ClaimsMark Zuckerberg

“I think that there are going to be uses for both the expressive and the photorealistic over time.”

Mark Zuckerberg, Meta CEO, interviewee 28 September 2023 Transcript for Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse (Lex Fridman Podcast)

Prediction Technology

Zuckerberg said he thinks there will be uses for both expressive and photorealistic avatars over time, and added that he does not know what the balance between them will be.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Open-ended prediction with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Mark Zuckerberg, “Zuckerberg said he thinks there will be uses for both expressive and photorealistic avatars over time, and added that he does not know what the balance between them will be.” (said 28 September 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_1b4a5acdb945, method 0.1.0+3f84d14d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_1b4a5acdb945

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Mark Zuckerberg, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Mark Zuckerberg

  1. Mostly true Prediction 28 September 2023
    “I think Quest 3 is going to be the first device like this that millions of people are going to get that’s mixed reality.”

    Zuckerberg said he thinks Quest 3 is going to be the first mixed reality device that millions of people get.

  2. Mixed Prediction 10 January 2025
    “it will also mean that we will dramatically reduce the amount of people whose accounts were taking off for a mistake, which is just a terrible experience.”

    Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 10 January 2025
    “changing the content filters to have to require higher confidence and precision is actually going to be the thing that reduces the vast majority of the censorship mistakes that we make.”

    Changing Meta's content filters to require higher confidence and precision will reduce the vast majority of Meta's censorship mistakes.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 18 April 2024
    “This is only a matter of time but it's not going to be next year.”

    A 1GW data center will be built eventually, but not in 2025 (next year).

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.