ClaimsPeople

Peter Thiel

Peter Thiel is an entrepreneur and venture capitalist who co-founded PayPal and Palantir Technologies and founded Founders Fund.

673 claims collected, 107 researched, 55 resolved. Report of 30 October 2026, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    71 64 78

    Medium confidence, 55 factual claims resolved. From 11 documents, 2007 to 2026; 15 documents sampled from 29 candidates found.

    Not scored: 24 unresolvable, 1 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    Insufficient record: 0 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 23 unresolvable. 4 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

All types combined: 71 (likely 64 to 78, medium confidence), from 55 claims: 55 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Peter Thiel's claims

673 claims · page 4 of 7

673 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 so many of the paths to the future are extremely dangerous Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 the fake blue-collar guy from Ohio where no one cares about blue-collar workers Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Unresolvable Prediction 9 Nov 2022 Thiel said "we", a group he compared to the Rebel Alliance, will have a vigorous debate over the next few years to figure out the answers. Prediction · 9 Nov 2022 Other
Unresolvable Prediction 9 Nov 2022 Thiel said that, if "it" is not enough for the Democrats, it is probably enough for the Republicans to win the 2024 presidential election; the excerpt does not say what "it" refers to. Prediction · 9 Nov 2022 Other
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 people don't have a good, great long-term strategy for the U.S. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 my intuition is that it's not simply stable. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 it's quite bad, but we have to also weight it against the alternative Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I haven't read much science fiction in decades because it's all just dystopian and depressing Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I would like to get back to growth Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Unresolvable Factual 9 Nov 2022 The average person in California earns twice as much as the average person in Germany and three times as much as the average person in Japan. Factual · 9 Nov 2022 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 we should have a ticker tape parade for the scientists who invented the mRNA vaccine Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I still think it's a catastrophe that these things have have slowed down Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I'd like there to be more progress in biotech Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 we need to take it more seriously, at face value, where they say they're communists Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 It's strangely much less idealistic or ideological, I think, than the Soviet Union. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 The choices we make really matter Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 maybe even that's slowed over the last decade or has at least become much less charismatic Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 the computer Internet revolution was the one big exception Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 those have been, those have been the bad alternatives for 77 years, and we need to find some way in between. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 It's extremely racist. It's extremely xenophobic Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 we should be at least as scared of the antichrist as of Armageddon Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 Deneen is right that in some sense classical liberalism has failed. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 a correct broad strategy for the U.S. is to have a gradual, you know, withdrawal from the world Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 the articulation itself will stop us from executing it properly Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I always like to say that a classical liberal in 2022 is like a Marxist prof in 1982 Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I'm still on the deregulation side. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I think you should think of it as roughly on par with Saudi Arabia. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 Armageddon and the world government are exclusionary possibilities. They're not exhaustive. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 That's preposterous because it's not the Wahhabi ideology; it's the oil money Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 there's obviously was this incredible mistake that Western Europe made to entangle itself so tightly with Russia Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 the crazed university professor who is like, you know, is like a bad Puritan minister from the 17th century. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 it's led to the sort of cultural disintegration of the middle class Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 There's some kind of generational compact that's been broken. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 they were going to have perestroika without glasnost Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 it is not, it's not this utopian inclusive future at all. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 the extreme alternative is the sort of soft totalitarianism, a society that simply is locked down, where nothing happens. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 people probably don't really believe in any of these ideas Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 it's not that easy to separate the civilian from military uses. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Mostly true Factual 9 Nov 2022 California is not a poor state. Factual · 9 Nov 2022 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 there was a way that the Soviet Union was motivational in a way that China was not Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Mostly true Factual 9 Nov 2022 The average California government worker is paid twice as much as the average private sector worker in California. Factual · 9 Nov 2022 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 9 Nov 2022 I believe in free trade. Not checkable · 9 Nov 2022
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I would go with Israel over the UK if you forced me to list two. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 2020 is like 2020 which is much less helpful but much more accurate. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 It's a place where there's no outside check, no reality check, no ability to really keep score, and you are certainly not exceptional and… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Unresolvable Factual 7 Feb 2020 In 2016, zero professors at the top five US law schools endorsed Donald Trump. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Other
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 China took the lesson very much to heart and has stayed on this trajectory. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I think always extreme optimism, extreme pessimism, are both equally wrong. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Resolved true Factual 7 Feb 2020 China's per capita GDP is close to $10,000. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 There's always room for history, there's always room for new ideas, and these things are never definitively decided one way or the other. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 In practice the Cold War was won in very specific ways. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 China is the one country in the world in which there will never be a Thermidor. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 the elite universities like Harvard and Stanford are basically sort of a Studio 54 nightclub with a long line and a big velvet rope. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I don't think the intellectual battle is ever fully over because I don't think history's over Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 As a libertarian, we should always, libertarians, we should always come back to the question of individual agency and it's not these large… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I added that it was actually, I mean, it would've been disturbing if they weren't lying. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I don't think we should socialize the student debt but we should deal with it in a non-socialist way, we should internalize the costs onto… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 If those are the only three options, you know, I'll go with Greta. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 you could sort of say that we've been in a bear market for ideas I think for something like the last 50 years. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 the Overton window is so uncomfortably narrow that I would be long ideas more than at any other point in the last 50 years. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 There is nothing about history that is automatic or predetermined. It's always a question of agency, of people Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Mostly true Factual 7 Feb 2020 The US economy was not deeply connected to the Soviet Union's during the Cold War. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 And then I think the challenge is that there are no other doors. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 behind door number one is Islamic Sharia law, and if you're a woman, you'll be wearing a burka. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 The future has power because it's a time that will look different from the present and so it can't just be an endless Groundhog Day. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 Yes. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 It's China is super weak, and China is super strong. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 it's mainly a critique. It's a critique of bad institutions Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Unresolvable Prediction 7 Feb 2020 Peter Thiel predicts that returns to ideas will be positive and greater than at any time in the last 50 years. Prediction · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 It's happening in an Information Age, not an Industrial Age. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 If it's just always the same, it's just always repetition, then the future does not have any appeal and that's not part of a political… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 If you have a majority of the vote, that's good. If you get 70%, that's even better. And if you get 99.99% of the vote, you're in North… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 when we say that we are exceptional we are often saying that we're so different that we can't even make sense of how we're doing Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I think Google's the craziest of the big tech companies Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 one gets the suspicion that there's a way that exceptionalism can degenerate into a cover for all sorts of things that are exceptionally… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 Behind door number two is the Chinese communist AI, and it's the big eye of Sauron that will be watching you at all times and all places. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I think it's actually a hybrid of an insurance policy that people buy to avoid falling through the big cracks in our society and a… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 the question about the rate of progress of science, of innovation, is incredibly unquantified, and it's just sort of hand-waving Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Unresolvable Factual 7 Feb 2020 California was a 50/50 Republican-Democrat state 40 years ago and is now D+30, the second most Democratic state in the US. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Other
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 the facts we need to check the most and the lies we need to call people out on the most are the really big lies that everybody tells. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I don't think he's really a socialist in the sense, I mean there's no five-year plan Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 I think we're not gonna find solutions inside the intellectual straitjacket in which our universities and our society put us Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Mostly true Factual 7 Feb 2020 The US and Chinese economies are very deeply connected. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Prediction 7 Feb 2020 The strategic balance between the US and China will stay very even for a really long time. Prediction · 7 Feb 2020 Other global risks
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 Of course we knew she was lying. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 you would just get lynched because you're running a Studio 54 nightclub Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 the analogy that I have made to exceptionalism is that it's like the radically monotheistic God of Islam and Judaism, where it's so one of… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 There was a very big exception in computer software, Internet, mobile Internet, the last quarter century. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Mostly true Factual 7 Feb 2020 The main way middle-class people in the US accumulate capital is by owning real estate, their house. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 it's sort of like a gentle version of North Korea. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 this would be my sort of argument for why the green stuff has so much traction in Europe. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Unresolvable Factual 7 Feb 2020 US student debt was $300 billion in 2000 and is $1.7 trillion as of early 2020. Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 if you're a tenured law professor at Harvard, and you're the only law professor at a top law school to endorse Trump, I don't know, I think… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 And door number three is the green movement, and you'll be puttering around in an E scooter and you'll be separating out your garbage in a… Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 UK's sort of half way between the US and Europe, so it's better than Europe and it's worse than the US. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 you couldn't get tenure, you couldn't get funding because everything was peer reviewed up the wazoo. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 there are parts of it that seem just completely deranged in ways I can't fully explain. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 China does have some very serious demographic challenges. Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 the alternative that I would pose is something more like greatness, where it's a comparative function Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Not checkable Not checkable 7 Feb 2020 So if we just go with the simple template, it's too automatic Not checkable · 7 Feb 2020
Back to the list

Peter Thiel

Open its page

Not checkable

“so many of the paths to the future are extremely dangerous”

Peter Thiel 9 November 2022 Peter Thiel, Leader Of The Rebel Alliance (Hoover Institution)

so many of the paths to the future are extremely dangerous

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “so many of the paths to the future are extremely dangerous” (said 9 November 2022). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_7cc52cd1d1d9, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7cc52cd1d1d9

Claims without a verdict

Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Peter Thiel? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.