Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

1,587 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Promise 11 Nov 2024 Anthropic will release models more powerful than the models that exist today. Dario Amodei · Promise · 11 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 11 Nov 2024 In 2017, seeing GPT-1 results convinced Amodei that language was probably the area where scaling could work. Dario Amodei · Factual · 11 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Gary Marcus Factual 9 Nov 2024 Melanie Mitchell, Subbarao Kambhampati, Emily Bender, Ernie Davis and others have long emphasized that LLMs have principled limits. Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 9 Nov 2024 Gary Marcus has for years warned that AI scaling by adding data and compute without architectural changes would not continue forever. Gary Marcus · Factual · 9 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Factual 7 Nov 2024 In Silver Bulletin's final model, Harris won all swing states except Arizona in about 4 percent of simulations. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Prediction 7 Nov 2024 The model's other 48 of 50 state calls will be right, assuming Trump's leads in Arizona and Nevada hold, which Silver said they almost certainly will. Nate Silver · Prediction · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Promise 7 Nov 2024 Silver Bulletin will publish about 9-12 posts a month after the election wind-down. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Nate Silver Promise 7 Nov 2024 Silver said he would probably begin with college basketball Elo ratings, with a goal of launching by the end of 2024, if not sooner. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Promise 7 Nov 2024 Silver Bulletin will make all its posts free during the post-election wind-down period, except a bonus subscriber questions post. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nate Silver Factual 7 Nov 2024 Nate Silver voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Promise 7 Nov 2024 Silver said the plan was for Silver Bulletin to have one paid post and one free post a week, in addition to SBSQ subscriber-questions posts. Nate Silver · Promise · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Factual 7 Nov 2024 In simulations producing the actual map, projected state margins missed actual results by an average of 2.3 points, given results reported so far. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 7 Nov 2024 In Silver Bulletin's final model, a Trump sweep of the seven swing states was the most common scenario, occurring in 20 percent of simulations. Nate Silver · Factual · 7 Nov 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 28 Oct 2024 No quid pro quo of any kind was involved in the Washington Post's decision not to endorse a presidential candidate in 2024. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Factual 28 Oct 2024 Jeff Bezos says the Washington Post's late decision to stop endorsing presidential candidates resulted from inadequate planning, not an intentional strategy. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Factual 28 Oct 2024 There was no connection between the Trump meeting with Blue Origin executives and the Washington Post's decision not to endorse. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Factual 28 Oct 2024 Jeff Bezos did not know beforehand about the Trump meeting with Blue Origin executives held on the day the Post announced its non-endorsement. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 28 Oct 2024 Neither presidential campaign nor candidate was consulted or informed about the Washington Post's non-endorsement decision, which was made entirely internally. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Demis Hassabis Factual 21 Oct 2024 Around 15 years ago, when DeepMind was founded, almost nobody was working on artificial general intelligence/AI of this kind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 21 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Factual 8 Oct 2024 Since the Silver Bulletin forecast relaunch on July 30, 2024, Harris has won 49.4 percent of simulations on average and Trump 50.2 percent. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Oct 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 During the rewrite, the share of Facebook's traffic that was monetizable shrank as web declined and mobile grew. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 Zuckerberg said he did not know, but that something about the way his company shifted its operations around COVID, when tech companies temporarily went remote, might have played a part. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Mark Zuckerberg Promise 18 Sep 2024 Meta is close to showing off its first prototype of the full AR glasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 Zuckerberg said he told Alex Himel, who he described as running the product group, that he thought they should probably pivot the product to make Meta AI its primary feature. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Sep 2024 It will take Meta about another 10 years to fully work through the cycle before its brand recovers to where it might have been. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 Facebook built the first version of News Feed in 2006, when social networks were basically profiles. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Sep 2024 Apple will be Meta's primary competitor, in a competition that goes beyond product to values and ideology. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 The mobile rewrite period lasted about a year and a half and was painful for Facebook. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Sep 2024 Zuckerberg said he thinks what he was describing will be important for the world and will work over time. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 Meta has been working on its AR glasses project for 10 years. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Sep 2024 Before 2016, sentiment about Facebook was positive in every month except perhaps around its IPO period. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Sep 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 16 Aug 2024 If all goes well, biotech founders who come to the Network School will eventually help people surpass their genetic limits and live much longer. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 16 Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 16 Aug 2024 Balaji Srinivasan has teamed up with Bryan Johnson to set up Blueprint-inspired food and fitness for the Network School community. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 16 Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 13 Aug 2024 Nate Silver has moved his election forecast model back to his Silver Bulletin newsletter, where the probabilities are technically paywalled. Nate Silver · Factual · 13 Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Factual 13 Aug 2024 In 2024 Nate Silver is releasing a book, a newsletter and a podcast. Nate Silver · Factual · 13 Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nate Silver Factual 13 Aug 2024 Nate Silver interviewed OpenAI CEO Sam Altman in about August 2022, when OpenAI was internally developing ChatGPT 3.5 and GPT-4. Nate Silver · Factual · 13 Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual Aug 2024 PSCM's new independent directors include long-term investors in PSH and the Pershing Square funds as well as new investors in the management company. Bill Ackman · Factual · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual Aug 2024 The Network School site in Malaysia is less than an hour from Singapore, which has an international airport (Changi). Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 Pershing Square said its core portfolio companies continue to generate strong business performance, which it expects over time to be reflected in their long-term stock price performance. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Aug 2024 Since restructuring away from open-end fund management in 2017, Pershing Square's investment team has allocated substantially all its time to investing. Bill Ackman · Factual · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction Aug 2024 By reducing its performance fees, PSH will generate higher net returns, report lower fees on its KID disclosure, and become a more attractive investment for asset managers and other investors. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 23 Jul 2024 Meta is building internal teams to enable developers and partners to use Llama and is actively building partnerships with ecosystem companies. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 23 Jul 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 23 Jul 2024 Llama is already leading on openness, modifiability, and cost efficiency. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 23 Jul 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 23 Jul 2024 Meta expects that, starting in 2025, future Llama models will become the most advanced AI models in the industry. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 23 Jul 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Factual 9 Jul 2024 Many things Kurzweil imagined in 2005 are now coming true. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 9 Jul 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Gates Factual 25 Jun 2024 At the first Breakthrough Energy Summit in 2022, Bill Gates shared updates on technologies and companies addressing the five grand challenges of climate change. Bill Gates · Factual · 25 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 25 Jun 2024 At the 2024 Breakthrough Energy Summit in London, a portfolio of clean technologies described as proven and ready for the market today was presented. Bill Gates · Factual · 25 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 20 Jun 2024 Pinker's X account was hacked earlier on the evening of 2024-06-20. Steven Pinker · Factual · 20 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Gates Factual 18 Jun 2024 Bill Gates spoke to CBS's Face the Nation about bipartisan support for nuclear energy and meeting America's growing electrification needs. Bill Gates · Factual · 18 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 15 Jun 2024 The latest episode of The Life of the Mind features work Pinker did with Sam Mehr. Steven Pinker · Factual · 15 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 14 Jun 2024 Over the past decade NVIDIA transformed from a graphics/GPU company into an AI company building data-center-scale supercomputers. Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual 14 Jun 2024 Both of NVIDIA's chief scientists were from Caltech. Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 14 Jun 2024 Jensen Huang has led NVIDIA for 31 years without the company going out of business or him being fired. Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual 14 Jun 2024 Jensen Huang said he believes he is the longest-running tech CEO in the world today. Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual 14 Jun 2024 In 2016 NVIDIA announced DGX-1, its first AI supercomputer, and Huang delivered the first one to OpenAI, then a San Francisco startup. Jensen Huang · Factual · 14 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 4 Jun 2024 Bill Gates has an upcoming memoir titled Source Code about the lessons and experiences that laid the foundation for his later life. Bill Gates · Factual · 4 Jun 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 13 May 2024 Melinda French Gates will have a huge impact in her future philanthropic work after leaving the Gates Foundation. Bill Gates · Prediction · 13 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 13 May 2024 The Gates Foundation will keep making substantial progress on its mission of a world where every person can live a healthy, productive life. Bill Gates · Prediction · 13 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 13 May 2024 Bill Gates stated that Melinda, as co-founder and co-chair of the Gates Foundation, was instrumental in shaping its strategies and initiatives, significantly impacting global health and gender equality. Bill Gates · Factual · 13 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 The meeting bookstore normally carries about 25 books, and Buffett said he thought about 2,400 copies of Poor Charlie's Almanack (fourth edition) were sold the day before. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Warren Buffett alone made the decision for Berkshire to sell its Paramount stake, with no involvement from Ted Weschler or Todd Combs. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Buffett receives very few calls from Berkshire's operating managers, close to zero. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Warren Buffett said he thinks he read Ben Graham's book about five or six times. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 5 May 2024 If anything happened to Buffett, Berkshire would be working extremely well the next day. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Charlie Munger understood the importance of psychology, human behavior and incentives very early. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Buffett said he was responsible for the purchase and for the operation until Greg Abel took over. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Warren Buffett Promise 5 May 2024 Poor Charlie's Almanack will be the only book at the Berkshire meeting bookstore next year. Warren Buffett · Promise · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Buffett first went to GEICO in 1950. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Buffett read through the Moody's Transportation Manual a couple of times when he was about 20 or 21. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Buffett does not get phone calls from Berkshire's operating managers. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 5 May 2024 Berkshire's CEO succession is settled for the next 20 years unless something untoward happens. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Berkshire has not historically been very tough on managers who coasted. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 5 May 2024 Berkshire needed Disney's approval to use the Desperate Housewives actresses in its meeting movie, and the approval was easily obtained. Warren Buffett · Factual · 5 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 4 May 2024 Berkshire's operating executives overwhelmingly prefer to talk to Greg Abel and Ajit Jain rather than to Buffett. Warren Buffett · Factual · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 If anything happened to Buffett, Berkshire would work extremely well the next day. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 4 May 2024 On 4 May 2024, Buffett said it had been reported to him that See's Candy set a new record. Warren Buffett · Factual · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Buffett said that Greg will do something about a problem he described, which he said he and Charlie would not have acted on, not because they did not know it should be done but because they were doing so well themselves. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Buffett says Berkshire's CEO succession problem is solved for the next 20 years unless something untoward happens. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 4 May 2024 Berkshire has not historically been very tough on managers who coasted. Warren Buffett · Factual · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Apple will very likely still be Berkshire's largest common stock holding at the end of 2024, despite Berkshire having sold some shares. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Buffett said he feels very comfortable that the post-Buffett decision will be made by Berkshire's board, which he said has loads of brainpower and a dedication to an unusual institution and will figure things out. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 4 May 2024 Warren Buffett said he thinks he read Ben Graham's book about five or six times. Warren Buffett · Factual · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 4 May 2024 Utah is very likely to treat Berkshire's utility business fairly, including on granting appropriate rates. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 4 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jensen Huang Factual 2 May 2024 Jensen Huang said he and his two co-founders decided to start the company at this Denny's. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual 2 May 2024 After its first graphics chip attempt failed, Nvidia pivoted to a different approach, with engineers and co-founders Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jensen Huang Factual 2 May 2024 Jensen Huang has never seen a company whose earnings increased without it hiring more people. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Zuckerberg said he thinks Meta had the extra GPU capacity because it was working on Reels. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta concluded it must solve general intelligence and increased its investment to do so. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Zuckerberg decided Meta should order enough GPUs for Reels and ranking needs, plus double that amount. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta started Facebook AI Research (FAIR) about 10 years before 2024. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Amodei says he has found a workflow that does not use the models for the part where they help little (in the surrounding text, generating initial ideas), and says they can help with expressing and refining ideas. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Dario Amodei occasionally uses Anthropic's internal models to assist with his strategy writing and thinking. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Dario Amodei said that at Anthropic he writes strategic planning documents or does some new thinking, possibly on directions others have not covered. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic introduced its Responsible Scaling Plan at the end of 2023, setting thresholds for AI system capabilities. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic's models are currently at AI Safety Level ASL-2. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 In Amodei's short-term personal experience, he has always found a workflow in which AI tools assist him. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Khosla Ventures holds a CEO Summit for its founders every year in May. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 After moving to America, Khosla got to know Andy Grove fairly well and told him the story of reading about him in magazines. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 While growing up, Vinod Khosla basically never met anyone outside the Indian Army. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 In 2007 Khosla called Andy Grove and asked him to speak to Khosla Ventures' founders. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Back to the list

Dario Amodei

Open its page

Promise Their own work or organisation

“There will definitely be more powerful models coming from us than the models that exist today. That is certain.”

Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic 11 November 2024 Transcript for Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future of AI & Humanity (Lex Fridman Podcast)

Anthropic will release models more powerful than the models that exist today.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

The claim is that Anthropic will release models more powerful than 'the models that exist today', meaning those that existed on 11 Nov 2024. TRUE: Anthropic publicly released a model after 11 Nov 2024 that outperforms every model available on that date on broad capability benchmarks. These benchmarks may be Anthropic's own published results or independent evaluations. MOSTLY TRUE: the released model clearly exceeds all of Anthropic's own models as of that date (Claude 3.5 Sonnet and 3 Opus) but only matches some competitors' models then existing. MOSTLY FALSE: models were only announced or previewed and not released, or the improvement is marginal and limited to narrow tasks. FALSE: Anthropic stopped developing frontier models, or every model it released afterwards is less capable than its Nov 2024 models.

Evidence

  1. LLM Leaderboard (Nov 2026): Top AI Models | BenchLeader BenchLeader · 1 November 2026
    “As of 4 Nov 2026, the best AI model overall on independent benchmarks is Claude Opus 5.5 by Anthropic, with a BenchLeader Index of 69.3, ahead of Gemini 4 Carbon (69.2) and GPT-6 Astra (68.2).”
  2. LLM Leaderboard - Comparison of AI models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI & others | Artificial Analysis Artificial Analysis
    “The top models by Intelligence Index are: 1. Gemini 4 Carbon (High) (60), 2. Claude Opus 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback) (59), 3. Gemini 4 Carbon (Medium) (58), 4. Claude Opus 5.5 (Xhigh, Default Fallback) (57), 5. GPT-6 Astra (Max) (57).”
  3. Introducing Claude 4 Anthropic · 22 May 2025 Own record
    “Claude Opus 4 is our most powerful model yet and the best coding model in the world, leading on SWE-bench (72.5%) and Terminal-bench (43.2%).”
  4. Claude 3.7 Sonnet and Claude Code Anthropic · 24 February 2025 Own record
    “Today, we’re announcing Claude 3.7 Sonnet1, our most intelligent model to date and the first hybrid reasoning model on the market.”

Reasoning

The independent leaderboards rank Claude Opus 5.5 at or near the top of the models current in 2026 (E1, E2), but neither compares it with the models available on 11 Nov 2024. Anthropic's own announcements claim a lead only in coding (E3) or only over Anthropic's earlier models (E4), so the evidence does not show that a later model outperformed every model available on that date on broad benchmarks.

Cite this claim

Dario Amodei, “Anthropic will release models more powerful than the models that exist today.” (said 11 November 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e8023fc20886, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e8023fc20886

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.