ClaimsPeople

Ray Dalio

Ray Dalio founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975 and was its CEO until 2017, and is the author of several books including Principles: Life and Work.

827 claims collected, 172 researched, 91 resolved. Report of 4 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    77 71 83

    High confidence, 80 factual claims resolved. From 15 documents, 2010 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 36 candidates found.

    Not scored: 33 unresolvable, 4 checkable only against their own records.

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    72 56 86

    Low confidence, 11 predictions resolved. From 6 documents, 2010 to 2025; 19 documents sampled from 36 candidates found.

    Not scored: 41 unresolvable. 3 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

All types combined: 76 (likely 71 to 82, high confidence), from 91 claims: 80 factual claims, 11 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Ray Dalio's claims

827 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Not checkable Not checkable 8 Jun 2020 I believe that the reason people typically miss the big moments of evolution coming at them in life is that we each experience only tiny… Not checkable · 8 Jun 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 6 Jun 2020 The principle that I find most relevant now is pain+reflection=progress. Not checkable · 6 Jun 2020
Mostly true Factual 4 Jun 2020 History shows that during periods of heavy conflict, societies easily slip from orderly democracy into disorderly anarchy and then autocracy. Factual · 4 Jun 2020 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Not checkable 1 Jun 2020 Having open-minded conversations with believable people who disagree with you is the quickest way to get an education and to increase your… Not checkable · 1 Jun 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 31 May 2020 Such people tend to be poor decision makers. Not checkable · 31 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 30 May 2020 You only have so much time and energy; make sure you are investing them in exploring the problems that, if fixed, will yield you the biggest… Not checkable · 30 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 28 May 2020 I have found triangulating with highly believable people who are willing to have thoughtful disagreements has never failed to enhance my… Not checkable · 28 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 27 May 2020 By questioning experts individually and encouraging them to have thoughtful disagreement with each other that I can listen to and ask… Not checkable · 27 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 26 May 2020 Understanding, accepting, and working with reality is both practical and beautiful. Not checkable · 26 May 2020
Unresolvable Factual 24 May 2020 Numerous psychology tests show that the majority of people follow the lower-level decision path most of the time, leading to inferior decisions. Factual · 24 May 2020 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Not checkable 22 May 2020 It helps slow things down so that I can act calmly even in the face of chaos, just like a ninja in a street fight. Not checkable · 22 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 22 May 2020 I practice Transcendental Meditation and believe that it has enhanced my open-mindedness, higher-level perspective, equanimity, and… Not checkable · 22 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 21 May 2020 There is no avoiding pain, especially if you’re going after ambitious goals. Not checkable · 21 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 20 May 2020 If you’re like most people, the idea of facing the unvarnished truth makes you anxious. Not checkable · 20 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 20 May 2020 I am very excited about our @oceanx initiative to explore the ocean and bring it to the world through great media. Not checkable · 20 May 2020
Resolved true Factual 19 May 2020 Ray Dalio and his wife, in agreement with Governor Lamont, are terminating their partnership with the State of Connecticut to help disengaged students through high school and into jobs. Factual · 19 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Not checkable 19 May 2020 Put your insecurities away and get on with achieving your goals. Not checkable · 19 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 18 May 2020 Work is either 1) a job you do to earn the money to pay for the life you want 2) what you do to achieve your mission, or some mix of the… Not checkable · 18 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 17 May 2020 When two people believe opposite things, chances are that one of them is wrong. Not checkable · 17 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 16 May 2020 The two biggest barriers to good decision making are your ego and your blind spots. Not checkable · 16 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 15 May 2020 why I believe we must reform capitalism, not abandon it Not checkable · 15 May 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 15 May 2020 Perfectionists spend too much time on little differences at the margins at the expense of the important things. Not checkable · 15 May 2020
Mostly true Factual 14 May 2020 Ray Dalio is often asked on social media for advice for young people and shared his top advice in May 2020. Factual · 14 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Factual 13 May 2020 Ray Dalio has been sharing his answers to social media questions on a weekly basis in a compiled format. Factual · 13 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I think the PBOC is very skilled in being able to create essentially what is a two-way market Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 Well, of course, recessions are always inevitable. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I think it should not be too much or too little of a part of the portfolio. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 Trade is the least important part of it. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I think that they handled that appropriately. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Resolved true Factual 16 Aug 2019 As of August 2019, long-term interest rates were falling faster than short-term rates, inverting the yield curve. Factual · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Prediction 16 Aug 2019 Greater interest rate cuts will occur as the world economy slows. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I just want to be clear, we may not make money even every year. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 Technology is very important. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 Over the years, there are always paradigm shifts. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 It's a lot of sand in the gears, and it's a bad situation. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I think the Fed made a mistake, and I think the Fed understands that it made a mistake in assuming that this is a normal cycle. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I'm not going to give a price forecast. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 Could they? Of course, they could. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Mixed Factual 16 Aug 2019 The People's Bank of China did not push the yuan down in August 2019. Factual · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 That is not currency manipulation. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Mostly true Factual 16 Aug 2019 The Trump administration cut corporate taxes, which pushed stock prices up. Factual · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 For example, Chinese bonds offer an attractive interest rate. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I'm never surprised to be surprised. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I wouldn't rule it out, no. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Unresolvable Prediction 16 Aug 2019 There will not be much change in US fiscal policy in the near term, before the next election. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 The big thing is the fact that we're approaching an end of the power of central banks to stimulate. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I think the big factors are we are rather late in both the short term debt cycles and the long term debt cycles Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Unresolvable Prediction 16 Aug 2019 Gold probably has upside in price from its level in August 2019. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Prediction 16 Aug 2019 Over the next three years from August 2019 there will be more currency wars. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I'm not able to call who's stronger. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Mostly true Factual 16 Aug 2019 As of August 2019, the world largely looked to Dalio to be leveraged long, with a lot of borrowing to buy assets and companies. Factual · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 16 Aug 2019 The US and China have a debtor-creditor relationship, not just a trade relationship. Factual · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 The currency depreciation is just part of the adjustment process that takes place because it causes other assets to rise. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Resolved true Prediction 16 Aug 2019 Economic conditions will take a turn for the worse over the next one to three years from August 2019. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I have no problem with currency weakness Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I think every portfolio should have the right amount of diversification in it. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 For example, the 1920s were the exact opposite of the 1930s. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 The period that we're in is very much like the late 1930s and a number of ways I can explain, but I might go too long to explain it. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Resolved true Prediction 16 Aug 2019 Dalio said he thought there was probably a 40 percent chance of a US recession in the next two years, before the next US election. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Prediction 16 Aug 2019 The coming environment will feature excess capacity, debt restructurings and political issues. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 The currency has a supply and demand of its own. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 Now think about a bond is really the currency. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Unresolvable Prediction 16 Aug 2019 The United States might enter an environment of currency intervention to weaken the dollar. Prediction · 16 Aug 2019 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Aug 2019 I'm saying gold is an important portfolio diversifier. Not checkable · 16 Aug 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 31 Mar 2019 If you’re looking for a visionary, pick a visionary to do the interview in which you probe for vision. Not checkable · 31 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 31 Mar 2019 If you are looking for a mix of qualities, assemble a group of interviewers who embody those qualities collectively. Not checkable · 31 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 30 Mar 2019 Personality assessments are valuable tools for getting a quick picture of what people are like in terms of their abilities, preferences… Not checkable · 30 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 30 Mar 2019 They are often more objective and reliable than interviews. Not checkable · 30 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 29 Mar 2019 Some qualities are more suitable for some jobs. Not checkable · 29 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 28 Mar 2019 It is unacceptable to use your personal influence to help someone get a job because doing so undermines the meritocracy. Not checkable · 28 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 27 Mar 2019 Too many people get hired because they are just “one of those.” Not checkable · 27 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 25 Mar 2019 The process for choosing people should be systematically built out and evidence-based. Not checkable · 25 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 25 Mar 2019 Hire right because the penalties for hiring wrong are huge Not checkable · 25 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 23 Mar 2019 When building a “machine,” design precedes people because the type of people you will need will depend on the design. Not checkable · 23 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 22 Mar 2019 The most important thing you can do is understand that hiring is a high-risk gamble that needs to be approached deliberately. Not checkable · 22 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 22 Mar 2019 Recognize that the most important decision for you to make is who you choose as your responsible parties Not checkable · 22 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 21 Mar 2019 In most cases, those forces were specific people with specific qualities who worked in specific ways. Not checkable · 21 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 20 Mar 2019 If the owners are self-funded, they still have to make their clients and employees happy. Not checkable · 20 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 19 Mar 2019 So long as you bear the consequences of failure, you are the ultimate Responsible Party. Not checkable · 19 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 19 Mar 2019 If you assign the wrong person to achieve the goal and suffer the consequences, it’s your fault, not the person who failed’s fault. Not checkable · 19 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 18 Mar 2019 If you put your goals in the hands of RPs who can execute those goals well, and if you make it clear to them that they are personally… Not checkable · 18 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 17 Mar 2019 That’s backward. Not checkable · 17 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Mar 2019 Ultimately, power will rule. Not checkable · 16 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 16 Mar 2019 This is true of any system. Not checkable · 16 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 15 Mar 2019 If people respect the rules of the idea meritocracy, there will be no conflict. Not checkable · 15 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 14 Mar 2019 While all these principles exist for the well-being of the community, there may come times when adhering to them could threaten the… Not checkable · 14 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 13 Mar 2019 I believe that what’s good must work well, and that having the organization work well is of paramount importance. Not checkable · 13 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 12 Mar 2019 While all individuals have the right to have their own opinions, they do not have the right to render verdicts. Not checkable · 12 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 12 Mar 2019 Part of the purpose of a believability-weighted system is to remove emotion from decision making. Not checkable · 12 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 11 Mar 2019 In an idea meritocracy, there is bound to be more disagreement than in a typical organization Not checkable · 11 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Mar 2019 you can see this happening all the time in companies, organizations, and even political systems and nations. Not checkable · 9 Mar 2019
Mostly true Factual 8 Mar 2019 Money donated to Grameen America is repeatedly lent and repaid, so each $1 donated results in roughly $12 lent to people over 10 years. Factual · 8 Mar 2019 Other
Not checkable Not checkable 8 Mar 2019 By practicing open-mindedness and assertiveness, you should be able to resolve most disagreements. Not checkable · 8 Mar 2019
Unresolvable Prediction 7 Mar 2019 2020 will be "the year of the ocean." Prediction · 7 Mar 2019 Other
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Mar 2019 Almost every group that agrees on the big things ends up fighting about less important things and becoming enemies even though they should… Not checkable · 7 Mar 2019
Unresolvable Factual 7 Mar 2019 Ray Dalio took part in the Economist World Ocean Initiative's summit in March 2019. Factual · 7 Mar 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Not checkable 6 Mar 2019 While it’s easier to avoid confrontations in the short run, the consequences of doing so can be massively destructive in the long term. Not checkable · 6 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 5 Mar 2019 It’s important to view individual decisions in the broadest possible context. Not checkable · 5 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 4 Mar 2019 Responsibilities and authorities are assigned to individuals based on assessments of their ability to handle them. Not checkable · 4 Mar 2019
Not checkable Not checkable 4 Mar 2019 Everyone does not report to everyone. Not checkable · 4 Mar 2019
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Ray Dalio

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“I believe that the reason people typically miss the big moments of evolution coming at them in life is that we each experience only tiny pieces of what’s happening.”

Ray Dalio 8 June 2020 Post by @RayDalio on X, 2020-06-08 (X)

I believe that the reason people typically miss the big moments of evolution coming at them in life is that we each experience only tiny…

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Ray Dalio, “I believe that the reason people typically miss the big moments of evolution coming at them in life is that we each experience only tiny…” (said 8 June 2020). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_3a0282cbc095, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3a0282cbc095

Claims without a verdict

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