Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

446 claims · page 5 of 5

446 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Over the next 15 years more innovations will reach the poor than ever before. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Within 15 years, farming innovations will end the paradox of African farmers suffering malnutrition. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 With the right investments, African farm productivity can rise 50 percent for the continent overall. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Economics and markets
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 The world will make unprecedented progress in global health over the next 15 years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 By 2030, 2 billion people without a bank account in 2015 will store money and make payments with their phones. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Economics and markets
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Child deaths will fall by half, and more diseases will be eradicated than ever before. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Prediction 16 Dec 2014 Brooks said he did not think robots over the next fifty, or even a hundred, years would be able to do everything, and that people would see more and more collaboration with machines during their lifetimes. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 16 Dec 2014 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 China will go from 50% capital spending to 30%, if lucky, smoothly over 20 years. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 The growth boost from fracking will peak at about 0.5%, fairly quickly, within a forecast running to 2030. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Over the next twenty years no one will mistake a robot for a person, but people will interact and collaborate with robots, which will become as common in daily life as search engines are today. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 Technology
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 9 Feb 2012 Buffett said he was confident that, over the century, the $9.6 trillion current valuation of pile A will compound at a rate far inferior to that achieved by pile B. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 9 Feb 2012 Economics and markets
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 World population will have risen from 1 billion to at least 8 billion, and possibly 11 billion, over the 1800 to about 2050 window. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction Jul 2010 Almost everywhere people will end up working into their late 60s until the baby-bust passes through the population profile, becoming less painful in about 40 years. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Jul 2010 Economics and markets
Not yet due Peter Thiel Prediction 13 Apr 2009 The libertarian future of classic science fiction, as in Heinlein, will not happen before the second half of the 21st century. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 13 Apr 2009 Other global risks
Not yet due Vinod Khosla Prediction 28 Sep 2007 Around 2057, the world will probably have moved to all electric cars. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 28 Sep 2007 Technology
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Americans will live better ten or twenty years after 2007 than they do today, despite the unwise course of U.S. borrowing. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Economics and markets
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 Kurzweil said it is conservative to project that within 30 decades (300 years) current computational capacities would be multiplied by a factor of 10^90, exceeding Seth Lloyd's estimate of 10^90 bits in the universe. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI compute, hardware and data
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 Within 25 years of 2002, humans will have the scanning data and neuron models to build a model of the principles of operation of the human brain. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 Intelligence will completely saturate the earth and solar system sometime in the 22nd century. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 The 21st century will see about 20,000 years of progress at today's rate, a thousand times the 20th century. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 If the speed of light limit could be overcome, within 300 years human-origin intelligence would saturate the whole universe. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 The spread of our intelligence through the universe, which he describes as slow and governed by the speed of light, will begin within 200 years of 2002. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 Within 25 years of 2002, humans will reverse-engineer the brain and go on to develop superintelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 If the speed of light is not a limit, within 300 years our intelligence would saturate the whole universe, making it supremely intelligent. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 In the 2020s non-biological computation will cross over and, in hardware terms, dominate biological computation quantitatively. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI compute, hardware and data
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 Within 200 years of 2002, our intelligence will nearly saturate the available matter and energy in and around the solar system, given current understanding of computation limits. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 12 Dec 2002 Because the rate of progress doubles every decade, the technical milestone under discussion will take only 25 calendar years from 2002 to reach. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 12 Dec 2002 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 By 2050, $1000 of computing will equal the processing power of all human brains on Earth. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 Most of civilization's intelligence will be nonbiological, and by the end of the 21st century will be trillions of trillions of times more powerful than human intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 By the third decade of the twenty-first century, we will be in a position to create highly detailed and complete maps of all relevant features of all neurons, neural connections and synapses in the human brain, and to recreate these designs in suitably advanced neural computers. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 By 2030, nanobot technology will be viable and brain scanning will be a prominent application. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 Science and research methods
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 Kurzweil said we can conservatively expect the requisite nanobot technology by around 2030. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 Science and research methods
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 The 21st century will see on the order of twenty thousand years of progress, measured at the rate of progress current when the statement was made (January 2001). Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 According to Kurzweil's models, the physical limits of matter and energy for intelligent processes won't be approached this century but will become an issue within a couple of centuries. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 AI compute, hardware and data
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction Jan 2001 The 21st century will see almost a thousand times greater technological change than the 20th century. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 By 2030, going to a web site will mean entering a full immersion virtual reality environment. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Nonbiological intelligence, growing at a double exponential rate, will vastly exceed biological intelligence well before the middle of the twenty-first century. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 By the end of the 21st century nonbiological thinking will be trillions of trillions of times more powerful than that of biological humans. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 By 2099, intelligence from human-machine civilization will be trillions of trillions of times more powerful than in 2001, mostly nonbiological. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 From a practical perspective, people will accept the claims of nonbiological intelligent machines in the twenty-first century that they are conscious. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Nonbiological computing will overtake total human biological thinking capacity before 2030. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Nanobot technology will be feasible within 30 years of 2001, based on miniaturization and cost reduction trends. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Before the 22nd century begins, humanity will merge with its computational technology with no clear human-machine distinction. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 By the second half of the 21st century there will be no clear distinction between human and machine intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Biological brains will be vastly expanded through distributed nanobot-based implants. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 If paradigm shifts keep doubling about every decade, technological progress in the 21st century will be equivalent to what the linear view would require on the order of 20,000 years. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 AI timelines and forecasting
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Bill Gates

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Prediction Technology

“Life will get better, faster, because the number of innovations reaching the poor will be greater than ever before.”

Bill and Melinda Gates, joint letter 2015 Bill and Melinda Gates, Annual Letter 2015 (Gates Notes)

Over the next 15 years more innovations will reach the poor than ever before.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

deadline 2030 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Bill Gates, “Over the next 15 years more innovations will reach the poor than ever before.” (said 2015). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_772835f9990f, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_772835f9990f

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.