666 claims · page 6 of 7
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | Bill Ackman wrote that, as the largest investor in the Pershing Square funds, he and the other members of the Pershing Square team had experienced the funds' recent underperformance first hand. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2018 | In 2017 Pershing Square's performance was hurt by the cost of the Allergan settlement, losses on the exit from Valeant, and losses from its short position in Herbalife. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Factual | 2018 | In 2016 GiveWell saw growth in the number of donors and amount donated in every donor size category reviewed, except donors giving $1 million or more per year. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Microsoft is the only cloud provider that operates in China under Chinese law. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Satya Nadella was a developer at Sun Microsystems, which he joined in 1990. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | In the mid-to-late 1990s Microsoft bought a couple of companies, which were some of its largest acquisitions. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Oct 2017 | Microsoft has 43 data center regions as of October 2017. Satya Nadella · Factual · Oct 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | Ray Dalio started going to China in 1984. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | Bridgewater has managed money since 1993 for Chinese institutions outside China. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | In the 1980s Dalio was wrong in expecting the worst economic conditions. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 12 Sep 2017 | Dalio said he was told that his process of being radically truthful was hurting people's morale. Ray Dalio · Factual · 12 Sep 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | Dario Amodei's PhD was not in machine learning. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 21 Jul 2017 | OpenAI is a nonprofit AI research lab. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Skin in the Game is Volume 5 of Taleb's Incerto. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 10 Jul 2017 | Fooled by Randomness is close to 20 years old. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 22 Jun 2017 | Facebook used to have a sense that connecting people online would by itself make many things in the world better. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 22 Jun 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 16 Jun 2017 | SpaceX plans to send a Dragon 2 propulsive lander to Mars in about two years, and probably another Dragon mission in 2020. Elon Musk · Promise · 16 Jun 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 17 Apr 2017 | Jeff Bezos said he told the Amazon Studios team it was debatable whether a recently greenlit original would be interesting enough, that it was complicated to produce, that the business terms were not that good, and that there were other opportunities. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 17 Apr 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 17 Apr 2017 | Jeff Bezos frequently uses "disagree and commit" on decisions himself. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 17 Apr 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 17 Apr 2017 | Jeff Bezos has been reminding people that it is Day 1 for a couple of decades. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 17 Apr 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | Mar 2017 | Ray Kurzweil said he visited Rosenblatt in 1962 when he was 14. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Mar 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 27 Feb 2017 | Berkshire Hathaway does not make hostile takeover bids. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Warren Buffett | Promise | 27 Feb 2017 | Berkshire will run the same NCAA bracket contest among its employees in 2017 as it did in 2016. Warren Buffett · Promise · 27 Feb 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 27 Feb 2017 | Berkshire closed its purchase of $3 billion of Dow Chemical preferred stock in April 2009, when the market had collapsed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Warren Buffett | Factual | 27 Feb 2017 | Buffett said Berkshire tried to time its sales of Dow Chemical stock once it rose above the conversion price, selling more aggressively as the price rose, because it did not want to own the roughly 72 million common shares. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 27 Feb 2017 | Berkshire's US Air preferred stock had a clause under which unpaid dividends compounded at a good rate. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Peter Thiel | Factual | 11 Jan 2017 | Thiel said he had watched the first season of HBO's Silicon Valley, that the character based on him died, and that he liked the character. Peter Thiel · Factual · 11 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | YC Continuity is YC's growth-stage fund. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | In 2016 about 22.3% of companies YC funded had a woman on the founding team and about 12.5% of founders funded were women. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | Besides Airbnb, Dropbox and Stripe, more than 50 YC companies are each worth more than $100 million. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Promise | 1 Jan 2017 | Sam Altman will teach YC's online startup course in 2017. Sam Altman · Promise · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | In 2016, YC funded 68 female founders at 52 companies. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | YC gives companies in its program $120k for 7% ownership and works intensively with them for 3 months, then less intensively afterwards. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | YC invested about $27 million in its Winter and Summer 2016 batches and about $187 million so far in later-stage investments from its first Continuity fund. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 1 Jan 2017 | As of January 1, 2017, Y Combinator had funded over 3,200 founders and 1,470 companies. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Ørsted | Promise | 2017 | DONG Energy will stop using coal altogether at its power plants from 2023. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Ørsted | Prediction | 2017 | DONG Energy's REnescience waste treatment plant in Northwich is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017. Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Ørsted | Promise | 2017 | DONG Energy's target is that 60% of the biomass it buys during 2017 will be certified as sustainable. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ørsted | Prediction | 2017 | With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever. Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 2017 | DONG Energy was listed on Nasdaq Copenhagen on 9 June 2016, the biggest IPO in Danish history. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Yann LeCun | Factual | 28 Jul 2016 | Yann LeCun gave a recent series of 8 lectures on deep learning at Collège de France in Paris. Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Peter Thiel | Factual | 21 Jul 2016 | Thiel does not agree with every plan in the Republican Party's platform. Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 21 Jul 2016 | When Buffett gives away his Berkshire shares, he always converts the Class A voting stock into Class B stock first. Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Peter Thiel | Factual | 21 Jul 2016 | Neither Peter Thiel nor Donald Trump is a politician. Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Peter Thiel | Factual | 21 Jul 2016 | Peter Thiel builds companies and supports people building new things, from social networks to rocket ships. Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | As the technology matures, all Tesla vehicles will have the hardware necessary to be fully self-driving with fail-operational capability. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 20 Jul 2016 | Tesla Autopilot miles will soon exceed twice 89 million miles, i.e. over 178 million miles. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Factual | 20 Jul 2016 | When used correctly, Tesla's Autopilot is already significantly safer than a person driving alone. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | In cities where demand exceeds the supply of customer-owned cars, Tesla will operate its own ride-hailing fleet. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | Tesla plans to address most of the consumer vehicle market with the Model 3, a future compact SUV and a new kind of pickup truck. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | Tesla will remove the beta label from Autopilot once it is approximately 10 times safer than the US vehicle average. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 20 Jul 2016 | Providing solar power has been on Tesla's website for 10 years. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 20 Jul 2016 | Refinement and validation of self-driving software will take much longer than installing the cameras, radar, sonar and computing hardware. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 20 Jul 2016 | The first Tesla master plan, written by Elon Musk 10 years before 2016, is in the final stages of completion. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | Tesla's version 1.0 of its Model 3 factory machine will probably arrive in 2018. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 20 Jul 2016 | Tesla plans to create an integrated solar-roof-with-battery product and scale it throughout the world. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | Jun 2016 | In his first blog post on Trump, in June 2016, Sam Altman said it would be a good time for everyone to start speaking up. Sam Altman · Factual · Jun 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 25 Jan 2016 | Scott Alexander makes predictions at the start of every year and scores them at the end of each year. Scott Alexander · Factual · 25 Jan 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2016 | In his previous quarterly letter written in January, Grantham said market commentators were too pessimistic on global stock markets, especially the U.S. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | Jan 2016 | Pershing Square has never attempted to hedge short-term market movements but has sought inexpensive hedges against the risk of dramatic market declines. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2016 | Grantham had earlier warned of trouble if China quickly slowed its demand growth for minerals. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | GiveWell | Factual | 2015 | In 2014, GiveWell tracked $27.8 million in money moved to its recommended charities. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 2015 | The UN agreed on a set of development goals once before, in 2000, and the authors call it one of the best ideas for development either of them has ever seen; they say it focused the world on key measures of basics such as good health and a chance to get an education. Bill Gates · Factual · 2015 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 2015 | Bill and Melinda Gates wrote the 2015 Annual Letter about what the future holds. Bill Gates · Factual · 2015 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Factual | 2015 | In 2014, GiveWell recommended and Good Ventures made two grants: $250,000 to Evidence Action and about $34,000 to IDinsight. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Rodney Brooks | Promise | 16 Dec 2014 | Starting in 2015, Rethink Robotics will provide APIs allowing developers to improve Baxter. Rodney Brooks · Promise · 16 Dec 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 16 Dec 2014 | Brooks first presented his 1986 layered-architecture work in France. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 30 Sep 2014 | Scott Alexander is a psychiatrist by profession. Scott Alexander · Factual · 30 Sep 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 10 Jul 2014 | Microsoft was founded on the belief that technology creates opportunities for people and organizations, by putting a PC on every desk and in every home. Satya Nadella · Factual · 10 Jul 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Satya Nadella | Promise | 10 Jul 2014 | During July 2014, Nadella and Microsoft's Senior Leadership Team will share more about the engineering and organization changes they believe are needed. Satya Nadella · Promise · 10 Jul 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 3 Mar 2014 | Tony Bates joined Microsoft through the Skype acquisition, where he was Skype CEO, and later led Microsoft's Business Development and Evangelism team. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 3 Mar 2014 | Mark Penn will be a member of and advisor to the SLT and continue to report to Satya Nadella. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 3 Mar 2014 | Mark Penn's work produced Microsoft's 'Honestly' campaign and Super Bowl ad, both widely cited across the industry as examples of high impact advertising. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 3 Mar 2014 | Mark Penn will take a new role at Microsoft as EVP, Chief Strategy Officer. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 3 Mar 2014 | Chris Capossela has served in senior leadership roles across Microsoft's marketing function for many years. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 3 Mar 2014 | Over the eight months before March 2014, Tami Reller led Microsoft's Marketing Group, combining many distinct teams. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Satya Nadella | Factual | 3 Mar 2014 | Tami Reller has held multiple CFO roles at Microsoft, for Microsoft Dynamics, the Product and Services Division and Windows. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 3 Mar 2014 | Eric Rudder will serve as interim leader of Microsoft's Business Development and Evangelism while continuing in his current role. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | Feb 2014 | The DONG Energy Group generated DKK 73 billion (EUR 9.8 billion) in revenue in 2013. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | Feb 2014 | DONG Energy's net investments were DKK 5.9 billion in 2013, compared with DKK 13.4 billion in 2012. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ørsted | Factual | Feb 2014 | With divestments exceeding DKK 15 billion and a DKK 13 billion capital injection in early 2014, DONG Energy's financial platform has been significantly strengthened. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Prediction | Feb 2014 | DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Ørsted | Prediction | Feb 2014 | DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 14 Jan 2014 | Vinod Khosla has not invested over a billion dollars of his own money into cleantech. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Jan 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 2014 | Sam Altman experienced plenty of rejection from investors while running his own startup. Sam Altman · Factual · 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 7 Dec 2013 | Square is possibly the most popular payment system, and when Khosla Ventures backed it everybody told Khosla it would take 10-15 years. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | Mar 2013 | The NVIDIA GRID VCA MAX model costs $39,900 plus a $4,800/yr software license covering unlimited devices. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | Mar 2013 | The NVIDIA GRID appliance provides a remote GPU-accelerated workspace for up to 16 concurrent users. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | Mar 2013 | The NVIDIA GRID VCA BASE model costs $24,900 plus a $2,400/yr software license covering unlimited devices. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | Mar 2013 | The NVIDIA GRID VCA is the world's first visual computing appliance. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | Mar 2013 | The GRID VCA BASE has 8 Kepler GPUs (4GB each), 16 CPU threads and 192 GB memory; the MAX has 16 GPUs, 32 threads and 384 GB. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 12 Dec 2012 | Nassim Taleb spent most of his adult life as an option trader. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 3 Dec 2012 | GMO is solvent and has stayed in business. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 3 Dec 2012 | GMO has modeled momentum and value as two key variables for 33 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 1 Nov 2012 | Steven Pinker's academic credentials are as an experimental psychologist. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Sep 2012 | Vinod Khosla recently read Ben Austen's WIRED article about Steve Jobs. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Sep 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 18 Jun 2012 | Pinker said he has argued that the concept of group selection has no useful role to play in psychology or social science. Steven Pinker · Factual · 18 Jun 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Jensen Huang | Promise | May 2012 | NVIDIA will make the Tesla K20 available in Q4 2012. Jensen Huang · Promise · May 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Apr 2012 | GMO's calls on the Japan 65 P/E market and the 2000 U.S. tech bubble were 2 to 3 years early. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 9 Feb 2012 | Berkshire holds significant amounts of currency-based investments, primarily short-term ones. Warren Buffett · Factual · 9 Feb 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
“As the largest investor in the Pershing Square funds, I and the other members of the Pershing Square team have experienced our recent underperformance first hand, but it is much worse to generate losses for shareholders who are relying on our efforts for their needs.”
Bill Ackman, letter to PSH shareholders 2018 Annual Report Year Ended December 31, 2017 - Letter (Pershing Square Holdings)
Bill Ackman wrote that, as the largest investor in the Pershing Square funds, he and the other members of the Pershing Square team had experienced the funds' recent underperformance first hand.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True if a 2018 Ackman letter or statement (for example a Pershing Square annual or quarterly letter) contains this statement in substance, describing himself as the largest investor in the Pershing Square funds and saying the team had experienced the recent underperformance first hand, and he was in fact the largest investor at that time. Mostly true if the wording or date is slightly off (for example the letter is dated early 2019 about 2018) but the substance matches. Mixed if he wrote it but his being the largest investor is shown to be inaccurate. Mostly false if the statement is materially paraphrased or attributed to a different context. False if no such writing by Ackman exists, shown by the full text of the relevant letters lacking it, or if it was written by someone else.
Evidence
- 2018 Annual Report Letter Only Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 7 August 2025 Own record
“All members of the Pershing Square team are incredibly appreciative of your support which we expect to richly reward over the long term. As I have often said, experience is making mistakes and learning from them, and learn we have done.”
- 2018 Annual Report Letter Only Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 7 August 2025 Own record
“As your 20% partner, we are highly incentivized to achieve a great outcome for all.”
- 2018 Annual Report Letter Only Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 7 August 2025 Own record
“Last May’s company self-tender for 9.5% of shares outstanding coupled with shares purchased thereafter by Pershing Square management have reduced the effective free float of PSH over the last 10 months by 24.5%.”
- (none) Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (2018 Annual Report, Letter to Shareholders, excerpt) Own record
“I and other members of the Pershing Square team have materially increased our investment in PSH through market purchases, and now own more than 20% of shares outstanding, representing more than $1 billion of PSH’s shareholder equity.”
- (none) Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (2018 Annual Report, Letter to Shareholders, excerpt) Own record
“As Pershing Square is one of the largest shareholders and often an insider, a portfolio-wide selling program would”
- (none) Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (2018 Annual Report, Letter to Shareholders, excerpt) Own record
“We outperformed our benchmark, the S&P 500, by 370 basis points with a 0.7% decline in NAV per share for the year.”
- Ackman letter reassures fund investors after steady losses New York Post · 26 March 2018
“Ackman noted that as the largest investor in his fund, he, too, is suffering from the losses.”
- Ackman letter reassures fund investors after steady losses New York Post · 26 March 2018
“"It is much worse to generate losses for shareholders who are relying on our efforts for their needs," Ackman said in a letter to investors in his publicly traded fund, which was contained in the fund's annual report.”
Reasoning
A New York Post report dated 26 March 2018 [E8, E9] says that in a letter in his publicly traded fund's annual report, Ackman wrote that as the largest investor in his fund he was also suffering from the losses. The report also quotes the final clause of the claimed sentence word for word [E9]. This independently confirms that the statement existed in substance in 2018, though no evidence shows the exact "first hand" wording. On whether he was the largest investor, the only support is Pershing Square's own later annual letter: it says he and the team owned more than 20% of PSH shares and calls them a "20% partner" [E2, E4]. That backs the claim but does not state outright that he was the single largest investor.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “Bill Ackman wrote that, as the largest investor in the Pershing Square funds, he and the other members of the Pershing Square team had experienced the funds' recent underperformance first hand.” (said 2018). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_33120ce73c01, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_33120ce73c01
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.