| Unresolvable |
Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
In Marlowe's 16th-century Faust story, Faust is a fake scientist.
Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
In Marlowe's Faust, Faust is a magician or fake alchemist practising bad science and goes straight to hell.
Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
In Goethe's Faust, Faust makes a pact with the devil and, in Thiel's words, "sort of" gains knowledge by morally dubious means.
Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
30 Sep 2026 |
In Goethe's Faust, things work out more for the best and Faust is redeemed.
Factual · 30 Sep 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
In Thiel's assessment, Europe is extremely far behind in AI, although he said the situation is still fluid.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
In Thiel's assessment, Europe is even further behind in AI in 2026 than it was with Minitel.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel's stagnation thesis held that technological progress has slowed since the 1970s.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel's 2009 article did not argue that people would lose their votes or that democracy would disappear.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Western countries have large welfare states, taxes that already feel high and substantial deficits.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel said he encouraged the person under discussion to write his book and supported him financially when he ran for the Senate in 2022.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel said he wrote the article quickly and sent it to a colleague to ask whether anything in it was too controversial.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel said he sees much less urgency about AI among companies in Europe than in the US, and that in Europe the instinct is still to wait.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Of the twenty Germans born in 1965 or later in Thiel's wealth comparison, all inherited their fortunes.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
25 Sep 2026 |
Thiel's 2009 article argued for depoliticization, a reduction in the intensity of politics.
Factual · 25 Sep 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
A gunpowder revolution occurred in the 17th century and changed social and political structures.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly false |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
When people were writing about these things in the 18th and even 19th centuries, the idea was that the world was too big to be destroyed and that God would not do it.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Thousands of nuclear weapons, not just dozens, were built in the 1960s and 1970s.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Adam Smith used a pin factory metaphor, in the 19th century, of 100 people doing different tasks where nobody knows how to make a pin.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Nuclear weapons were developed by 1945, making world-ending destruction real in a way that seemed implausible in the 17th and 18th centuries.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
If technology means producing more with less, there should be dramatic economic progress, but there has not been, and millennials are not dramatically better off than their boomer parents.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
People in the 17th and 18th centuries were very optimistic about radical human life extension.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Thiel said Greta is concerned only with the climate and is not worried about AI or nuclear weapons, much less the COVID virus that he described as bioengineered in the Wuhan lab "or something like this".
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly false |
Factual |
18 Nov 2024 |
Thiel said he thinks the classic definition of AI was passing the Turing test, fooling people into thinking it was human 'in some sense', and that ChatGPT passed it in late 2022 or early 2023.
Factual · 18 Nov 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
There are probably about 100 times as many PhDs today as there were in, say, 1924.
Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Field building and careers |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
8 Oct 2024 |
The average millennial is having a tougher time economically than their boomer parents did at the same point in life.
Factual · 8 Oct 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Carl Schmitt became somewhat entangled with the Nazis and later distanced himself from them.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
The word 'apocalypse' in Greek means 'unveiling'.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Anti-communism was in some ways Peter Thiel's formative political idea as a teenager in the late 1970s and early 1980s.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Debates about religion in Europe were settled by the 1648 Treaty of Westphalia.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
In discussing the katechon, Thiel said the Roman emperor Nero was the proto-Antichrist.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Peter Thiel said the political slogan of the Antichrist is "peace and safety," citing, he thought, 1 Thessalonians 5:3.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Peter Thiel was extremely influenced by the 1997 book The Sovereign Individual by Rees-Mogg and Davidson.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mixed |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Satan appears in the Bible as seen by humans only at the very end of the world; elsewhere he only talks to God or Christ.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Mixed |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Thiel said he believed society's bias toward testing math ability began during the French Revolution, because verbal ability was believed to run in families.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
Five or six years before 2024, Thiel made the argument that if crypto is libertarian, AI is communist.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
René Girard often said that Christ was the first political atheist.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
It is much harder to exit the United States than it was 20 to 30 years ago.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
Apr 2024 |
After 9/11 there was not much terrorism, and instead the US got the Patriot Act, extensive tracking of money flows and monitoring of people.
Factual · Apr 2024 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
9 Nov 2022 |
The big U.S. Internet companies had no effective presence in China in 2000, 2005 and 2010, behind the Great Firewall.
Factual · 9 Nov 2022 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
9 Nov 2022 |
China has about four times the population of the United States.
Factual · 9 Nov 2022 |
Other |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
9 Nov 2022 |
The average person in California earns twice as much as the average person in Germany and three times as much as the average person in Japan.
Factual · 9 Nov 2022 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
9 Nov 2022 |
California is not a poor state.
Factual · 9 Nov 2022 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
9 Nov 2022 |
The average California government worker is paid twice as much as the average private sector worker in California.
Factual · 9 Nov 2022 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
In 2016, zero professors at the top five US law schools endorsed Donald Trump.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
China's per capita GDP is close to $10,000.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
The US economy was not deeply connected to the Soviet Union's during the Cold War.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
California was a 50/50 Republican-Democrat state 40 years ago and is now D+30, the second most Democratic state in the US.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
The US and Chinese economies are very deeply connected.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
The main way middle-class people in the US accumulate capital is by owning real estate, their house.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
7 Feb 2020 |
US student debt was $300 billion in 2000 and is $1.7 trillion as of early 2020.
Factual · 7 Feb 2020 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
11 Jan 2017 |
Thiel said he had watched the first season of HBO's Silicon Valley, that the character based on him died, and that he liked the character.
Factual · 11 Jan 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Thiel does not agree with every plan in the Republican Party's platform.
Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Among candidates in the 2016 race, only Donald Trump is being honest about America's economic decline.
Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
In Thiel's childhood the great national debate was about defeating the Soviet Union, whereas now the great debate is said to be about who gets to use which bathroom.
Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Neither Peter Thiel nor Donald Trump is a politician.
Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Peter Thiel builds companies and supports people building new things, from social networks to rocket ships.
Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Factual |
15 Jun 2012 |
A Chinese man tried to launch a rocket into space in the 11th century.
Factual · 15 Jun 2012 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
1 May 2009 |
In the past, libertarians have made little progress in the political sphere.
Factual · 1 May 2009 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 May 2009 |
In America, people are imprisoned for using mild drugs, tortured by the government, and forced to bail out reckless financial companies.
Factual · 1 May 2009 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
1 May 2009 |
Thiel had hoped his essay on the limits of politics would provoke reactions, and it did.
Factual · 1 May 2009 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
1 May 2009 |
Voting is not under siege in America, but many other rights are.
Factual · 1 May 2009 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
13 Apr 2009 |
Thiel has focused his efforts as entrepreneur and investor on new technologies, notably the Internet, that may create a new space for freedom.
Factual · 13 Apr 2009 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
13 Apr 2009 |
The 2008-09 financial crisis was caused by too much debt and leverage, facilitated by a government that insured against moral hazards, and the response involves more debt, leverage and government.
Factual · 13 Apr 2009 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
13 Apr 2009 |
As a Stanford undergraduate, Thiel started a student newspaper that he says scored some limited victories, most notably in undoing speech codes instituted by the university.
Factual · 13 Apr 2009 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
13 Apr 2009 |
In America, people are imprisoned for using even very mild drugs, tortured by the government, and forced to bail out reckless financial companies.
Factual · 13 Apr 2009 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mixed |
Factual |
13 Apr 2009 |
In the late 1990s, PayPal's founding vision centered on creating a new world currency free from all government control and dilution.
Factual · 13 Apr 2009 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
13 Apr 2009 |
The last economic depression in the United States that did not result in massive government intervention was the collapse of 1920-21.
Factual · 13 Apr 2009 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2007 |
The postwar wealth transfer apparatus never worked as advertised, and Western wealth was largely squandered on white elephant projects.
Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Mixed |
Factual |
2007 |
René Girard, like Schmitt and Strauss, believes there is a disturbing truth about the city and humanity, and that the Enlightenment whitewashed away the issue of human violence.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2007 |
After September 11, serious people could publicly raise the issue of unilateralism, and of institutions providing cover for it, for the first time since 1945.
Factual · 2007 |
Other global risks |
| Mixed |
Factual |
2007 |
In Girard's view, the Judeo-Western revelation may be slow because humans do not wish to hear its message, but it is not reversible.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2007 |
For every jihadist killed after September 11, about ten more arose to seek martyrdom.
Factual · 2007 |
Other global risks |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2007 |
Leo Strauss believes there is a truth about human nature that can in principle be known to humanity.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2007 |
For Girard, a post-Darwinian account of humanity must somehow combine the gradualism of Darwinian evolution with the essentialism of the pre-Darwinians.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly false |
Factual |
2007 |
No real economic development took place through postwar wealth transfers, and even in the best cases the money returned to the West in Swiss accounts of Third World dictators.
Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2007 |
The United States became more secular and materialist over time, though most citizens continued to call themselves Christians.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Factual |
2007 |
After World War II, hundreds of billions of dollars in cheap loans or grants were channelled to Third World governments via the World Bank, IMF and other organizations to foster growth.
Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2007 |
In René Girard's theory, knowledge of the founding murder is driven by the historical working of the Judeo-Western revelation.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mixed |
Factual |
2007 |
The original expropriation of oil built as many as half of the greatest fortunes of the twentieth century.
Factual · 2007 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
2007 |
Thomas Hobbes boasted of having deserted and run away from fighting in a religious war.
Factual · 2007 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |