ClaimsDario Amodei

“I really think where this is going is that AI is going to be better than almost all humans at almost all things.”

Dario Amodei, Anthropic CEO 10 March 2025 CEO Speaker Series with Dario Amodei of Anthropic (Council on Foreign Relations) archived copy

Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

AI will become better than almost all humans at almost all things.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

The prediction has no horizon in the claim, and 'almost all' is vague.

Cite this claim

Dario Amodei, “AI will become better than almost all humans at almost all things.” (said 10 March 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_13022c6ca36d, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_13022c6ca36d

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Dario Amodei, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Dario Amodei

  1. Resolved false Prediction 10 March 2025
    “where AI is writing 90 percent of the code”

    Within three to six months of March 2025, AI will be writing 90 percent of code.

  2. Resolved false Prediction 10 March 2025
    “And then in twelve months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code”

    Within twelve months of March 2025, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 10 March 2025
    “We may actually hit that this year”

    Anthropic's models may reach AI Safety Level 3 in 2025.

  4. Mostly false Prediction 23 September 2026
    “We believe AI for biology is on a similar exponential trend.”

    Amodei said that "we" believe AI for biology is on an exponential trend similar to the one he described for AI in mathematics.

  5. Mostly true Prediction 28 February 2026
    “We're gonna be fine. The-- the impact of this designation is fairly small.”

    Anthropic will be fine, and the impact of the supply chain risk designation on it will be fairly small.

All of them

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