2,625 claims · page 3 of 27
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not yet due | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 17 Mar 2026 | Huang sees at least $1 trillion in demand for NVIDIA's Blackwell and Rubin AI infrastructure through 2027. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 17 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 16 Mar 2026 | Every SaaS company will become an Agent-as-a-Service company. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 16 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 16 Mar 2026 | Actual computing demand will be much higher than the $1 trillion through 2027 figure. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 16 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 16 Mar 2026 | The cuDF and cuVS platforms will become among the most important foundational platforms in the future. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 16 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 16 Mar 2026 | Nvidia might face a supply shortage relative to demand. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 16 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 6 Mar 2026 | Khosla said he thinks there will be enough abundance that the need to work will go away. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 6 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 6 Mar 2026 | Two-thirds of all jobs will be capable of being done by AI, which will do the work of physicians, radiologists, accountants, chip designers and salespeople better than humans. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 6 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 6 Mar 2026 | In a world where technology rules and higher education is free, people will not need a college to get an engineering degree, nor even the degree itself, except for those whose passion is learning. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 6 Mar 2026 | Field building and careers |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The World Bank will not vanish but will become much smaller. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Maybe 40 years later, everyone will accept that it is all the AIs, though it will have come about by trick. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not yet due | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The AI revolution will be the fastest of all technological revolutions in recent world history. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Khosla said he suspects that by 2040, $30,000 (and maybe $10,000) will buy much more than $100,000 of income buys today. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Because of AI, the need for people to work will go away. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Cowen said he thinks that within ten years the US will be bidding for immigrants, be much more selective, use more market mechanisms and use immigration to raise revenue. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Cowen said his best expectation, offered with some hedging, is that France will eke through. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | NATO will probably morph into something quite different, and whether it survives on paper depends on the US. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | AI and tech companies and the US government will become increasingly intertwined, with neither checking the other. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | There will be many more fake jobs in the economy in future. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | US healthcare spending will eventually reach 30% of GDP or higher. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | AI decision-making will take hold whether or not people accept it, happening by trick if they do not. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Labor of farmworkers, assembly line workers, retail workers and accountants will become free in a competitive economy, leading to declining prices. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The nonprofit sector will have fake jobs for a very long time to come, and probably many more of them. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Wealth will not be held only by a small group; there will be a lot of wealth for everyone, though the small group will be much wealthier. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The supply of people wanting to immigrate to the US will dry up, due to lower birth rates elsewhere and improving source countries. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | India and Africa would probably be the next waves. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Because of AI, people will not even need an engineering degree, except for those whose passion is learning. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Cowen said he was worried a bit about the inverted population pyramid, but thinks AI will provide enough of a productivity boost that it "won't bankrupt us." Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | It is unlikely that a 5-year-old today will need to look for a job as an adult. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Things will be pushed through for somewhat myopic reasons, such as the need to outpace China (which might even be true), and that will be the selling point. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | AIs will build their own institutions rather than a new UN or Bretton Woods. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The US will keep increasing its healthcare spending. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The US will remain a nation of immigrants. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Not yet due | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Cowen said he can readily imagine that within 50 years most diseases will have been beaten back and everyone will die of old age or accidents. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Future conflicts will be more like World War One than World War Two. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | In programming, AI will win out and do most of the work, with humans possibly working alongside it. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic will be fine, and the impact of the supply chain risk designation on it will be fairly small. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA's Vera Rubin platform will extend NVIDIA's inference leadership further beyond Grace Blackwell. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 25 Feb 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 16 Feb 2026 | AI systems are rapidly nearing a point where they can outperform humans in most economically valuable tasks. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 16 Feb 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Prediction | 5 Feb 2026 | If GameStop deploys a large amount of capital near a market bottom, it will do far better than deploying capital in expensive markets. Michael Burry · Prediction · 5 Feb 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | AI is going to enable a lot of new experiences. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Adding cars to Tesla's autonomous fleet could let many customers earn more than their lease cost to Tesla. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Without building the Tesla TerraFab, Tesla will be limited by supplier output of chips. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | The models that Zuckerberg's company is launching, starting with the first set and continuing over the year, will get a lot better. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Many different types of interactive and immersive content will become possible. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he is confident that Tesla will get to a production rate of one million Optimus 3 units a year in Fremont. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Autonomous vehicles will likely be used about five times as much as a typical privately driven car. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta's new non-ad businesses, even if they scale quickly, will take time to become meaningful relative to the ads business. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Over 250 customers are on track to process over one trillion tokens on Foundry this year. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Grok will be very helpful in maximizing the efficiency of managing a large autonomous fleet. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will be ahead in real-world intelligence and electromechanical dexterity, especially hand design, in humanoid robots. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks that, with the growth of AI and robotics, the world is most likely headed to a future of universal high income. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Beyond roughly three years, Tesla will be limited by chip supplier output. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | In the future the vast majority of miles traveled will be autonomous. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg guessed that frontier AI will not always be available to everyone through an API, for many reasons, some competitive and some safety-oriented. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg said he thinks the numbers mean that, for the next couple of years, ads will be by far the important driver of growth in Meta's business. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Video will remain for a long time and continue growing. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg said he thinks 2026 will be the year AI starts to dramatically change the way Meta works. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg said he expects the AI wave to accelerate further on several fronts in 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | By far the biggest competition for humanoid robots will come from China. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said Tesla would expect, over time, to make far more CyberCabs than all of its other vehicles combined. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks that, three or four years out, chip production will be the limiting factor for Tesla's growth. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Long-term, Optimus will move the needle on US GDP significantly. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft's total addressable market will grow substantially across every layer of the tech stack as AI diffusion accelerates. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | In the future, probably less than 5% of miles driven, maybe as low as 1%, will be driven by a human. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | A number of companies that do not make sure they can keep building batteries, robots and AI chips no matter what happens will cease to exist. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Zuckerberg said it is hard to imagine that, in several years, most glasses people wear will not be AI glasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | CyberCab will probably be used fifty or sixty hours a week versus ten or eleven hours for a driven vehicle. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | There will be more immersive and interactive content formats. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta thinks there will be opportunities to monetize such AI products through subscriptions, advertising and other means. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | China will be Tesla's toughest competition. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said that "this" would probably double every month "type of thing", and described it as being on an exponential curve; the quote does not say what "this" refers to. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta expects its cost per gigawatt of compute to decrease significantly over time through optimizing technology and supply chain. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla's Optimus will be much more capable than any robot under development in China that Tesla is aware of. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks the amount of autonomy will increase dramatically, essentially every month. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Many of the remarkable future developments in global health will bear the imprint of Dr. Bill Foege's career. Bill Gates · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Everyone on Earth will have a humanoid robot and will want one. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Ubiquitous, nearly free AI and ubiquitous robotics will cause an expansion of the global economy beyond all precedent. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Within 2 years, maybe 3 at the latest, space will be the lowest-cost place to put AI. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Aging is a solvable problem. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Musk said he thinks it is highly likely that ways will be found to extend life and maybe even reverse aging. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | AI smarter than any human might exist by the end of 2026, and no later than 2027. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Tesla hopes to get European regulatory approval for supervised full self-driving in February 2026. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | Very soon, possibly later in 2026, more chips will be produced than can be turned on, except in China. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2026 | AI access will naturally be very broad because AI companies will seek as many customers as possible. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | People won't necessarily have jobs as such in future, and how to deal with that is unclear. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Kurzweil said he thinks that by 2029 everyone will accept that AGI has been achieved. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Humanity will reach longevity escape velocity by 2032, with medical advances giving back a year for each year aged. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Society will be able to produce enough that everyone is wealthy by today's standards. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Within the next 10 years humans will reach Kurzweil's definition of the singularity, being at least a thousand times more intelligent. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Humans will merge with AI so that biological and computational intelligence become the same thing. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | Kurzweil said he thinks that in 2026 there will be many things that remind people of AGI, but that people will not be convinced AGI has arrived in 2026. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Prediction | 20 Jan 2026 | People will not be able to tell whether an idea comes from biological or computational intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 | Technology |
| Not yet due | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates said he thinks the impact of AI on the job market will grow over the next five years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | Of all things humans have created, AI will change society the most. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not yet due | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | By the 2040s, new innovations could virtually eliminate deaths from HIV/AIDS. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | Bill Gates said he believes AI and robot advances will not plateau before exceeding human levels. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | AI will soon let poor farmers get better advice on weather, prices, crop diseases and soil than even the richest farmers get today. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | The rise in child deaths will continue unless progress is made in restoring aid budgets. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Not yet due | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | If health funding for poor countries decreases by 20 percent, 12 million more children could die by 2045. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Prediction | 9 Jan 2026 | AI capabilities will allow far more goods and services to be made with less labor. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
“Today, a year after GTC, I stand here to tell you: looking ahead to 2027, I see the figure at least $1 trillion.”
Jensen Huang, NVIDIA CEO, keynote 17 March 2026 Jensen Huang's GTC Speech (Full Text) (PANews)
Huang sees at least $1 trillion in demand for NVIDIA's Blackwell and Rubin AI infrastructure through 2027.
Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
deadline 2027 is after 2026-10-29
Cite this claim
Jensen Huang, “Huang sees at least $1 trillion in demand for NVIDIA's Blackwell and Rubin AI infrastructure through 2027.” (said 17 March 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_d954dc9e9178, method 0.1.0+03d23c0e. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d954dc9e9178
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.