Daniela Amodei

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

• Factual claims

  Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

  83 78 88

  High confidence, 86 factual claims resolved. From 10 documents, 2021 to 2026; 17 documents sampled from 29 candidates found.

  Not scored: 23 unresolvable, 17 checkable only against their own records.

  See the factual claims

• Predictions

  Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

  Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.

  Not scored: 20 unresolvable.

  Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

  See the predictions

• Promises

  Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

  Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.

  Not scored: 1 unresolvable, 1 not yet due.

  See the promises

All types combined: 83 (likely 78 to 88, high confidence), from 86 claims: 86 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.