Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 73 93 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
46 27 65 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
60 40 79
All types combined: 70 (likely 61 to 78, medium confidence), from 29 claims: 16 factual claims, 7 predictions, 6 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Ørsted's claims
15 claims
“Return on capital employed (ROCE) increased to 25% in 2017 from 17% in 2016, disregarding non-recurring income from gas contracts totalling DKK 4.3 billion in 2016.”
Ørsted February 2018 Annual report 2017 - Strong results support Ørsted's green transformation (Ørsted)
Ørsted's return on capital employed rose to 25% in 2017 from 17% in 2016, disregarding DKK 4.3 billion of non-recurring gas contract income in 2016.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
What would count as true or false
True if Ørsted's reported ROCE was 25% for 2017 and 17% for 2016 when excluding DKK 4.3bn non-recurring gas contract income in 2016 (rounding to whole percent acceptable). Mostly true if one percentage or the DKK 4.3bn figure is off by a small amount (≈1 point / ≤0.2bn). Mixed if one ROCE figure matches and the other is materially off. Mostly false if both are off but the increase direction holds. False if ROCE did not rise or the figures are substantially different.
Evidence
- Summary 2017 Ørsted · 1 February 2018 Own record
“Our return on capital employed (ROCE) increased to 25% in 2017 from 17% in 2016, when adjusting for lump-sum payments related to gas purchase contracts amounting to DKK 4.3 billion in 2016.”
- Ørsted Annual report 2017 Ørsted · 1 February 2018 Own record
“Our return on capital employed (ROCE) increased to 25% in 2017 from 17% in 2016, when adjusting for lump-sum payments related to gas purchase contracts amounting to DKK 4.3 billion in 2016.”
Reasoning
The resolution criteria turn on Ørsted's reported ROCE, and the 2017 Annual Report (E2) and Summary 2017 (E1) both report ROCE rising to 25% in 2017 from 17% in 2016. That comparison adjusts for DKK 4.3 billion of 2016 lump-sum gas purchase contract payments, so all three figures match the claim. Both sources are the subject's own publications, but the annual report is itself the reported record the criteria refer to, rather than a later general restatement.
Cite this claim
Ørsted, “Ørsted's return on capital employed rose to 25% in 2017 from 17% in 2016, disregarding DKK 4.3 billion of non-recurring gas contract income in 2016.” (said February 2018). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_bd3c57e098d9, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_bd3c57e098d9
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Ørsted? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.