Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

973 claims · page 4 of 10

973 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual 2 May 2024 Nvidia's GPU performs quadrillions of calculations per second. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 May 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta started Facebook AI Research (FAIR) about 10 years before 2024. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 18 Apr 2024 A 1GW data center will be built eventually, but not in 2025 (next year). Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 18 Apr 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Promise 18 Apr 2024 Meta has a roadmap of new Llama releases bringing multimodality, more multilinguality and bigger context windows. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 18 Apr 2024 Meta did not prioritize coding when working on Llama 2. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 18 Apr 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 The Star Trek series depicts a highly developed universe in which humans live longer and have expanded into space. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Other
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 12 Apr 2024 Anthropic's models are currently at AI Safety Level ASL-2. Dario Amodei · Factual · 12 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Apr 2024 Worldwide child mortality was cut by more than half between 1990 and 2019. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Apr 2024 Other
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 9 Apr 2024 Khosla read about Andy Grove at Intel in magazines as a youth in India and was inspired by his story, and has said so publicly before. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Apr 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 In discussing the katechon, Thiel said the Roman emperor Nero was the proto-Antichrist. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Other
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Peter Thiel was extremely influenced by the 1997 book The Sovereign Individual by Rees-Mogg and Davidson. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual Apr 2024 Five or six years before 2024, Thiel made the argument that if crypto is libertarian, AI is communist. Peter Thiel · Factual · Apr 2024 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Ray Kurzweil Factual 29 Mar 2024 In the roughly 80 years the speaker refers to, the event he calls "it" has not happened, although atomic weapons are held by people he describes as "not the nicest people in the world". Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 29 Mar 2024 Other global risks
Delivered on time Sam Altman Promise 18 Mar 2024 OpenAI will release an amazing new model in 2024. Sam Altman · Promise · 18 Mar 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 18 Mar 2024 Elon Musk says he cares a great deal about AI safety and is really worried about it. Sam Altman · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 18 Mar 2024 Nassim Taleb has no connection to the website "nassimtaleb.org". Nassim Taleb · Factual · 18 Mar 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 8 Mar 2024 A social media company added a feature allowing easy phone calls to Congress. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 8 Mar 2024 Technology
Resolved true Jensen Huang Factual Mar 2024 As of March 2024, Google and the whole industry were preparing to adopt Nvidia's Blackwell chip. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2024 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Prediction 28 Feb 2024 Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 28 Feb 2024 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 28 Feb 2024 Hassabis said he thinks Google DeepMind helped pioneer RLHF. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 AI capabilities
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Promise 28 Feb 2024 Google DeepMind will start publishing its safety checks and capability-based safeguards, having already internal checks and balances. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 28 Feb 2024 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual Feb 2024 After Sora's February 2024 announcement, Marcus predicted its physics troubles would persist, and they have. Gary Marcus · Factual · Feb 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 24 Jan 2024 Tesla once produced only about 10 cars a week, not long ago. Elon Musk · Factual · 24 Jan 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2024 Brooks bought his first electric car in 2023. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 2024 Day One Investors in Pershing Square grew their equity at a 16.5% compounded annual rate over 20 years versus 10.0% for the S&P 500. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 29 Dec 2023 SpaceX achieved 96 launches in 2023. Elon Musk · Factual · 29 Dec 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 17 Dec 2023 It took 66 years from first powered flight to a moon landing, and about 50 years have passed since the last moon landing. Elon Musk · Factual · 17 Dec 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Dec 2023 Over two decades before December 2023, Khosla figured AI would force us to rethink what it means to be human. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Dec 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nouriel Roubini Factual 29 Nov 2023 Roubini published a recent Project Syndicate piece discussing the rise in economic threats and their interactions with social, political, environmental and technological developments. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 29 Nov 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Promise 15 Nov 2023 Microsoft will introduce AMD's MI300 accelerator into its fleet. Satya Nadella · Promise · 15 Nov 2023 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 15 Nov 2023 Microsoft has deployed its own Copilot for customer service internally, for Azure support. Satya Nadella · Factual · 15 Nov 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 15 Nov 2023 Microsoft built an entire liquid-cooled rack for its Maia AI chip. Satya Nadella · Factual · 15 Nov 2023 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 15 Nov 2023 Nadella said that, for now, most of his company's business is in the United States, Europe and the rest of Asia, so he does not see new policies and trade restrictions as a major issue apart from any disruption to supply chains. Satya Nadella · Factual · 15 Nov 2023 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 9 Nov 2023 Microsoft Word and Google Docs can be used to draft a business proposal. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Nov 2023 Technology
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 26 Oct 2023 Bengio et al.'s proposal states that research breakthroughs are needed to solve some of today's technical challenges in creating AI with safe and ethical objectives. Gary Marcus · Factual · 26 Oct 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 26 Oct 2023 There is currently no way to guarantee that large language models won't be jailbroken into saying unethical things. Gary Marcus · Factual · 26 Oct 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 21 Oct 2023 In summer 1979 Rodney Brooks worked as Hans Moravec's assistant at the Stanford AI Lab, helping test Moravec's self-driving Cart for his PhD thesis. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 21 Oct 2023 Rodney Brooks made predictions about autonomous vehicles, AI and space on 1 January 2018 and has reviewed them every 1 January since. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Mark Zuckerberg Promise 28 Sep 2023 Meta is building a platform called AI Studio that will, over time, let anyone create AI characters like other user-generated content. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Mark Zuckerberg Promise 28 Sep 2023 Meta will probably start releasing the creator-built AI versions of themselves in 2024. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Sep 2023 Zuckerberg often receives criticism for having a relatively stiff facial expression. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Sep 2023 Other
Delivered on time Mark Zuckerberg Promise 28 Sep 2023 Meta is releasing the Quest 3 headset at a price of $500. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Sep 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 11 Sep 2023 Nate Silver turned on paid subscriptions for the Silver Bulletin newsletter by 11 September 2023. Nate Silver · Factual · 11 Sep 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nate Silver Promise 11 Sep 2023 Nate Silver will hold periodic paid-subscriber-only Q&A threads on Silver Bulletin, answering questions from paid subscribers. Nate Silver · Promise · 11 Sep 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 8 Sep 2023 The polling firm GBAO has done millions of dollars' worth of polling for Democratic clients. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Sep 2023 Science and research methods
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 8 Sep 2023 Polls from around September 2015 can be found showing Hillary Clinton with double-digit leads over Donald Trump. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Sep 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 8 Sep 2023 Polling conducted this early in a US presidential cycle has historically had little to no predictive power for the election result. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Sep 2023 Science and research methods
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Prediction 2 Sep 2023 There will be Chinese AI systems that embody Communist ideology. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 2 Sep 2023 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Jim Cramer Factual 9 Aug 2023 Eli Lilly's stock jumped nearly 15% on the trading day before 2023-08-09. Jim Cramer · Factual · 9 Aug 2023 Economics and markets
Resolved true Dario Amodei Prediction 8 Aug 2023 In a year or two (from 2023), AI model consciousness might become a very real concern. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 8 Aug 2023 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Dario Amodei Factual 8 Aug 2023 Amodei said Anthropic "kind of" already does reinforcement learning, through RLHF. Dario Amodei · Factual · 8 Aug 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Ray Kurzweil Factual Aug 2023 In The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), Kurzweil predicted computers would pass the Turing Test by 2029. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Aug 2023 AI timelines and forecasting
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 27 Jun 2023 Clément Delangue defended AI open science and open source in his congressional testimony. Yann LeCun · Factual · 27 Jun 2023 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 24 Jun 2023 Rodney Brooks gave a keynote at CVPR 2023 on Tuesday 20 June 2023. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 24 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 23 Jun 2023 Max Tegmark is a professor at MIT. Yann LeCun · Factual · 23 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 22 Jun 2023 The San Francisco fire chief is unhappy with driverless vehicles in the city. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 22 Jun 2023 Technology
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Factual 12 Jun 2023 The Transformer algorithm was invented in 2017. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Factual 12 Jun 2023 The AI being discussed is not, strictly speaking, human intelligence. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted currently operates 15.5 GW of renewable energy assets, with 4.9 GW under construction. Ørsted · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 7 Jun 2023 There is a community chat associated with the newsletter at balajis.com/chat. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 7 Jun 2023 Balaji Srinivasan's newsletter audience has more than 100,000 subscribers. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 7 Jun 2023 Ørsted was the first energy company in the world to have its science-based net-zero emissions target validated by the Science Based Targets initiative. Ørsted · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual Jun 2023 LeCun's proposed AI architecture consists of multiple interconnected modules. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Jim Cramer Factual 24 May 2023 In 2011 the US reached a debt ceiling deal, but the standoff led Standard & Poor's to downgrade the US government's credit rating. Jim Cramer · Factual · 24 May 2023 Economics and markets
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Factual 19 May 2023 Jeff Bezos is part of a joint effort with NASA to land astronauts on the Moon. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 19 May 2023 Other
Resolved true Ray Kurzweil Factual 5 May 2023 Kurzweil did not sign the open letter calling for a pause on AI more powerful than GPT-4. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 5 May 2023 AI policy and governance
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 20 Apr 2023 Zoubin Ghahramani will join the Google DeepMind research leadership team reporting to Koray Kavukcuoglu. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 20 Apr 2023 Google DeepMind brings together DeepMind and Brain AI talent with Google's computing power, infrastructure and resources. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 20 Apr 2023 On 20 April 2023 Sundar Pichai announced that DeepMind and Google Research's Brain team would join as a single unit called Google DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 18 Apr 2023 Yejin Choi gave a "common sense" rebuttal on the TED stage in April 2023. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 18 Apr 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 7 Apr 2023 OpenAI has openly declared an intention to have some future AI do our AI alignment work. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 7 Apr 2023 Yudkowsky said he did not sign the open letter because he thinks it understates the seriousness of the situation and asks for too little to solve it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 6 Apr 2023 AI alignment will not be solved within a few years. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 6 Apr 2023 GPT-5 will not end the world, with more than 50% of Yudkowsky's probability on that outcome. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 31 Mar 2023 Yudkowsky's TIME piece did not suggest nuclear strikes against countries refusing to sign a global agreement against large AI training runs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 31 Mar 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 30 Mar 2023 The FLI open letter called for more AI research. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Gary Marcus Promise 30 Mar 2023 Gary Marcus will speak at TED about short-term and long-term AI risk and what to do about it, in about two weeks from 2023-03-30. Gary Marcus · Promise · 30 Mar 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 30 Mar 2023 The FLI open letter did not call for a ban on AI or for a permanent ban. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 24 Mar 2023 There have already been reports of contamination in GPT-4's training data. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 24 Mar 2023 GPT-4 has not solved hallucinations, reliability or planning on complex tasks, as the paper's authors acknowledge for planning. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 AI capabilities
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 9 Mar 2023 Clement (@clmt) joined DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Mar 2023 Field building and careers
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 7 Mar 2023 Ray Dalio has transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership. Ray Dalio · Factual · 7 Mar 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 24 Feb 2023 OpenAI's Charter includes a clause about assisting other organizations to advance safety instead of racing with them in late-stage AGI development. Sam Altman · Factual · 24 Feb 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 24 Feb 2023 OpenAI has a cap on the returns its shareholders can earn. Sam Altman · Factual · 24 Feb 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 23 Feb 2023 Jeff Clune joined DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Feb 2023 Field building and careers
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 20 Feb 2023 As of 2023 the technology to offer polygenic scores to consumers definitely exists. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 Technology
Resolved true Scott Alexander Prediction 20 Feb 2023 Training GPT-4 will cost $100 million. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 20 Feb 2023 In 2018 Scott Alexander partly abandoned his usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for rough guesses in his five-year predictions. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 14 Feb 2023 GitHub Copilot for Business is now available, as of 2023-02-14. Satya Nadella · Factual · 14 Feb 2023 Technology
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 2 Feb 2023 Microsoft is adding new generative AI features to Viva Sales to help sellers close deals more quickly. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Feb 2023 Technology
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 1 Feb 2023 Microsoft is bringing large language models, including OpenAI's GPT, to Teams Premium. Satya Nadella · Factual · 1 Feb 2023 Technology
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual Feb 2023 Yudkowsky says that we do not know how to get goals into an AI system, and that gradient descent can cause systems to do a thing inside the distribution they were optimized over. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 AI safety and alignment
Delivered on time Elon Musk Promise 26 Jan 2023 Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Guidance 26 Jan 2023 Tesla expects to produce 1.8 million cars in 2023, possibly more if it gets lucky. Elon Musk · Guidance · 26 Jan 2023 Economics and markets
Delivered on time Elon Musk Promise 26 Jan 2023 Tesla expects Cybertruck production to start maybe sometime in summer 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Factual 26 Jan 2023 Tesla has raised the Model Y price a little bit in response to high orders. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Satya Nadella Promise 17 Jan 2023 ChatGPT will soon be available in Microsoft's Azure OpenAI Service, which is now generally available. Satya Nadella · Promise · 17 Jan 2023 Technology
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 16 Jan 2023 Microsoft is partnering with The King Center to help preserve Coretta Scott King's legacy. Satya Nadella · Factual · 16 Jan 2023 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 9 Jan 2023 Nobel laureates Jennifer Doudna, David MacMillan, Paul Nurse and Venki Ramakrishnan joined the Isomorphic Labs Scientific Advisory Board. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Jan 2023 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nouriel Roubini Factual 3 Jan 2023 China produces or processes most of the rare-earth metals used in electric vehicles. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 Economics and markets
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Jensen Huang

Open its page

Factual AI compute, hardware and data

“It does quadrillions of calculations a second, it’s just insane numbers.”

Jensen Huang, Nvidia CEO 2 May 2024 Jensen Huang Nvidia 60 Minutes Interview Transcript (Rev)

Nvidia's GPU performs quadrillions of calculations per second.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Judge as of 2024-05-02, for the Nvidia GPU he was referring to (a current data-centre GPU such as H100/H200 or the announced Blackwell B200/GB200; if the context is unclear, Nvidia's flagship data-centre GPU at that date). 'Quadrillions' means at least 10^15 operations per second (petaFLOPS/petaOPS or more) at some precision Nvidia publishes. True: Nvidia's published specifications show the GPU reaching one or more petaFLOPS/petaOPS (for example in FP8, FP16 or with sparsity). Mostly true: the figure reaches the quadrillion range only at reduced precision or with sparsity, while dense FP32/FP64 throughput stays in the trillions. Mostly false: the referenced GPU reaches about 10^15 only for a different product, or only as a multi-GPU system figure presented as one GPU's. False: the GPU's published peak throughput at every precision is below 10^15 operations per second.

Evidence

  1. NVIDIA Announces Hopper Architecture, the Next Generation of Accelerated Computing NVIDIA · 22 March 2022 Own record
    “NVIDIA's fourth-generation DGX™ system, DGX H100, features eight H100 GPUs to deliver 32 petaflops of AI performance at new FP8 precision”

Reasoning

In Nvidia's official Hopper announcement [E2], the DGX H100 system uses eight H100 GPUs to deliver 32 petaflops of AI performance at FP8 precision. That works out to about 4 petaflops per H100 GPU, which is above the 10^15 operations per second threshold at a precision Nvidia publishes. The criteria give FP8 as an example of a qualifying precision. The evidence does not show dense FP32 or FP64 throughput, so it cannot support the "mostly true" reduced-precision distinction. The only source is the company's own announcement.

Cite this claim

Jensen Huang, “Nvidia's GPU performs quadrillions of calculations per second.” (said 2 May 2024). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_e19f88ed301b, method 0.1.0+03d23c0e. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e19f88ed301b

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.