Ørsted

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

• Factual claims

  Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

  84 73 93

  Medium confidence, 16 factual claims resolved. From 8 documents, 2014 to 2026; 8 documents sampled from 32 candidates found.

  Not scored: 12 unresolvable, 7 checkable only against their own records.

  See the factual claims

• Predictions

  Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

  46 27 65

  Low confidence, 7 predictions resolved. From 3 documents, 2014 to 2018; 8 documents sampled from 32 candidates found.

  Not scored: 5 unresolvable. 9 more fall due later.

  Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

  See the predictions

• Promises

  Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

  60 40 79

  Low confidence, 6 promises resolved. From 4 documents, 2017 to 2021; 8 documents sampled from 32 candidates found.

  Not scored: 9 unresolvable, 16 not yet due, 1 checkable only against their own records.

  See the promises

All types combined: 70 (likely 61 to 78, medium confidence), from 29 claims: 16 factual claims, 7 predictions, 6 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.