Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
-
Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
83 78 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
-
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 83 (likely 78 to 88, high confidence), from 86 claims: 86 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Daniela Amodei's claims
17 claims
“I think a lot of our best ML engineers or research engineers came from a software engineering or infrastructure engineering background”
Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president, interview 4 March 2022 Daniela and Dario Amodei on Anthropic (Future of Life Institute)
Daniela Amodei said she thinks many of Anthropic's best ML and research engineers came from software or infrastructure engineering backgrounds and had not necessarily worked in ML before.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
It rests on her impression of internal staff backgrounds.
Cite this claim
Daniela Amodei, “Daniela Amodei said she thinks many of Anthropic's best ML and research engineers came from software or infrastructure engineering backgrounds and had not necessarily worked in ML before.” (said 4 March 2022). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_b9bd1ca37e28, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b9bd1ca37e28
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Daniela Amodei? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.