Yann LeCun

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

• Factual claims

  Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

  78 72 83

  High confidence, 79 factual claims resolved. From 16 documents, 2006 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 33 candidates found.

  Not scored: 43 unresolvable.

  See the factual claims

• Predictions

  Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

  64 43 83

  Low confidence, 5 predictions resolved. From 4 documents, 2010 to 2024; 19 documents sampled from 33 candidates found.

  Not scored: 66 unresolvable. 3 more fall due later.

  Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

  See the predictions

• Promises

  Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

  Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.

  Not scored: 1 unresolvable.

  See the promises

All types combined: 77 (likely 71 to 82, high confidence), from 84 claims: 79 factual claims, 5 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.