Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
78 72 83 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
64 43 83 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 77 (likely 71 to 82, high confidence), from 84 claims: 79 factual claims, 5 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Yann LeCun's claims
3 claims
| Verdict | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not yet due | Prediction | 8 Mar 2024 | He thinks the next decade will be really interesting for robots. He said the robotics industry has been waiting 10 to 20 years to emerge without really doing so, apart from pre-programmed behaviour. Prediction · 8 Mar 2024 | AI capabilities |
| Not yet due | Prediction | 8 Mar 2024 | LeCun said he thinks that over the next few years there will be many AI systems with planning capability, and that their blueprint will be extremely different from autoregressive LLMs. Prediction · 8 Mar 2024 | AI capabilities |
| Not yet due | Prediction | 8 Mar 2024 | Building AI systems with world models, planning and hierarchical representations like the human brain will take at least a decade, probably much more. Prediction · 8 Mar 2024 | AI timelines and forecasting |
“The next decade I think is going to be really interesting in robots”
Yann LeCun, interviewee 8 March 2024 Transcript for Yann Lecun: Meta AI, Open Source, Limits of LLMs, AGI & the Future of AI (Lex Fridman Podcast)
He thinks the next decade will be really interesting for robots. He said the robotics industry has been waiting 10 to 20 years to emerge without really doing so, apart from pre-programmed behaviour.
Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.
Reasoning
deadline 2034 is after 2026-11-04
Cite this claim
Yann LeCun, “He thinks the next decade will be really interesting for robots. He said the robotics industry has been waiting 10 to 20 years to emerge without really doing so, apart from pre-programmed behaviour.” (said 8 March 2024). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_3aa80aefb81e, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3aa80aefb81e
Claims without a verdict
- Unresolvable 110
- Not yet due 3
- Not researched 309
- Not checkable 669
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