1,587 claims · page 6 of 16
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own records only | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Apr 2024 | Used magazines rented in old Delhi during Khosla's youth came from the U.S. and Europe and were therefore dated. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Apr 2024 | During Khosla's youth, nobody he knew had a business or tech background and India had no such role models. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Apr 2024 | Vinod Khosla calls himself a "venture assistant", which used to annoy his former colleague John Doerr. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Apr 2024 | When Andy Grove said he would talk about why electric vehicles are better than biofuels, Khosla told him to go ahead. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Apr 2024 | Khosla read about Andy Grove at Intel in magazines as a youth in India and was inspired by his story, and has said so publicly before. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Factual | 7 Apr 2024 | Reuters' report that Tesla scrapped its low-cost car plans is false. Elon Musk · Factual · 7 Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | Apr 2024 | Gary Marcus says that in April, when he first saw what he called direct empirical evidence that "this moment had come", he wrote a passage that he says he still stands by. Gary Marcus · Factual · Apr 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 31 Mar 2024 | In early August 2023 Gary Marcus wrote a piece titled 'What if Generative AI turned out to be a Dud', which was picked up by the Financial Times and other outlets. Gary Marcus · Factual · 31 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | 29 Mar 2024 | Yann LeCun gave a lecture hosted by the Center of Mathematical Sciences and Applications at Harvard on 2024-03-28 to a full house. Yann LeCun · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 19 Mar 2024 | Musk typically works 16-hour days. Elon Musk · Factual · 19 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Elon Musk wanted total control of OpenAI to turn it around. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Sam Altman | Promise | 18 Mar 2024 | OpenAI will release an amazing new model in 2024. Sam Altman · Promise · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Sam Altman | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Sam Altman has recently been using GPT-4 as a brainstorming partner. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Altman said his memory was that Musk's proposal was for OpenAI to be acquired by Tesla, with Tesla having full control, adding that he was "pretty sure" of this. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Asked whether OpenAI's compute was in the same nuclear facility, Altman said there is no nuclear facility. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Elon Musk says he cares a great deal about AI safety and is really worried about it. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Elon Musk chose to part ways with OpenAI. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 18 Mar 2024 | Nassim Taleb has no connection to the website "nassimtaleb.org". Nassim Taleb · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Yann LeCun | Factual | 8 Mar 2024 | Yann LeCun has had much experience working with people who are smarter than him. Yann LeCun · Factual · 8 Mar 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Feb 2024 | Before founding DeepMind, its founders already knew that progress on these ideas would create unbelievably transformative technology. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Feb 2024 | Google DeepMind devotes about half its effort to scaling and half to inventing next architectures and algorithms. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Feb 2024 | DeepMind has always bet on generality and learning as the core of its techniques, focusing on reinforcement learning, search and deep learning. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Feb 2024 | DeepMind and Google Brain previously collaborated project by project, and now collaborate more deeply and broadly. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Feb 2024 | Gemini is the first product of the DeepMind–Google Brain collaboration, and its name implies twins. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | Feb 2024 | After Sora's February 2024 announcement, Marcus predicted its physics troubles would persist, and they have. Gary Marcus · Factual · Feb 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 24 Jan 2024 | Tesla's first manufacturing location for its next-gen vehicle will be its Gigafactory and headquarters in Austin, Texas. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 24 Jan 2024 | Musk said he thinks Tesla has a good chance of shipping some number of Optimus units in 2025, and he called Optimus a brand-new product. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 24 Jan 2024 | Elon Musk was in Tesla's Optimus lab until around midnight the night before the January 2024 earnings call. Elon Musk · Factual · 24 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 24 Jan 2024 | Musk said Tesla's current schedule is to start production toward the end of 2025, sometime in the second half, while noting that he is often optimistic regarding time. Elon Musk · Promise · 24 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2024 | Brooks has spent his whole professional life developing robots, and his companies have built more robots than anyone else's. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2024 | Brooks bought his first electric car in 2023. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2024 | Brooks took almost forty rides in Cruise vehicles in San Francisco in 2023 under the company's rider programs. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2024 | Before 2018 Rodney Brooks had worked on humanoid robots for over twenty-five years and built research humanoids and thousands of humanoid robots deployed in factories. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Elon Musk | Factual | Jan 2024 | Tesla is very far along on its next-generation low-cost vehicle, as of the January 2024 earnings call. Elon Musk · Factual · Jan 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Pershing Square's hedging strategy has generated large profits that were generally reinvested in core holdings at lower valuations during market disruptions. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Day One Investors multiplied their investment 22 times versus seven times for a zero-fee S&P 500 index fund. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Pershing Square's NAV returns compounded at 25.3% over the last six calendar years, 1,320 bps per year above the S&P 500's total return. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | PSH's stock currently trades at a 26.3% discount to NAV. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Day One Investors in Pershing Square grew their equity at a 16.5% compounded annual rate over 20 years versus 10.0% for the S&P 500. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Pershing Square continues to maintain an energy-related hedge against a large rise in energy prices. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 2024 | Pershing Square's asymmetric investments could become an even more important contributor to returns over time. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | SPARC has no underwriting fees, shareholder warrants or founder stock, and has 10 years to execute a deal. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Pershing Square has 40 employees. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 2024 | Reducing PSH's performance fees will produce higher returns, lower fees on the KID document and make PSH a more attractive investment. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Pershing Square has not made an activist investment in nearly eight years. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2024 | Cumulative total NAV return since inception is 2,078% versus 592% for the S&P 500. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 30 Dec 2023 | Khosla was a fan of the effective altruism approach when he first read the book years ago. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 30 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 30 Dec 2023 | Starship will make life as we know it multiplanetary for the first time in Earth's roughly 4.5 billion year existence. Elon Musk · Prediction · 30 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 29 Dec 2023 | Musk will give a SpaceX company talk the week after 2023-12-29, and a Tesla company talk later, after Tesla's 10-K. Elon Musk · Promise · 29 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 29 Dec 2023 | SpaceX achieved 96 launches in 2023. Elon Musk · Factual · 29 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 29 Dec 2023 | Musk will recap 2023 accomplishments and describe 2024 plans in the SpaceX and Tesla company talks, posted publicly to @SpaceX and @Tesla. Elon Musk · Promise · 29 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 21 Dec 2023 | An X Spaces session with Cathie Wood will take place about three hours after this post on 2023-12-21. Elon Musk · Promise · 21 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Research failed | Elon Musk | Factual | 18 Dec 2023 | A Starship Super Heavy Booster was moved to the launch pad on or around 2023-12-18. Elon Musk · Factual · 18 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 17 Dec 2023 | It took 66 years from first powered flight to a moon landing, and about 50 years have passed since the last moon landing. Elon Musk · Factual · 17 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 14 Dec 2023 | Over two decades before December 2023, Khosla figured AI would force us to rethink what it means to be human. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 3 Dec 2023 | The same 2017 NBER presentation by Khosla included the top 20 job categories that will be affected by AI and AGI. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 3 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 3 Dec 2023 | In a 2017 presentation to NBER, Khosla used expert opinion on when AGI would arrive. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 3 Dec 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 30 Nov 2023 | OpenAI has said throughout 2023 that it expects AI progress to continue. Sam Altman · Factual · 30 Nov 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 30 Nov 2023 | OpenAI consistently said it expects AI progress to continue, even when accused of fear-mongering, marketing or regulatory capture. Sam Altman · Factual · 30 Nov 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 29 Nov 2023 | Roubini published a recent Project Syndicate piece discussing the rise in economic threats and their interactions with social, political, environmental and technological developments. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 29 Nov 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 15 Nov 2023 | Microsoft's global infrastructure investment and lead in AI will work to its competitive advantage. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 15 Nov 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 15 Nov 2023 | Microsoft has deployed its own Copilot for customer service internally, for Azure support. Satya Nadella · Factual · 15 Nov 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 15 Nov 2023 | Microsoft has more data center regions than any other company. Satya Nadella · Factual · 15 Nov 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 26 Oct 2023 | Gary Marcus emphasized a CERN for AI and global AI governance in April 2023 in his TED talk and in The Economist. Gary Marcus · Factual · 26 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | On a self-driving car ride about two days before 21 October 2023, Brooks felt real fear for half a second, thinking he might be in an extremely bad accident. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | Brooks said he has reported on particular autonomous vehicle rides, his or others', when he thought the vehicles had done something for which a human driver would somehow be sanctioned. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | In April 2012 Rodney Brooks took his first ride in a self-driving car on public roads, in a Google vehicle. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | As of October 2023 Rodney Brooks regularly rides in Cruise autonomous vehicles in San Francisco, more than once a week. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | In summer 1979 Rodney Brooks worked as Hans Moravec's assistant at the Stanford AI Lab, helping test Moravec's self-driving Cart for his PhD thesis. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | The warehouse mobile robots built by Brooks's current startup are safe in the presence of humans. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 21 Oct 2023 | Rodney Brooks made predictions about autonomous vehicles, AI and space on 1 January 2018 and has reviewed them every 1 January since. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Sep 2023 | Llama 2 has received more downloads and usage than Zuckerberg expected, even though he was optimistic. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Sep 2023 | As of September 2023, Meta was not close to open sourcing its next foundation model that month and was still somewhat early in working on it. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Sep 2023 | Meta is building a platform called AI Studio that will, over time, let anyone create AI characters like other user-generated content. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Sep 2023 | Meta will probably start releasing the creator-built AI versions of themselves in 2024. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Sep 2023 | Meta will release a first version of AI avatar expression soon after its Connect event in September 2023. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Sep 2023 | Meta is releasing the Quest 3 headset at a price of $500. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Sep 2023 | Meta is always training another model beyond its current released one. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Sep 2023 | Meta made AI characters based on Jane Austen and Marcus Aurelius. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 Sep 2023 | Nate Silver has occasionally voted Republican or independent for state or local office. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 Sep 2023 | Nate Silver has voted Democrat for president in every election since he was old enough, except 2012, when he did not vote. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 Sep 2023 | Nate Silver has consistently scored in about the same place on the Political Compass test for many years. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 Sep 2023 | In spring 2016, Nate Silver registered as a Republican to vote for John Kasich in the New York presidential primary. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Promise | 11 Sep 2023 | Subscribers to Silver Bulletin will keep paying the price they signed up for as long as they remain continually subscribed, even if the price rises for new subscribers. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nate Silver | Promise | 11 Sep 2023 | Silver Bulletin will publish occasional paywalled posts on other topics for paid subscribers. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nate Silver | Factual | 11 Sep 2023 | Nate Silver said launching FiveThirtyEight was basically his fourth career, after management consulting, professional poker, and baseball analytics. Nate Silver · Factual · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Promise | 11 Sep 2023 | If Nate Silver stops regularly writing Silver Bulletin, he will suspend payment on monthly subscriptions. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 11 Sep 2023 | Nate Silver turned on paid subscriptions for the Silver Bulletin newsletter by 11 September 2023. Nate Silver · Factual · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Promise | 11 Sep 2023 | Nate Silver will hold periodic paid-subscriber-only Q&A threads on Silver Bulletin, answering questions from paid subscribers. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Promise | 11 Sep 2023 | Most answers in the paid Q&A threads on Silver Bulletin will be behind the paywall. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nate Silver | Promise | 11 Sep 2023 | If Nate Silver stops regularly writing Silver Bulletin, he will provide a low-friction option for a prorated refund for annual subscribers. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Nate Silver | Factual | 11 Sep 2023 | The median Silver Bulletin post now gets about the same views as the median post Nate Silver wrote at FiveThirtyEight, with less variance (higher floor, lower ceiling so far). Nate Silver · Factual · 11 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 2 Sep 2023 | Andreessen Horowitz holds certain meetings where everyone puts their phones face down. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 2 Sep 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 8 Aug 2023 | Dario Amodei did not think AI scaling would hit a wall, and a few other people shared that view, when a wall was a more plausible case. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 8 Aug 2023 | Anthropic's security measures will defend against most attacks and against a less determined state-level actor. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 8 Aug 2023 | Anthropic published a blog post on security stating it has a two-key system for access to model weights. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 8 Aug 2023 | Dario Amodei has pushed for better cybersecurity at every organisation where he has worked. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 8 Aug 2023 | Anthropic's current security measures are not sufficient against a super determined state-level actor. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 8 Aug 2023 | Dario Amodei formed his view on scaling gradually between 2014 and 2017. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 8 Aug 2023 | Anthropic is focusing heavily on cybersecurity, including working with its cloud providers. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
“They were coming from the U.S. and Europe, so they were old.”
Vinod Khosla, writing a letter reply 9 April 2024 Letters to a Young Founder: Vinod Khosla (The Generalist)
Used magazines rented in old Delhi during Khosla's youth came from the U.S. and Europe and were therefore dated.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Reasoning
Personal recollection of magazine sources in old Delhi with no independent record.
Cite this claim
Vinod Khosla, “Used magazines rented in old Delhi during Khosla's youth came from the U.S. and Europe and were therefore dated.” (said 9 April 2024). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_a2ee7e40ad88, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_a2ee7e40ad88
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.