ClaimsRay Dalio

“in terms of my actual track record, I’ve probably been right about 65 percent of the time.”

Ray Dalio, interviewee 22 February 2025 Full Transcript: Ray Dalio on The Tucker Carlson Show (Singju Post) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

Dalio said that, in terms of his actual track record, he has probably been right about 65 percent of the time.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Reasoning

Dalio's stated hit rate rests on his own record of his calls, which only the subject's own records could settle.

Cite this claim

Ray Dalio, “Dalio said that, in terms of his actual track record, he has probably been right about 65 percent of the time.” (said 22 February 2025). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_07dfe5407ab4, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_07dfe5407ab4

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More factual claims by Ray Dalio

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  2. Resolved true Factual 7 March 2023
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  3. Resolved true Factual 22 March 2021
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  4. Mostly true Factual 25 October 2020
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  5. Mostly true Factual 25 October 2020
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All of them

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