Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
83 77 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
69 49 87 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
69 49 87
All types combined: 81 (likely 76 to 86, high confidence), from 87 claims: 77 factual claims, 5 predictions, 5 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Sam Altman's claims
238 claims · page 3 of 3
“We invested about $27 million in the Winter and Summer 2016 batches, and so far we have invested about $187 million in later-stage investments from our first Continuity fund.”
Sam Altman, President of YC Group, in YC annual letter 1 January 2017 2017 YC Annual Letter (Sam Altman's blog)
YC invested about $27 million in its Winter and Summer 2016 batches and about $187 million so far in later-stage investments from its first Continuity fund.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of the claim date (about 2017-01-01). There are two figures: about $27 million invested in YC's Winter and Summer 2016 batches combined, and about $187 million invested so far from the first Continuity fund. True if YC's official records (annual letter or blog post, fund disclosures) or reliable reporting give figures within roughly ±10% of each. Mostly true if one figure is slightly further off (within about ±20%) and the other matches. Mixed if one figure is confirmed and the other is materially wrong. Mostly false if both are materially wrong but the investments did happen at a broadly similar scale. False if the figures are far off or these investments did not happen. A later YC correction of either figure governs.
Evidence
- Y Combinator says its companies are on target for $100B total valuation Fast Company · 16 February 2017
“Overall, the incubator invested $27 million in its traditional winter and summer groups of startups last year and about $187 million in later-stage companies through its new Continuity fund.”
Reasoning
E1 is a February 2017 Fast Company report on Y Combinator. It says YC invested $27 million in its winter and summer 2016 batches and about $187 million in later-stage companies through its Continuity fund. Both figures match the claim exactly, which is well within the ±10% the criteria allow. E1 is published reporting, which the criteria accept, and there is no evidence of a later correction.
Cite this claim
Sam Altman, “YC invested about $27 million in its Winter and Summer 2016 batches and about $187 million so far in later-stage investments from its first Continuity fund.” (said 1 January 2017). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_bf413e6473f3, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_bf413e6473f3
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Sam Altman? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.