2,528 claims · page 7 of 26
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not researched | Michael Burry | Factual | 2025 | Scion negotiated its master agreements with the various banks between 2003 and 2005. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Warren Buffett | Prediction | 2025 | Berkshire's insurance float is likely to grow a bit over time and, with intelligent underwriting and some luck, has a reasonable prospect of being costless. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Factual | 2025 | Michael Burry said he remembers the responses he got when he claimed in 1999 that it was a bubble. Michael Burry · Factual · 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Factual | 31 Dec 2024 | Musk stated that legacy media outlets did not merely ignore President Biden's mental state but made false statements about it. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 31 Dec 2024 | Musk said he thinks SpaceX has a decent chance of solving a reusable orbital heat shield in 2025 and solving it well in 2026. Elon Musk · Prediction · 31 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 31 Dec 2024 | Musk was testing Starlink streaming during a flight on 2024-12-31. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 31 Dec 2024 | SpaceX has built the highest volume advanced electronics manufacturing system in America. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 31 Dec 2024 | Within a few years SpaceX direct-to-cell capability will improve by more than an order of magnitude, due to more satellites and better technology. Elon Musk · Prediction · 31 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Factual | 31 Dec 2024 | X is the number 1 source of news on Earth. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Factual | 30 Dec 2024 | Musk said almost every legacy media outlet knowingly falsely described Biden as "sharp as a tack" just before the 2024 presidential debate, at a time when, he said, it was obvious Biden had dementia. Elon Musk · Factual · 30 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 30 Dec 2024 | The Community Notes system on X is completely decentralized and open source, with both code and data public. Elon Musk · Factual · 30 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 30 Dec 2024 | The AfD party will win a big victory in Germany's upcoming election. Elon Musk · Prediction · 30 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 30 Dec 2024 | Community Notes only shows a note when people who have historically disagreed agree that it is valid. Elon Musk · Factual · 30 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Factual | 30 Dec 2024 | No one at X, including Elon Musk, has editorial control over Community Notes. Elon Musk · Factual · 30 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 29 Dec 2024 | After Nvidia's first graphics chip attempt failed, Huang says the company's engineers, together with Chris and Curtis, pivoted to the right way of doing things. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 29 Dec 2024 | Huang has never seen a company whose earnings increased without it hiring more people. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Dec 2024 | On the podcast Cowen was describing, which he contrasted with Conversations with Tyler, neither host interviews the other; they go back and forth. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Dec 2024 | The podcast Cowen was describing, which he said had about seven episodes and in which neither host interviews the other, is all economics, unlike Conversations with Tyler. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Dec 2024 | Tyler Cowen said he thinks the episode with Peter is typically the most downloaded episode for many people, and that it is his pick. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Dec 2024 | Tyler Cowen said he now has an electronic payments network set up. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Promise | 21 Dec 2024 | OpenAI is giving all Plus users unlimited Sora access via the relaxed queue over the 2024 holidays. Sam Altman · Promise · 21 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 10 Dec 2024 | Last month's issue of Asterisk (November 2024) contains an interview with Skarbek, which Scott thinks will be online shortly. Scott Alexander · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 10 Dec 2024 | OpenAI significantly underestimated demand for Sora at its December 2024 launch. Sam Altman · Factual · 10 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 5 Dec 2024 | OpenAI launched ChatGPT Pro at $200/month with unlimited usage and a more capable mode for using o1. Sam Altman · Factual · 5 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Sam Altman | Promise | 4 Dec 2024 | OpenAI will hold a livestream with a launch or demo each weekday during its '12 days of openai' starting 2024-12-05 at 10am Pacific. Sam Altman · Promise · 4 Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Hassabis's first career was writing AI for commercial computer games. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Hassabis's team has practised open science and open access with all of its scientific work. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Hassabis wrote the game Theme Park when he was 17. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Hassabis was fascinated as a young chess player by the programming of chess computers used at training camps. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Hassabis ended up wanting to program his own AI systems after encountering chess computers. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | DeepMind was founded in 2010 as a research lab to build AGI. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Theme Park had AI at the heart of its gameplay. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Demis Hassabis captained all the England junior chess teams while growing up. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Hassabis first came across the protein folding problem as an undergraduate at Cambridge in the 1990s. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | Dec 2024 | Demis Hassabis learned to play chess at age four. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft's new hacking event offers the highest rewards of any public hacking event in the industry. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Azure Local extends Azure services across hybrid, multi-cloud and edge locations with one central control plane. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Adobe and WhatsApp are building applications for Copilot+ PCs that use the NPUs. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | GitHub Copilot now works across multiple files. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | In October 2024 at GitHub Universe, GitHub added agents at both ends of the workflow, one for ideation and one for building and repairing code. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Copilot Workspaces uses agents from start to finish, going from issue to spec to plan to code in natural language. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft will offer $4 million in rewards in a new hacking event focused on securing cloud and AI, culminating in an in-person event next year. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft is exposing every layer of the tech stack behind its Copilot apps and Copilot Studio agents so customers can build their own Copilots and agents. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Azure AI Foundry lets customers run evaluations using their own data. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | A customer using Copilot to draft incident reports now completes analysis in a day that previously took weeks. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | With point-in-time restore, Windows 365 customers can be up and running in minutes and roll back a Cloud PC to its exact earlier state. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | The latest Windows 11 release has over a dozen new security features turned on by default, including device encryption across all devices. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Copilot in Teams can reason over past meetings, chats and transcripts to bring users up to speed. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Vodafone's virtual assistant handles more than 45 million monthly customer conversations and cuts average hold time by more than one minute. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft has more than 60 data center regions, more than any other cloud provider. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | GitHub Copilot is by far the most widely adopted and used AI developer tool. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft introduced the Cloud PC category with Windows 365 about three years before November 2024, streaming a Windows desktop from the cloud to any device. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | With mobile application management, employees can work on Windows 365 from personal devices while corporate apps and files stay secure and managed on the Cloud PC. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | The new construction model used for two announced Northern Virginia data centers, built with low-carbon cross-laminated timber, will reduce the carbon footprint of the speaker's company's data centers by 35% compared with conventional steel construction. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft announced a new Windows Resiliency Initiative on 19 November 2024. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Copilot responses are more than two times faster on average and response satisfaction has improved nearly threefold. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft announced Windows 365 Link on 19 November 2024. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft Fabric has over 16,000 customers, including 70% of the Fortune 500. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Azure AI Foundry unifies Microsoft's models, tooling, safety and monitoring solutions into a single experience with a standalone SDK and portal. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Windows 365 has grown by triple digits year over year. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Windows 365 Link is admin-less and password-less, with security configurations enabled by default that cannot be turned off. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Over the past year, Microsoft has helped train over 23 million people in AI and digital skills. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Azure's model catalog now has 1,800 models. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft is bringing SQL Server natively to Fabric with Microsoft Fabric Databases. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft has shipped hundreds of Copilot updates since making Copilot generally available a year ago. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | GitHub Copilot Edits combines editor completion and chat in one experience. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Earth Copilot lets anyone navigate this data, such as climate and air-quality data, using natural language for the first time. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft will ship the announced GitHub Copilot agent innovations in the months following the November 2024 keynote. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Azure's agent service supports all the multi-agent frameworks, including Magentic-One, AutoGen and Semantic Kernel. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft announced mobile application management for Windows 365 on iOS and Android. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Windows 365 Link connects users directly to cloud productivity with no data left on the device. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 19 Nov 2024 | Microsoft announced that the Windows App is coming to Android. Satya Nadella · Promise · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 19 Nov 2024 | Windows Hotpatch applies critical security updates across a Windows estate without requiring a restart. Satya Nadella · Factual · 19 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Models becoming lazy in coding is not due to Anthropic trying to save on compute or to seasonal effects, but to the difficulty of steering model behaviour. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Dario Amodei said that he and Ilya Sutskever were "probably" the ones who "really kind of set the research direction" at the organisation where he was vice president of research. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic released computer use first in API form rather than to consumers, partly for safety reasons. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Amodei has worked in the AI field for about 10 years. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | As of November 2024, Anthropic's current models are classified ASL-2 under its Responsible Scaling Policy. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Dario Amodei was vice president of research at OpenAI for roughly the last couple of years of his roughly five years there. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic is not currently building its own coding IDEs but powers companies such as Cursor and Kognition that build them on its API. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic's interpretability research had no commercial application for three or four years and still has none. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | OpenAI built GPT-3, the model that was commercialized, and Dario Amodei was involved in its commercialization. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic has had to change its Responsible Scaling Policy framework, releasing a new version a few weeks before November 2024. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Amodei first joined the AI field in late 2014, working at Baidu with Andrew Ng. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic has almost a thousand employees, and its risk policy is meant to make sure they understand that taking these risks seriously is one of the company's highest priorities, if not the highest. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | For the most part, with some narrow exceptions, deployed models are not changing after release. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic has never changed the weights of a deployed model without telling anyone. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Promise | 11 Nov 2024 | Anthropic will release models more powerful than the models that exist today. Dario Amodei · Promise · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 11 Nov 2024 | In 2017, seeing GPT-1 results convinced Amodei that language was probably the area where scaling could work. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Gary Marcus | Factual | 9 Nov 2024 | Gary Marcus has warned about foundational limits of neural networks since his 2001 book The Algebraic Mind, where he first described hallucinations. Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 9 Nov 2024 | Melanie Mitchell, Subbarao Kambhampati, Emily Bender, Ernie Davis and others have long emphasized that LLMs have principled limits. Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 9 Nov 2024 | Gary Marcus has for years warned that AI scaling by adding data and compute without architectural changes would not continue forever. Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 7 Nov 2024 | Trump won more than 312 electoral votes in 16 percent of the model's final simulations. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Factual | 7 Nov 2024 | In Silver Bulletin's final model, Harris won all swing states except Arizona in about 4 percent of simulations. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 7 Nov 2024 | Trump winning exactly 312 electoral votes was by far the most common outcome in the model's simulations, occurring 6 percent of the time. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Prediction | 7 Nov 2024 | The model's other 48 of 50 state calls will be right, assuming Trump's leads in Arizona and Nevada hold, which Silver said they almost certainly will. Nate Silver · Prediction · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 7 Nov 2024 | In Silver Bulletin's model, states with many polls are weighted almost entirely on polling averages, while states without polls default to 2020 results plus a uniform shift toward Trump. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Nate Silver | Factual | 7 Nov 2024 | The actual 2024 election map was the most common map in Silver Bulletin's final model, appearing in 4,660 of 80,000 simulations. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Promise | 7 Nov 2024 | Silver Bulletin will publish about 9-12 posts a month after the election wind-down. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Nate Silver | Promise | 7 Nov 2024 | Silver said he would probably begin with college basketball Elo ratings, with a goal of launching by the end of 2024, if not sooner. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
“It was over the period from 2003 and even up into 2005 with the various banks.”
Michael Burry, interviewed by FCIC 2025 Scion Funds annual letters compilation (investorkurs.no)
Scion negotiated its master agreements with the various banks between 2003 and 2005.
Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.
Cite this claim
Michael Burry, “Scion negotiated its master agreements with the various banks between 2003 and 2005.” (said 2025). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_f67163dfbe50, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f67163dfbe50
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.