberg, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Mark Zuckerberg

  1. Mostly true Prediction 28 September 2023
    “I think Quest 3 is going to be the first device like this that millions of people are going to get that’s mixed reality.”

    Zuckerberg said he thinks Quest 3 is going to be the first mixed reality device that millions of people get.

  2. Mixed Prediction 10 January 2025
    “it will also mean that we will dramatically reduce the amount of people whose accounts were taking off for a mistake, which is just a terrible experience.”

    Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 10 January 2025
    “changing the content filters to have to require higher confidence and precision is actually going to be the thing that reduces the vast majority of the censorship mistakes that we make.”

    Changing Meta's content filters to require higher confidence and precision will reduce the vast majority of Meta's censorship mistakes.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 18 April 2024
    “This is only a matter of time but it's not going to be next year.”

    A 1GW data center will be built eventually, but not in 2025 (next year).

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.