| Not yet due |
Promise |
21 Oct 2026 |
A transcript with video and audio of the entire 2026 Microsoft Annual Meeting will be available on the Microsoft Investor Relations website after the meeting.
Promise · 21 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Promise |
21 Oct 2026 |
Microsoft's 2026 Annual Meeting on December 8, 2026 will be followed by a question and answer session.
Promise · 21 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Promise |
21 Oct 2026 |
Microsoft's 2026 virtual Annual Shareholders Meeting on December 8, 2026 will be conducted and made available via webcast.
Promise · 21 Oct 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
In a Land O'Lakes agent example shown at Build, a 5B-parameter model delivered the same outcome as a 500B-parameter model.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
4 Jun 2026 |
GitHub and GitHub Copilot will offer both Anthropic (Claude) and other models.
Promise · 4 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft built SQL Server in partnership with SAP.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft's free cash flow is currently being allocated to capital return in a sensible way, per Nadella.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft allocates compute across three buckets: its hyperscale (Azure) business, its own application business, and its own research compute.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft gave at most a little more compute to Azure last quarter, and it was supply-constrained.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
After moving to the cloud, Microsoft sold many more subscriptions because customers who never bought its servers bought subscriptions.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft's MAI models are already fully competitive on the frontier with the other general models.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft's earlier fine-tuning effort did not work well because it lacked the tools and data collection regime.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft's infrastructure business margin dollars are close to exceeding the total margin dollars from its high-margin businesses.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jun 2026 |
The biggest value proposition of a Windows machine in the enterprise will be unmetered intelligence.
Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jun 2026 |
OpenAI may go public and become a trillion-dollar company.
Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Own records only |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Some of Microsoft's model performance gains come from reverse knowledge distillation (RKLD) using OpenAI IP, plus reinforcement learning on top.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Overall margin dollars from Microsoft's infrastructure business may be higher, even though it is not a higher-margin business; he added that these margin dollars are getting close to being higher than the total margin dollars from Microsoft's high-margin businesses.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jun 2026 |
In future, firms will have both human capital and token capital, and will need their own hill-climbing machine for the token capital.
Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft showed at Build that an efficiently trained reasoning or coding model can hill-climb using a customer's traces and be more token-efficient.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jun 2026 |
Licensing MAI models through Microsoft Foundry will grow Foundry revenue.
Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft will allow anyone to bring models they fine-tune or build, including open-weight models, into Copilot.
Promise · 4 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft cannot currently add more new AI labs (Neolabs) as Azure customers, does not sell raw GPUs to them, and turns some business away.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Own records only |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft aims not to use distillation during its own hill-climbing of its models, except at the very end.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jun 2026 |
Once software is priced by consumption, customers will optimize their usage.
Prediction · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
4 Jun 2026 |
Every Microsoft product will offer Anthropic, OpenAI and MAI models, plus the ability to bring your own models.
Promise · 4 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
4 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft did not raise M365 prices for more than a decade, thanks to software efficiencies on top of hardware.
Factual · 4 Jun 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Own records only |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft used the Discovery agentic loop to accelerate its quantum work, compressing years of research into the last year.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft will ship an agent runtime and platform both with Windows and as part of Foundry in Azure.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
Cowork came as a new way of working that generates artifacts and solves multistep problems, and users assign multistep tasks to it.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Nadella said "we" would be back at the same venue at 6pm on the evening of 2 June 2026, the day he spoke.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Homebrew will be available natively on Windows.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
In the coming months Microsoft will build Autopilots out into a complete digital team of autopilots inside Copilot.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
QuNorth will have a quantum computer powered by atom computers (described as 'natural atom computers') with Microsoft's stack in it.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Nadella said that in summer 2026 coding would be brought to all knowledge work within one Copilot super app.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
With the Rayfin SDK, apps built in Replit can be deployed with their data into an enterprise-managed Fabric tenant.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft is expanding Agent 365 to cover local agents running on Windows and other clouds.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft will use its new AI accelerator to power Microsoft 365 Copilot.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft announced HorizonDB, a fully managed PostgreSQL service on Azure.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
MXC is a new policy layer that lets Windows apply isolation and containment using AI-native or other OS-native primitives.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true |
Promise |
2 Jun 2026 |
Microsoft will offer Nvidia's models and tooling in Microsoft Foundry.
Promise · 2 Jun 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
Developers can now use a full local agentic loop with tool access to build on-device agentic applications without round trips to the cloud.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
Agents built in Foundry hosted agents have tools, durability, memory and state.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Factual |
2 Jun 2026 |
Nadella said that in Microsoft's internal testing, Horizon is delivering something like 3X the throughput of any self-managed PostgreSQL setup.
Factual · 2 Jun 2026 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Microsoft has been building its own silicon in various forms for a long time.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Over 1,500 customers have used both Anthropic and OpenAI models on Microsoft Foundry.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
28 Jan 2026 |
Over 250 customers are on track to process over one trillion tokens on Foundry this year.
Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Over 80% of the Fortune 500 have active agents built using Microsoft's low-code/no-code tools (Copilot Studio and Agent Builder).
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Microsoft introduced Agent 365 in the quarter ended December 2025, letting organizations extend governance, identity, security and management to agents.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Microsoft 365 Copilot had its biggest quarter-over-quarter improvement in response quality to date.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
28 Jan 2026 |
Microsoft's total addressable market will grow substantially across every layer of the tech stack as AI diffusion accelerates.
Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Own records only |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Microsoft uses software to continuously run even the latest AI models on its aging server fleet, which extends the fleet's useful duration.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
Microsoft's latest SQL Server is growing as an IaaS service in Azure.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
AI inferencing, like AI training, requires a lot of compute and a lot of storage located close to that compute.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
28 Jan 2026 |
GitHub Copilot Pro+ subscriptions for individual developers increased 77% quarter-over-quarter.
Factual · 28 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jan 2026 |
AI deployment for real-world impact will evolve from standalone models to systems.
Prediction · 4 Jan 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Jan 2026 |
Future AI systems will build rich scaffolds that orchestrate multiple models and agents, account for memory and entitlements, and enable rich and safe tool use.
Prediction · 4 Jan 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Own records only |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Microsoft 365 Copilot had its largest quarter of seat additions since launch, with a record number of customers returning to buy more seats.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Some customers not previously on Azure are increasingly on it, perhaps having come for AI, and are now staying for more than AI.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
SaaS applications are also building autonomous agents.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Hundreds of partners including Adobe, SAP, ServiceNow and Workday have built third-party agents integrating with Copilot and Teams.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Satya Nadella said that he and Amy Hood track not only head app usage but also the Tier 2 applications that are being built.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Microsoft is seeing a massive increase in usage of GitHub Copilot Code Review Agent, even where other tools such as Claude Code were used to write the code.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Azure annual revenue in fiscal 2025 surpassed $75 billion, up 34%, with growth across all workloads.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
Jul 2025 |
Quantum computing will be the next big accelerator in the cloud.
Prediction · Jul 2025 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
80% of the Fortune 500 use Azure AI Foundry.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Customers are adopting Microsoft 365 Copilot at a faster rate than any other new Microsoft 365 suite.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Jul 2025 |
Through software optimization alone, Microsoft delivers 90% more GPT-4o-family tokens per GPU than a year ago.
Factual · Jul 2025 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2025 |
Nadella said that "it" went from being a joke to being standard issue within months.
Factual · 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2025 |
Microsoft Office was first created for the Mac, before Windows existed.
Factual · 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2025 |
When Nadella became CEO in 2014, Microsoft was behind in both mobile and cloud.
Factual · 2025 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Nissan partnered with Microsoft to create a model predicting EV battery performance over time, improving it by about 80%.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft and Atom Computing will make available a commercial quantum discovery suite combining Azure science solutions and Atom's quantum hardware for companies and labs.
Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Delivered on time |
Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft will offer $4 million in rewards in a new hacking event focused on securing cloud and AI, culminating in an in-person event next year.
Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
A customer using Copilot to draft incident reports now completes analysis in a day that previously took weeks.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
With point-in-time restore, Windows 365 customers can be up and running in minutes and roll back a Cloud PC to its exact earlier state.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
19 Nov 2024 |
Satya Nadella said he thinks Microsoft Research's AI-driven protein simulation system is a breakthrough that will help biomedical research and advances in drug discovery, protein design and enzyme engineering.
Prediction · 19 Nov 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Azure Quantum provides virtualization technology that can extend any type of qubit, detect and correct errors in physical qubits.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Own records only |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Copilot responses are more than two times faster on average and response satisfaction has improved nearly threefold.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
19 Nov 2024 |
Adding 100 reliable logical qubits could achieve scientific quantum advantage.
Prediction · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
McKinsey has built an autonomous agent that reduces client onboarding time by as much as 90%.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
Windows 365 Link is admin-less and password-less, with security configurations enabled by default that cannot be turned off.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft is bringing SQL Server natively to Fabric with Microsoft Fabric Databases.
Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft will ship the announced GitHub Copilot agent innovations in the months following the November 2024 keynote.
Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft announced mobile application management for Windows 365 on iOS and Android.
Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Promise |
19 Nov 2024 |
Microsoft announced that the Windows App is coming to Android.
Promise · 19 Nov 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Nov 2024 |
The U.S. Navy responded to all the executive orders and mandates and met its zero-trust goals years ahead of schedule.
Factual · 19 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
15 Nov 2023 |
Nadella said he believes firm-level performance (transcribed as "farm level") will start to diverge between those that adopt this technology and those that do not.
Prediction · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
As of November 2023, some Maia chips are powering GitHub Copilot.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
15 Nov 2023 |
Microsoft's global infrastructure investment and lead in AI will work to its competitive advantage.
Prediction · 15 Nov 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
15 Nov 2023 |
The new capability of using an API to continue text, summarise or make predictions is going to change pretty much every software category.
Prediction · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI capabilities |
| Mixed |
Prediction |
15 Nov 2023 |
Nadella said he hoped calendar year 2024 would be the year of classic commercial enterprise deployment and deployment data for AI Copilots.
Prediction · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
Microsoft built responsible AI measures and guardrails into Copilot from the very beginning.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true |
Promise |
15 Nov 2023 |
Microsoft will introduce AMD's MI300 accelerator into its fleet.
Promise · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
Microsoft has deployed its own Copilot for customer service internally, for Azure support.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
Microsoft built an entire liquid-cooled rack for its Maia AI chip.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
Software development with GitHub Copilot is seeing a 50-plus percent improvement.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
Nadella said that, for now, most of his company's business is in the United States, Europe and the rest of Asia, so he does not see new policies and trade restrictions as a major issue apart from any disruption to supply chains.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
15 Nov 2023 |
Microsoft has more data center regions than any other company.
Factual · 15 Nov 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed |
Factual |
22 Mar 2023 |
On 2023-03-22, Satya Nadella said GitHub Copilot is the first at-scale developer tool, and that "we" were going further that day, bringing Copilot past the editor into every aspect of the developer experience.
Factual · 22 Mar 2023 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
6 Mar 2023 |
Dynamics 365 Copilot is the world's first AI Copilot for both CRM and ERP.
Factual · 6 Mar 2023 |
Technology |