ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“the stock market values for so-called “B to B” (Business to Business) and “B to C” (Business to Consumer) web portals and enabling technologies is likely to come back strongly as it becomes clear that economic transactions are indeed escalating toward e-commerce”

Ray Kurzweil, essay author January 2001 The Law of Accelerating Returns (Kurzweil Library) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Stock values of B2B and B2C web portals and enabling technologies are likely to come back strongly as e-commerce escalates and surviving firms show profitable models.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Vague prediction ('likely', 'come back strongly') with no horizon or defined set of stocks.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “Stock values of B2B and B2C web portals and enabling technologies are likely to come back strongly as e-commerce escalates and surviving firms show profitable models.” (said January 2001). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_13acff27a50f, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_13acff27a50f

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More prediction claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Mostly false Prediction January 2001
    “my prediction is that indeed these views will prevail, but only over time, as more and more evidence of the exponential nature of technology and its impact on the economy becomes apparent.”

    Exponential-outlook views of the economy will prevail gradually over the next several years, producing a strong continuing updraft for the stock market.

  2. Mostly false Prediction May 2020
    “This is where combining AI with biotechnology is headed, and within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done this way.”

    Within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done by combining AI with biotechnology.

  3. Mostly false Prediction 3 June 2015
    “We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves.”

    Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 12 December 2002
    “Ten or 15 years from now we’ll go to the third dimension.”

    Ten or 15 years after 2002, computing will move to three-dimensional circuits as integrated circuits run out of steam.

  5. Mostly false Prediction January 2001
    “Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they have read, by the second decade of the twenty-first century.”

    Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.

All of them

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