ClaimsGiveWell

“We will also publish winning entries online (anonymously, if requested).”

GiveWell, unsigned organisational page 6 April 2022 GiveWell's Change Our Mind Contest (GiveWell) archived copy

Promise Science and research methods

GiveWell will publish winning contest entries online, anonymously if requested.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

What would count as true or false

True: GiveWell published the winning entries of its 2022 Change Our Mind contest online (full text or links to it), with anonymity where requested. Mostly true: most winning entries were published online, with one omitted or only summarized. Mostly false: winners were only named or summarized, with no entry content published. False: GiveWell's winner announcement and site carry no published winning entries, or GiveWell states they would not be published. GiveWell's own claim to have published them counts only if the entries can actually be found online.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 files.givewell.org › files › Change_Our_ContestModelling approach - files.givewell.org files.givewell.org (GiveWell file host) · October 2022 Own record

    “This is a submission to GiveWell’s competition to appraise their cost-effectiveness models. We have chosen to review the model around Conditional Cash Transfers for vaccination.”

  2. E2 The winners of the Change Our Mind Contest—and some reflections - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog · 15 December 2022 Own record

    “Winners are listed below, followed by our reflections on this contest and responses to the winners.”

  3. E3 1 The Clear Fund dba GiveWell Own record

    “GiveWell may publish or otherwise make Entries publicly viewable.”

Reasoning

E1 shows the full text of one honorable-mention entry (Field and Naik) hosted on GiveWell's file server, so at least some winning content is online and the 'mostly false' and 'false' outcomes do not fit. The winners announcement (E2), as fetched, lists winners by name and title but shows no links to the entries, and the contest terms (E3) only reserve a right to publish. With only one entry confirmed online, the evidence does not show whether most or all winning entries were published, so the claim cannot be placed as true or mostly true.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell will publish winning contest entries online, anonymously if requested.” (said 6 April 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_0b327d0167ae, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0b327d0167ae

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For GiveWell, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More promise claims by GiveWell

  1. Delivered on time Promise 6 April 2022
    “The first-place winning entry will receive $20,000, the runner-up will receive $10,000, and the honorable mention will receive $5,000.”

    GiveWell will award $20,000 to the first-place entry, $10,000 to the runner-up and $5,000 to the honorable mention in its contest.

  2. Delivered on time Promise 6 April 2022
    “Winners will be announced by December 15, 2022.”

    GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022.

  3. Mostly false Promise 28 May 2020
    “We hope to conduct in-depth reviews of one to two other charities (most likely Precision Agriculture for Development and/or Sanku, though possibly others) as well, but may have limited capacity to do…”

    GiveWell hopes to conduct in-depth reviews of one to two other charities in 2020, most likely Precision Agriculture for Development and/or Sanku, but may have limited capacity due to COVID-19 work.

  4. Mostly true Promise 28 May 2020
    “We will make these grants if we believe they are more cost-effective than the opportunities to which we would otherwise direct funds.”

    GiveWell will make additional COVID-19 response grants if it believes they are more cost-effective than the opportunities to which it would otherwise direct funds.

  5. Mostly true Promise 28 May 2020
    “This year, we expect to complete our review of the RCT results and to make a decision about whether to direct additional funding to support New Incentives’ work.”

    In 2020 GiveWell will complete its review of the New Incentives RCT results and decide whether to direct additional funding to New Incentives.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.