Political assassination has already made a big comeback.

Judged as of 2026-03-04. True: data or analysis shows a marked increase in political assassinations or assassination attempts in recent years (roughly 2020–2026) compared with the preceding decades, in the US or globally (for example the Trump attempts, the killings of Abe, Charlie Kirk and Minnesota legislators, and the Fico shooting). Mostly true: there is a clear increase, but 'big comeback' somewhat overstates it, or it is clear mainly in the US. Mixed: incidents have risen but the trend is ambiguous by historical comparison. Mostly false: a few high-profile cases are generalised into a trend that the data does not show. False: the data shows no increase or a decline.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 New Data from Princeton SPIA Initiative Shows Political Violence in U.S. is on the Rise | Princeton School of Public and International Affairs Princeton School of Public and International Affairs (Bridging Divides Initiative) · 2 April 2026

   “After a series of fluctuations since the heights of 2020 and 2021, political violence is back on the rise.”

2. E2 11 years after the Parliament Hill shooting, is Canada doing enough to tackle political violence? The Conversation · 19 October 2025

   “According to the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, plots against government targets in the past five years are nearly triple what they’ve been in the past 25 years combined.”

3. E3 As threats climb, political violence debate roils Congress again - Roll Call Roll Call · 28 January 2026

   “Threat cases tracked by Capitol Police rose in 2025 for the third year in a row, according to annual totals released Tuesday.”

4. E4 The Details Virginia Quarterly Review · 12 February 2026

   “Since 1782, political assassinations have felled four presidents, thirteen members of Congress, three federal judges, four governors, thirty-four state legislators, six state judges, and dozens more political figures.”

The evidence shows rising political violence in the US [E1], rising threat cases [E3] and more plots against government targets [E2]. None of it measures political assassinations or assassination attempts specifically. E4 gives only a cumulative historical count with no rate over time. So the evidence does not settle the claim under the criteria.