Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

549 claims · page 4 of 6

549 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell has paused work on public health regulation as of May 2020. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell does not typically focus on high-uncertainty, short-timeline reviews of funding opportunities. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Khosla Ventures does not allow IRR calculations when making an investment and never looks at them. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Khosla Ventures did not sell many of its portfolio companies and held on to them. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Vinod Khosla does not attend many board meetings now. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 When investing in Impossible Foods, Khosla Ventures made clear it would pass up profit rather than sell the company to a food company that might divert its mission. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Vinod Khosla interviews roughly eight to ten people a week, mostly for Khosla Ventures portfolio companies. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 Grantham has been spending twice his usual total research time on the interactions between the virus, the economy and markets. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nassim Taleb Promise 31 Dec 2019 Taleb is running Twitter symposia on topics in Principia Politica and will integrate the comments into the text. Nassim Taleb · Promise · 31 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen does not write notes to remind himself of things. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen emails himself reminders about one thing every three days or so and remembers the rest. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen said the activity he was discussing is not an income earner. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen sends himself an email when he needs to remind himself of something. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen never sends text messages. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Bitcoin's developments surprised Tyler Cowen multiple times. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Technology
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen has two offices, one in Arlington and one in Fairfax, and used to have three. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen responds to all his emails right away. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jim Cramer Factual 20 Dec 2019 Jim Cramer owns no Eli Lilly stock. Jim Cramer · Factual · 20 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 15 Jun 2019 Most of a conversation centered on Vinod Khosla's 2017 piece and his 2014 piece on the need to worry about increasing income disparity. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 15 Jun 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ray Dalio Factual 11 Nov 2018 For every dollar Dalio gives to micro-finance, $12 is lent out to people in the first five years. Ray Dalio · Factual · 11 Nov 2018 Economics and markets
Own records only Ray Dalio Factual 11 Nov 2018 Bridgewater's index of conflict shows conflict within the US and most countries, and between countries, is greater than at any time since the 1930s. Ray Dalio · Factual · 11 Nov 2018 Other global risks
Own records only Jeff Bezos Promise 20 Sep 2018 Bezos said that next year (2019) he would invest just over a billion dollars in "that program", which the quote does not name. Jeff Bezos · Promise · 20 Sep 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 20 Sep 2018 Blue Origin's entire vehicle architecture uses a one-fault operative requirement. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Sep 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 20 Sep 2018 Each of Amazon's big winners has more than paid for thousands of experiments. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Sep 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeff Bezos Factual 20 Sep 2018 Amazon, Blue Origin and AWS use the same four cultural attributes. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Sep 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 7 Sep 2018 The Boring Company was told various countries would ban shipping of a flamethrower. Elon Musk · Factual · 7 Sep 2018 Economics and markets
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 7 Sep 2018 The Boring Company labeled the product "not a flamethrower" to avoid customs problems. Elon Musk · Factual · 7 Sep 2018 Economics and markets
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 7 Sep 2018 Musk knows no serious scientists who doubt that there is a serious climate risk. Elon Musk · Factual · 7 Sep 2018 Other global risks
Own records only Balaji Srinivasan Factual 25 Apr 2018 Around 2000, about 18 years before the interview, Balaji Srinivasan began deeply researching telomeres and life extension. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 25 Apr 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 28 Feb 2018 At the time of the interview, Eliezer Yudkowsky said he did not remember whether the person being discussed, apparently Robin, had yet replied to a particular point. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 28 Feb 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 28 Feb 2018 MIRI has some communication with DeepMind's upper people, though the bandwidth is not optimal. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 28 Feb 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual Feb 2018 Ørsted has established a new unit to explore energy storage and solar PV projects and is looking more closely at the onshore wind market. Ørsted · Factual · Feb 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen said that probably the single, No. 1 thing "we" try to get "our companies" to do is raise prices. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen described his firm's approach as one where, if the partner closest to a deal has a very strong degree of positive commitment and enthusiasm for it, the firm should make the investment even if others in the room disagree, though the partner is expected to stress test their own thinking first. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen said that "that", which in context seems to mean his firm's deep involvement in health, was "a response to the hedge fund thing". He added that very smart founders had been telling the firm it was "dumb"; the passage does not say what "the hedge fund thing" was. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Marc Andreessen has only seen the first season of the TV show Silicon Valley. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Other
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 The number one theme among struggling Andreessen Horowitz portfolio companies is that they do not charge enough for their product. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Economics and markets
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen Horowitz formally creates a red team to argue the opposing side of a deal when necessary. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen prepared for weeks for his debate with Peter Thiel, expecting Thiel not to prepare. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen Horowitz assumes it will be invested in each company it backs for 10 or more years. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Economics and markets
Own records only Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Each general partner at Andreessen Horowitz can make a deal without a vote or consensus. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction Jan 2018 Scott Alexander gave a 70% probability that he would not finish more than 25% of a new novel by the end of 2018. Scott Alexander · Prediction · Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction Jan 2018 Scott Alexander gave an 80% probability that he would not attend the New York Solstice in 2018. Scott Alexander · Prediction · Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction Jan 2018 Scott Alexander gave an 80% probability that Slate Star Codex would get more hits in 2018 than in 2017. Scott Alexander · Prediction · Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2018 If GiveWell influenced the same proportion of unattributed donations as attributed ones, it would have influenced an additional $20 million not in its headline money moved figure. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 2018 Pershing Square sold its S&P Global shares because a large stock price increase during accumulation prevented it from building a meaningful position. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2018 Economics and markets
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2018 GiveWell's best guess is that it is undercounting money moved by $10-20 million. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2018 GiveWell estimates about one-third of its 2016 expenses ($2.0 million) supported traditional top charity work and about two-thirds supported the Open Philanthropy Project, the same breakdown as in 2015. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2018 GiveWell's best guess is that it played a significant role in influencing an additional $10-20 million of donations to AMF, GiveDirectly and SCI in 2016 that are not counted in its headline money moved. GiveWell · Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 21 Jul 2017 Around 2015, Dario Amodei often argued that a relatively peaceful geopolitical period made it a good time for AGI to be built. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 AI timelines and forecasting
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 21 Jul 2017 OpenAI does not lower its machine learning hiring bar for people who want to work on safety. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 21 Jul 2017 Amodei said that he and OpenAI focus a lot on reinforcement learning because it, and extended versions of it, seems a better fit for what intelligent agents do in general. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 21 Jul 2017 Amodei said he thinks that, broadly, most people at OpenAI are worried about the issues under discussion or at least think they are worth thinking about, and he set this apart from the staff actively doing technical work on them. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Dario Amodei Factual 21 Jul 2017 Dario Amodei has not been closely involved in OpenAI's rapid hiring and growth, except on the safety side. Dario Amodei · Factual · 21 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 10 Jul 2017 Traders were allowed to conceal their inventory from outsiders they called 'the Swiss'. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 Economics and markets
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 10 Jul 2017 Taleb does not employ a full-time assistant and instead employs people for specific tasks. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 10 Jul 2017 When Taleb was a trader he followed very complicated and strict ethical rules, such as never overcharging another trader. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 Philosophy, ethics and society
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 10 Jul 2017 Taleb said he had posted a lot of things online and organized the book based on the excitement the chapters brought, adding "Of course, not 100%." Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 10 Jul 2017 The first 40 pages of the Skin in the Game manuscript explain skin in the game. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 10 Jul 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 11 Apr 2017 A few months later, Taleb met the man again and, while trying to shake hands with him, noticed a scar where the icepick had come out of his hand. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 11 Apr 2017 Other
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 11 Apr 2017 At the end of a party, a man named David stood by the coat check using a handkerchief to sop up drops of blood from his hand. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 11 Apr 2017 Other
Own records only Nassim Taleb Factual 11 Apr 2017 On seeing Donald Trump standing next to other Republican primary candidates, Taleb became certain Trump would win the primary stage regardless of what he said or did. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 11 Apr 2017 Philosophy, ethics and society
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Buffett said he had never met the CEOs of any of the four airlines, though he added that he may have met one and shaken his hand at a Texas business Hall of Fame event. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Buffett said he usually sees him maybe twice a year, at Sun Valley and perhaps one other time. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Buffett said Berkshire had received nothing but good reports about the CEO, whom Greg Abel had known 20 years earlier. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Buffett said that once he and the two others he referred to as "the three of us" learned that it was regarded as unfriendly, they had no intention of making one; the surrounding remarks refer to the 3G people and to Unilever. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 As of February 2017, no acquisition deal is in the works at Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Unilever was the only deal in that area that Buffett seriously thought about and that made sense. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 As of February 2017, there is no backup deal after the Unilever approach. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 On 27 February 2017, asked whether he was working on anything, Buffett said he is always looking but that there was "nothing close". Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 6 Jan 2017 Scott Alexander will take the job he is currently expecting to take. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 6 Jan 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 6 Jan 2017 Scott Alexander gave a 60% probability that he would not score at or above the 95th percentile when he got his 2017 PRITE scores back. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 6 Jan 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 6 Jan 2017 Scott Alexander will attend the Bay Area Solstice in the coming year (2017). Scott Alexander · Prediction · 6 Jan 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 6 Jan 2017 Scott Alexander will pass his Boards in 2017. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 6 Jan 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 1 Jan 2017 The percentage of women who apply to YC is roughly the same as the percentage of women who get funded. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Sam Altman Factual 1 Jan 2017 YC sees significant dropoffs of underrepresented founders at stages after YC, such as raising late-stage capital. Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual 2017 DONG Energy's treasury shares have not been acquired for the purpose of reducing the share capital. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual 2017 Since August 2016, 61% of DONG Energy's sourced biomass has been certified as sustainable. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual 2017 DONG Energy's dialogue with investors and analysts is subject to restrictions starting three weeks before publication of its financial reports. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ørsted Factual 2017 DONG Energy's employee satisfaction index rose from 74 in 2015 to 76 in 2016. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2017 In his early training period Grantham adopted Ben Graham's value-oriented biases. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 Tesla's fleet learning is currently happening at just over 3 million miles (5 million km) per day. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 Every Tesla Autopilot release goes through extensive internal validation before reaching any customers. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 28 Jan 2016 Pershing Square missed the opportunity in 2015 to trim or sell certain positions that approached its estimate of intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · 28 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander will score at or above the 95th percentile on next year's PRITE (psychiatry in-training exam). Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander will attend at least one Solstice event in 2016. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 In 2015 Pershing Square missed opportunities to trim or sell positions that approached its estimate of intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square's currency puts have not served as a useful hedge against declines in its portfolio, which fell more than expected given limited China and oil exposure. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 As of early 2016 Pershing Square had made only a modest profit on its yuan and Saudi Riyal hedge investments. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square has had limited turnover on its investment team and throughout the firm since its inception. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square continues to hold its yuan and Saudi Riyal currency put investments as of early 2016. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Economics and markets
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Jan 2016 Grantham's 2011 resources report got many multiples of the hits of a typical GMO quarterly letter. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Early in 2015 Pershing Square believed the Chinese stock market was in bubble territory but found the cost of buying puts on it prohibitive. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square's biggest valuation error was assigning too much value to 'platform value' in certain holdings. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Because credit default swaps were an unattractive hedge, Pershing Square looked for other instruments to protect against Black Swan-type risks. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square started slowly with Paul Hilal because his prior focus was technology and the firm had never made a technology investment. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square continued building its yuan position by buying slightly more out-of-the-money puts and selling further out-of-the-money puts. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Economics and markets
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Ackman said that when the company's stock rose to the mid-$200s per share "this summer", "we" did not sell, believing it probable that the company would complete additional transactions that would meaningfully increase intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 Over GMO's 28 years of asset allocation, most risk reduction for clients came in the 2000 and 2007 US bubbles, which GMO sidestepped to a considerable degree. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 GMO considers a 60-65% equity position what it would hold in a normal world with everything fairly priced. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
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GiveWell

Open its page

Factual Their own work or organisation

“We have paused work on public health regulation for now”

GiveWell, unsigned blog post 28 May 2020 GiveWell's plans for 2020 (The GiveWell Blog)

GiveWell has paused work on public health regulation as of May 2020.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Reasoning

Whether internal work is paused is an internal process.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell has paused work on public health regulation as of May 2020.” (said 28 May 2020). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_c99d3f2cf6a8, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c99d3f2cf6a8

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.