Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

2,625 claims · page 23 of 27

2,625 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Language-learning software will let students speak aloud and give feedback on pronunciation. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Advances in biology should dramatically shorten the time to analyse a pathogen and make fitting drugs and vaccines. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Before starting primary school, children will be able to use a parent's smartphone to learn numbers and letters. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Over the next 15 years, the pace of global health improvements will increase even faster than in the past. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Learning software will detect when a student struggles and adjust to their pace. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Bill Gates said "we think" the next 15 years will see major breakthroughs for most people in poor countries. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Africa can achieve food security by 2030. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 A really good epidemic response system can be built. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Mostly false Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Polio can be eliminated from Africa in 2015 and from every country in the world within several years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Breakthroughs in poor countries over the next 15 years will be driven by technology innovation, from new vaccines and hardier crops to cheaper smartphones, and by delivery innovations. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 In the next 15 years digital banking will give the poor more control over their assets. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Economics and markets
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Over the next 15 years more innovations will reach the poor than ever before. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Within 15 years, farming innovations will end the paradox of African farmers suffering malnutrition. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 With the right investments, African farm productivity can rise 50 percent for the continent overall. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Famine in Africa will strike less often, and African countries will lead the response when it does. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Resolved false Nate Silver Prediction 2015 Donald Trump will not win the 2016 Republican presidential nomination. Nate Silver · Prediction · 2015 Other
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Failure to prepare could allow the next epidemic to be dramatically more devastating than Ebola. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 A large epidemic would require hundreds of thousands of health workers. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 The world will make unprecedented progress in global health over the next 15 years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Other global risks
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 By 2030, 2 billion people without a bank account in 2015 will store money and make payments with their phones. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Online education will open new opportunities for girls with the means and motivation to use it. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 As high-speed cell networks grow and smartphones become as cheap as voice-only phones, online education will flourish. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Online courses will become a global asset available to anyone with a smartphone or tablet. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Technology
Resolved true Bill Gates Prediction 2015 In the epidemic shown, which would spread throughout the world very quickly, over 30 million people die. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Mostly true Bill Gates Prediction 2015 If anything kills over 10 million people in the next few decades, it will most likely be a highly infectious virus rather than a war. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 2015 The next epidemic might not be contained by luck as Ebola was. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 2015 Child deaths will fall by half, and more diseases will be eradicated than ever before. Bill Gates · Prediction · 2015 Biosecurity
Resolved false Nate Silver Prediction 2015 In all likelihood, Trump could not win the Republican nomination with only a plurality of votes or delegates, because the Republican Party would unite against him. Nate Silver · Prediction · 2015 Other
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 16 Dec 2014 Brooks said he thinks robots will increasingly be part of the community of connected objects. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 16 Dec 2014 Technology
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 16 Dec 2014 Brooks said he thinks that, in the coming decades, work will be a collaboration between robots and people rather than robots doing everything. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 16 Dec 2014 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Prediction 16 Dec 2014 Brooks said he did not think robots over the next fifty, or even a hundred, years would be able to do everything, and that people would see more and more collaboration with machines during their lifetimes. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 16 Dec 2014 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 16 Dec 2014 Brooks said he thinks the future will be made of collaboration, speaking about factory work and an ageing factory workforce. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 16 Dec 2014 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Prediction 30 Sep 2014 Scott Alexander said he already expects this post will be used as convenient material to fling at the Blue Tribe. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 30 Sep 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Prediction 30 Sep 2014 Social 'tribes' such as Blue and Red Tribe will turn out to be stronger categories than political affiliation. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 30 Sep 2014 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Prediction 10 Jul 2014 Technology spend as a total percentage of GDP will grow with the digitization of nearly everything in life and work. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 10 Jul 2014 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Satya Nadella Prediction 10 Jul 2014 There will soon be more than 3 billion people with Internet-connected devices. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 10 Jul 2014 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 Researchers will eventually figure out how to merge ConvNets and DeconvNets into a feed-forward plus feed-back system trainable supervised or unsupervised. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 Now or in the near future, most of the world's knowledge will be extracted by machines and reside in machines. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 As more data becomes available, machine learning methods will increasingly rely on learning. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Prediction 15 May 2014 Natural language processing is the next frontier for deep learning. Yann LeCun · Prediction · 15 May 2014 AI timelines and forecasting
Mostly true Bill Ackman Prediction 5 May 2014 Banks are not likely to step back in and provide meaningful mortgage investment. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 5 May 2014 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 5 May 2014 Ackman said he and his firm did not think any investor of consequence in the world would invest in the new version of Fannie and Freddie, likely referring to the Crapo-Johnson bill. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 5 May 2014 AI policy and governance
Unresolvable Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects FFO to adjusted net debt of around 25% in 2014, assuming the equity injection is completed. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Ørsted Prediction Feb 2014 DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Prediction 12 Mar 2013 Pinker suspects that the strange problem of consciousness, such as whether an upload of a brain would feel anything, will never be answered, since these puzzles may be artifacts of human intuition. Steven Pinker · Prediction · 12 Mar 2013 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 China will go from 50% capital spending to 30%, if lucky, smoothly over 20 years. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 There will be slow, steady progress, but Grantham does not think "we'll make it"; he did not say what "making it" would mean. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 The US started drilling thousands of wells over the last five years, and will never drill as many wells in a year as it did in 2012. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 The growth boost from fracking will peak at about 0.5%, fairly quickly, within a forecast running to 2030. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 Because drilling activity has peaked, fracking will help economic growth less in future than it has so far. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 If methane clathrates start entering the atmosphere, release might continue even if all industrial activity were stopped the next day. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 3 Dec 2012 Grantham said he thinks "we" will pay a very, very high price. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 3 Dec 2012 Other global risks
Not yet due Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Over the next twenty years no one will mistake a robot for a person, but people will interact and collaborate with robots, which will become as common in daily life as search engines are today. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 Technology
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Robots will understand tasks in terms of the objects, places and people involved rather than as a series of simple motions, and so will show simple forms of common sense. For example, if a person takes a dish from a robot that is carrying it to the dishwasher, the robot will stop heading to the dishwasher and go back to the dining table for the next dish. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 As a result of collaborative robots like Baxter, American manufacturers and workers will be more competitive on the global stage. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Prediction 18 Sep 2012 Robots will become cheaper and more adaptive to their surroundings, and people will find it unsurprising to train a robot for a new task in a few minutes. Rodney Brooks · Prediction · 18 Sep 2012 Technology
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Prediction 15 Jun 2012 There is a compelling case that extraordinary or accelerated technological progress will very likely occur in the decades ahead. Peter Thiel · Prediction · 15 Jun 2012 Technology
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2012 Career risk and the resulting herding are likely to always dominate investing. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2012 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 9 Feb 2012 Buffett predicts that over any extended period, the equity-type investment category he favours will be by far the safest of the three major investment categories. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 9 Feb 2012 Economics and markets
Not yet due Warren Buffett Prediction 9 Feb 2012 Buffett said he was confident that, over the century, the $9.6 trillion current valuation of pile A will compound at a rate far inferior to that achieved by pile B. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 9 Feb 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 9 Feb 2012 Buffett said he believes that over any extended period, investing in businesses, whether owned in their entirety or through sizable holdings of marketable stocks, will prove to be the runaway winner among the three investment categories he examined. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 9 Feb 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 9 Feb 2012 The destruction of investors' purchasing power by these instruments will forever recur. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 9 Feb 2012 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Prediction 10 Nov 2011 Institutionalized violence that can be eliminated by the stroke of a pen, such as capital punishment, criminalization of homosexuality, callous treatment of farm animals and corporal punishment in schools, will continue to decline. Steven Pinker · Prediction · 10 Nov 2011 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 20 Aug 2011 Andreessen expected that over the next 10 years many more industries would be disrupted by software, with new world-beating Silicon Valley companies doing the disruption in more cases than not. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 20 Aug 2011 Technology
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 20 Aug 2011 In Andreessen's view, health care and education are next up for fundamental software-based transformation. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 20 Aug 2011 Technology
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 20 Aug 2011 The trend toward hybrid and electric vehicles will accelerate the shift of cars to software control. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 20 Aug 2011 Technology
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 20 Aug 2011 If the new software companies perform as expected, they will become highly valuable cornerstone companies in the global economy, addressing markets far larger than tech has historically pursued. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 20 Aug 2011 Economics and markets
Resolved false Marc Andreessen Prediction 20 Aug 2011 Within 10 years of 2011, at least five billion people worldwide will own smartphones. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 20 Aug 2011 Technology
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 6 Jun 2011 If the business matched what KKR and the management team achieved at Dollar General, keeping the multiple the same as Dollar General's, investors would make a 70% profit versus the prior night's close. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 6 Jun 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction 6 Jun 2011 Family Dollar will return to 5-7% annual unit growth. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 6 Jun 2011 Economics and markets
Resolved true Michael Burry Prediction 5 Apr 2011 Burry said he expected the US government to attempt to continue easy money policies into the next presidential term. Michael Burry · Prediction · 5 Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Mostly false Michael Burry Prediction 5 Apr 2011 US interest expense on the national debt alone could exceed $1 trillion by 2020. Michael Burry · Prediction · 5 Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 Fertilizer resources such as potash and potassium will become particularly precious. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 If China stumbles and weather improves together, commodity markets will very probably break en masse. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Not yet due Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 World population will have risen from 1 billion to at least 8 billion, and possibly 11 billion, over the 1800 to about 2050 window. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 If weather is friendly in the next year, grain will be in glut because farmers are planting every tillable acre. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 A constrained-resource world will see per capita affluence rise more slowly than otherwise and than in the past, leaving everyone but resource owners worse off. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 If sun and rain come at the right time and place, there will be an absolute record crop. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 Several GMO colleagues agree with Jim Chanos that China's structural imbalances will cause at least one wheel to come off its economy within the next 12 months. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 If bad China and better weather outcomes strike together, it will produce a second once-in-a-lifetime commodity event in three years. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 There is a high probability that extreme weather will be a feature of the future. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Other global risks
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 China's capital spending of about 50% of GDP cannot be sustained, and much of it is likely wasted. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 This is likely the beginning of the end of the rapid growth in population and wealth driven by the Hydrocarbon Revolution. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 Raw material prices will rise and shortages will be common in a more resource-constrained world. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 Almost all countries other than the U.S. will suffer lower growth from resource limits, but resource-rich countries will benefit relatively as terms of trade move in their favor. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 Hubbert's revised estimate that global oil production would peak around 2016, give or take, could prove remarkably accurate. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 Agricultural commodity prices are generally expected to fall in 2012 if the weather improves. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 There is about an 80% chance that China stumbles or weather is better than expected, in which case commodity prices will decline a lot. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2011 There is at least a 1 in 4 chance that China stumbles economically in the next year or so. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction 2011 If China stumbles and weather is better than expected together, commodity prices will very probably break en masse. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2011 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 If biofuel costs reach $75 a barrel, they will keep falling to $30 a barrel in real dollars. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 Almost certainly, the winning battery technology in 15 years will be one that people today see as having a very low probability of working. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Technology
Own records only Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 Khosla's lighting companies and air-conditioning companies will each need $50 million to break even. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 Half a dozen technologies will make economic sense, some with subsidies and some without, and the speaker says the ones that work without subsidies will scale infinitely. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Technology
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 Ten years from now, energy innovation will explode because good PhD students are now going into these areas. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Field building and careers
Mostly false Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 The Chevy Volt is expected to ship 40,000 units by 2012. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Technology
Resolved false Vinod Khosla Prediction 23 Dec 2010 Traditional lithium-ion bulk batteries will almost certainly not be around in 15 years. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 23 Dec 2010 Technology
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 23 Sep 2010 People like the 23 people who were given a diploma that day, and big business, will take "us" out of "this", the situation the surrounding remarks discuss. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 23 Sep 2010 Economics and markets
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 23 Sep 2010 The US economy will eventually get out of the recession, though not for a while. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 23 Sep 2010 Economics and markets
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Bill Gates

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Prediction Technology

“If she is learning a language, she’ll be able to speak out loud and the software will give her feedback on her pronunciation.”

Bill and Melinda Gates, annual letter authors 2015 Bill and Melinda Gates, Annual Letter 2015 (Gates Notes)

Language-learning software will let students speak aloud and give feedback on pronunciation.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

deadline 2030 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Bill Gates, “Language-learning software will let students speak aloud and give feedback on pronunciation.” (said 2015). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_2b392f77c47c, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_2b392f77c47c

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.