ClaimsElon Musk

“So in five years, I don't know, probably somebody has figured it out.”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, on earnings call 26 January 2023 Tesla Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Within about five years, some competitor will probably have caught up with Tesla.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

deadline 2028 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Within about five years, some competitor will probably have caught up with Tesla.” (said 26 January 2023). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_0a4c71faf523, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0a4c71faf523

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Elon Musk, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Elon Musk

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  2. Mostly false Prediction 27 January 2026
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  3. Mostly false Prediction 30 December 2024
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  4. Mostly false Prediction 26 January 2023
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    Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024.

  5. Mostly false Prediction 26 January 2023
    “I think there would be demand for that, too.”

    Musk said Tesla was not committing to it, but he thought there would also be demand for the potential of about 2 million vehicles in 2023.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.