Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
-
Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
83 78 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
-
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 83 (likely 78 to 88, high confidence), from 86 claims: 86 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Daniela Amodei's claims
17 claims
“We have a policy team, it's like 1.5 people right now.”
Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president, interview 4 March 2022 Daniela and Dario Amodei on Anthropic (Future of Life Institute)
Anthropic's policy team is about 1.5 people as of late 2022.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
Internal team headcount is only known to the company.
Cite this claim
Daniela Amodei, “Anthropic's policy team is about 1.5 people as of late 2022.” (said 4 March 2022). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_7f53e1d1b34e, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7f53e1d1b34e
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Daniela Amodei? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.