ClaimsRodney Brooks

“Hardware on the other hand has significant marginal cost to deploy.”

Rodney Brooks, writing on his blog 7 September 2017 [FoR&AI] The Seven Deadly Sins of Predicting the Future of AI (rodneybrooks.com) archived copy

Factual Technology

Hardware has a significant marginal cost to deploy.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

A general economic claim, judged as of September 2017. True: economic and industry sources show that deploying each additional unit of hardware has a substantial per-unit cost (materials, manufacturing, shipping, installation), especially compared with software's near-zero marginal cost. Mostly true: this holds for most physical hardware, with some narrow exceptions. Mixed: the evidence shows hardware marginal costs are significant in some important categories but negligible in many others. Mostly false: hardware marginal deployment costs are generally shown to be small. False: hardware has been shown to have essentially no marginal deployment cost.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (2)

  1. E1 Digital Economics - NBER NBER (Avi Goldfarb and Catherine Tucker) · 13 December 2017

    “Put differently, the cost of distribution for digital goods approaches zero and the difference in the cost of nearby and distant communication approaches zero.”
  2. E2 Roomba’s Father Says Robots Will Evolve - EE Times EE Times · 16 November 2017

    “Today, more than half the cost of a factory robot goes to systems integrators who configure it with sensors and train it, typically writing custom programs and generating proprietary data that stays on the factory floor.”

Reasoning

E1, an NBER economics review, says the distribution cost of digital goods approaches zero, which sets up the contrast with physical goods the claim relies on. It does not give per-unit hardware costs. E2 says more than half the cost of a factory robot goes to systems integrators who configure and train it, so deploying each robot carries a large per-unit cost. Together these independent sources broadly support the claim, but they are indirect and cover limited categories, so the verdict is mostly true rather than true.

Cite this claim

Rodney Brooks, “Hardware has a significant marginal cost to deploy.” (said 7 September 2017). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_0ec8208f5c27, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0ec8208f5c27

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Rodney Brooks, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Rodney Brooks

  1. Mostly true Factual 1 January 2025
    “Zoox has purpose built vehicles that have no steering wheel or pedals for brake or accelerator.”

    Zoox has purpose-built vehicles with no steering wheel or brake and accelerator pedals.

  2. Mixed Factual 29 September 2024
    “In the early days of robots for hospitals and for hospitality (i.e., hotels) and for managed care facilities for the elderly, it was first necessary to install Wi-Fi in the buildings as it was needed…”

    In the early days of robots for hospitals, hotels and managed care facilities, Wi-Fi first had to be installed in buildings so the robots could know what to do next.

  3. Mostly true Factual 29 September 2024
    “The Roomba was an easy sale, not just for its price, but because it did not demand that people had to install some infrastructure in their home environment before they could have a Roomba clean their…”

    The Roomba did not require customers to install any infrastructure before use; it needed only a standard electrical outlet for its charger.

  4. Mostly true Factual 1 January 2024
    “I did an analysis of the lack of videos showing any practical looking flights of any potential eVTOL solution”

    In late 2022 Brooks analysed the lack of videos showing any practical-looking flights of any eVTOL vehicle, despite multi-billion dollar company valuations.

  5. Resolved true Factual 22 June 2023
    “The long tail is not solved by learning, fire chief not happy with humanless vehicles in SF”

    The San Francisco fire chief is unhappy with driverless vehicles in the city.

All of them

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