Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
83 78 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 83 (likely 78 to 88, high confidence), from 86 claims: 86 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Daniela Amodei's claims
38 claims
“I started working at Stripe when it was still a tiny company—about 40 people—and no one really knew it.”
Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei, Co-Founder and President of Anthropic: Building AI the Right Way (transcript) (The Transcript Desk)
Daniela Amodei started working at Stripe when it had about 40 people.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
What would count as true or false
'About 40' allows roughly 30–50. True if credible evidence of Stripe's headcount when Amodei joined (about 2013) falls within 30–50. Mostly true if it is 25–29 or 51–60. Mostly false if it is 61–120 or 15–24. False if it is above 120 or below 15, or if she joined at a substantially different time when headcount was far from 40.
Evidence
- How Stripe Builds Software, with Greg Brockman Airbrake (interview published on its DevOps blog) · 7 March 2013
“Justin: How do you coordinate that at the level of 40 people?”
- The New Power Player in Online Payments | Fortune Fortune · 9 December 2013
“It currently has 75 employees, most of them engineers.”
- Daniela Amodei Says Curiosity Is Underrated Stanford Graduate School of Business · 29 June 2026 Own record
“Now it looks like a great decision, but at the time, it was about 40 people.”
- Daniela Amodei, Anthropic Frontier Minds · 24 September 2026
“Around 2013 she joined Stripe when, as she told a Stanford audience in 2026, it had about 40 people and her friends in Washington asked why she was leaving”
- Daniela Amodei Says Curiosity Is Underrated Stanford Graduate School of Business · 29 June 2026 Own record
“Now it looks like a great decision, but at the time, it was about 40 people.”
- Daniela Amodei Says Curiosity Is Underrated Stanford Graduate School of Business · 29 June 2026 Own record
“I had already spent almost six years at Stripe, and so I had worked with a lot of engineers.”
- ‘The most expensive thing I own today is a bicycle’ says Limerick internet entrepreneur The Irish Times · 6 September 2013
“From a staff of three, it now employs 62 people, and it is hiring all around the world.”
- Daniela Amodei LongTermWiki · 22 February 2026
“Amodei joined Stripe in 2013 as approximately its 45th employee, initially focusing on recruiting.”
Reasoning
E8, a third-party profile, says Amodei joined Stripe in 2013 as roughly its 45th employee. That falls within the 30–50 range, but the page does not show the source behind the figure. Contemporaneous reports put Stripe at about 40 people in March 2013 (E1), 62 in September 2013 (E7) and 75 in December 2013 (E2). So her account fits an early-2013 start, but no record in the evidence fixes the month she joined. The independent evidence mostly supports the claim, but the uncertainty about her start date keeps it short of fully true.
Cite this claim
Daniela Amodei, “Daniela Amodei started working at Stripe when it had about 40 people.” (said 9 May 2026). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_b29d4ae55c42, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b29d4ae55c42
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Daniela Amodei? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.