Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Thoughts modify mental imagery, and in turn, mental imagery gives rise to thoughts. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Concept structure is absorbed from recurring regularities in perceived reality. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Slicing up the color space with surface-level concepts renders computationally tractable the detection of higher-order alternation. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Complex functional adaptations requiring multiple genes are usually, and necessarily, universal within a species. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 For humans, four-place and higher predicates are probably represented through procedural rules rather than perceptually; spontaneously… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Yudkowsky cannot introspect on how the salient facet of a concept is selected during concept combination. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 that allows us to prosper in a manner hugely disproportionate to other people who Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Genericity is not the same as generality. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 I told the group that it would be embarrassing if MiTek’s stock price soared beyond that of Berkshire “A” shares. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Tony Nicely became GEICO's CEO in 1992, and GEICO's growth accelerated greatly afterward. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Once you’ve flown NetJets, returning to commercial flights is like going back to holding hands. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 The mental image of the pyramidal light bulb carried semantic content, such as knowledge of its glass composition, imported from the "light bulb" concept. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 The human brain is massively parallel because massive parallelism is the only way to do anything in 200 clock ticks. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Since September 11, our peace has been broken. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 In addition, Tony has delivered staggering productivity gains in recent years. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Thus, the ontogeny of an AI need not recapitulate human philogeny. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 The U.S. 'investment income' account was positive every year since 1915 until it turned negative in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Call this promise the adult version of Lake Woebegon. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Intelligence requires more than passive correspondence between internal representations and sensory data, or between sensory data and… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 In practice, setting up the fiveness microtask may prove more difficult because of the need to eliminate various false ways of arriving at a… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Evolution often finds good ways, but rarely the best ways. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 General intelligence requires the right supersystem, with the right cognitive subsystems, doing the right things in the right way. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 it can be decades before the chickens come home to roost Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Current neuroscience theory allows for but does not assert feature controllers, whereas DGI asserts and requires their existence. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 2007 Leo Strauss believes there is a truth about human nature that can in principle be known to humanity. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Don’t think, however, that we have lost our taste for risk. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Human visual categorization abstracts categories such as butterfly from a store of visual experiences rather than writing a procedural recognition codelet from abstract knowledge. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 No new Alexander is in sight to cut the Gordian knot of our age. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Our most important business, insurance, benefited from a large dose of luck: Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Intelligence is not the complex expression of a simple principle; intelligence is the complex expression of a complex set of principles. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 I get goose bumps just thinking about this volume. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 There is a deep correspondence between evolutionarily smooth fitness landscapes and computationally smooth fitness landscapes. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 The overall insurance industry had a terrific year in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Six years of working with Dave, Greg and Walter have underscored my original belief: Berkshire couldn’t have better partners. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Own records only Warren Buffett Promise 2007 Any shareholder coming from outside the U.S. or Canada will be given a special credential and instructions for attending the reception. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire has done many retroactive reinsurance transactions, a multiple of the number and amount of such policies entered into by any other insurer. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The significant accomplishment is not “squeezing” numbers out of a system so sparse that it apparently lacks the usual precursors of number. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said in 2007 that, fifty years earlier, Walter was the only investment manager he recommended to a St. Louis family looking for an honest and able investment manager. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 The 2-and-20 fee arrangement for money managers is spreading. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 But also there cannot be a decision to avoid all decisions and to retreat into studying the Bible in anticipation of the Second Coming, for… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Whatever the AI accomplishes on its own is a part of the AI’s mind; the AI “owns” it and is not simply borrowing it from the programmers. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 These fears are unwarranted. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 Indeed, there is little in Strauss that is more clear than the need for less transparency. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 2007 For Girard, a post-Darwinian account of humanity must somehow combine the gradualism of Darwinian evolution with the essentialism of the pre-Darwinians. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 The openly intellectual agenda of this essay is to suggest what that reexamination entails. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 standalone algorithms are not substitutes for intelligence and they are not complete systems. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Concepts are supercategories and subcategories of each other; there are concepts that describe concepts and concepts that describe… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 We have no particular evidence that the human mind uses a brute force comparison, but it could be brute-forced. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire decided in 2006 to offer Equitas a huge reinsurance policy. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 the brute facts of September 11 demand a reexamination of the foundations of modern politics. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 It is the simultaneous solution of concept imposition, concept satisfaction, concept faceting, and concept abstraction that requires… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The tendency to treat new approaches to AI as if they were new theories of physics may at least partially explain AI’s past history of… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 The human brain is constrained by a characteristic serial speed of 200 sequential steps per second. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Holonic conflict resolution is intended to be biologically plausible Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 If there had been only 600 taxpayers like Berkshire, no one else in America would have needed to pay federal income or payroll taxes. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Citation 2007 Kosslyn et al. (1993) provide neuroimaging evidence that mental imagery activates primary visual cortex. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 When I talked about Walter 23 years ago, his record forcefully contradicted this dogma. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Increasingly the limiting resource of modern computing systems is memory bandwidth rather than processor speed. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 AI compute, hardware and data
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 This does not imply that AI can be reduced to a single algorithm containing the “essence of intelligence.” Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire is prepared to lose $6 billion in a single event if paid appropriately for assuming the risk. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The heart is not a specialized organ that enables us to run down prey; the heart is a specialized organ that supplies oxygen to the body. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 the freedom of religion, for we cannot ever know what people are truly thinking in the temple of their minds; Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Prediction 2007 In the long run, power and prosperity may go to those who follow Locke's capitalist rules, leaving religious fanatics without the wealth and technology to threaten the nonreligious West. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Neither Ajit Jain, who manages our super-cat operation, nor I know what lies ahead. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 The Copycat program has a limited store of preprogrammed concepts and does not learn further concepts through experience. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 AI capabilities
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Yudkowsky said he expected that what is locally a feature detector is also locally a feature controller. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Lloyd's is not an insurance company but a place where member-insurers transact business. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 For there remains another very important boundary whose existence the American people had forgotten. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Charlie and I would like to see this done more often. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Mostly false Peter Thiel Factual 2007 No real economic development took place through postwar wealth transfers, and even in the best cases the money returned to the West in Swiss accounts of Third World dictators. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Even with all precursor concepts already present, a complex microtask might be necessary to make fiveness the simplest correct answer. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 People can remember events such as a birthday party but cannot remember their hippocampus encoding the memory. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Berkshire's business performance will determine its stock price, and most of the time the stock will sell in a zone of reasonableness. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Economics and markets
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 And GEICO didn’t start fat. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 the logarithmic map transforms simple design problems into complex design problems and hence transforms complex design problems into… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Citation 2007 Tooby and Cosmides (1992) state that evolution has no privileged tendency to build simple, general principles of operation into designs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Citation · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 I believe it will prove best to discard the human modalities or to use them as inspiration only Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Prediction 2007 One day all will be revealed, all injustices exposed, and perpetrators held to account. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 2007 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Our managers have returned this trust by working hard and effectively. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 The new science of economics and the practice of capitalism filled the vacuum created by the abandonment of the older tradition. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 It’s naïve to think of Katrina as anything close to a worst-case event. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The specific use of a Gaussian distribution does not contribute to useful intelligence unless the environment also exhibits Gaussian… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 It must be the right five layers. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Evolution is a useful inspiration but a dangerous template. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Exxon Mobil and other companies earn far more than Berkshire, but their earnings largely go to dividends and/or repurchases rather than building net worth. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 Simply put, if cable and satellite broadcasting, as well as the internet, had come along first, newspapers as we know them probably would… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 In a capitalist world, violent debates about truth Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Concepts reside in long-term storage; thoughts affect specific imagery. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 The archetypal examples of “thoughts” (invented, specific, instantiated, non-recurrent) are the sentences mentally “spoken” and mentally… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Prediction 2007 Early-stage AIs will likely be less adept than humans at visualizing concepts only as far as needed, and so may need full visualizations where humans use abstract reasoning. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2007 AI capabilities
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Thoughts are not evolved/programmed brainware, or a long-term reservoir of learned complexity; thoughts are constructed on a… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Mixed Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2007 Smooth fitness landscapes are a necessary and fundamental outcome of evolution. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007 Science and research methods
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 there exist in us no instinctual brakes that are strong enough to limit the scope of such rivalry. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 We need not heed Brecht’s call for more inspectors and inquisitors. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 2007 In the debate between Strauss and Girard, perhaps the key issue of contention can be reduced to a question of time. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2007 were far ahead of them in spotting the appeal of this powerful idea. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Forming a complex concept requires an incremental path to that complex concept—a series of building-block concepts and precursor concepts… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 A concept is abstracted from experiences that exist as sensory patterns in one or more modalities. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 I emphasize that the exercise is not intended as evidence for a theory, but rather as a means of introducing and grounding concepts that… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable Eliezer Yudkowsky Not checkable 2007 Once abstracted, a concept can be compared to a new sensory experience to determine whether the new experience satisfies the concept Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
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Not checkable

“Thoughts modify mental imagery, and in turn, mental imagery gives rise to thoughts.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky 2007 Levels of Organization in General Intelligence (MIRI)

Thoughts modify mental imagery, and in turn, mental imagery gives rise to thoughts.

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Thoughts modify mental imagery, and in turn, mental imagery gives rise to thoughts.” (said 2007). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_75c99f53fafb, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_75c99f53fafb

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.