Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

2,528 claims · page 23 of 26

2,528 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Factual 6 Jun 2011 Bill Ackman says he had an even better GDP-type idea but it was not liquid enough to present at the conference. Bill Ackman · Factual · 6 Jun 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry wrote a paper in 1994, as a summer extern at the Rehabilitation Institute of Chicago, on why rehabilitation medicine was doing well. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry decided to short the mortgage market, intending to profit from its collapse. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry left medicine with $145,000 in debt and no assets under management when starting Scion Capital. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Michael Burry's formal education is not in finance. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Around December 2006, Burry's fund liquidated billions of dollars of corporate credit default swap short positions in a fire sale instead of liquidating the fund. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry ran a website during the latter half of the 1990s on which he posted his thoughts about stocks and markets. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 After Burry criticized index funds and hyperlinked to Vanguard on his website, Vanguard's attorneys told him to cease and desist. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry's proposed "Milton's Opus" never got off the ground, after his investors met it with scepticism and outside institutions he approached went off to do the idea themselves. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2011 Grantham's foundation is taking a small position, about one-quarter of its eventual target, in resources in the ground and resource efficiency. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 2011 Amazon applied service-oriented architecture long before SOA became an industry buzzword. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2011 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 23 Dec 2010 Khosla told his investors when starting the fund that they were non-fiduciary investors and not to count on them being fiduciary. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 23 Dec 2010 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 23 Dec 2010 Khosla Ventures has plenty of money to invest and probably made more investments in 2010 than in 2009, and more in 2009 than in 2008. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 23 Dec 2010 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 29 Sep 2010 Vinod Khosla does not invest in anything that cannot achieve market competitiveness within five years. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 29 Sep 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 29 Sep 2010 Khosla Ventures' median series A investment is around $3 million. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 29 Sep 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Jul 2010 Grantham said in GMO's previous quarterly letter that UBS had fired Gary Brinson at the peak of the 2000 bull market. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jul 2010 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Jul 2010 In 1985 Grantham's firm was ripped off by its then favorite broker on one of its early program trades. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jul 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Jul 2010 Gary Brinson was not fired by UBS; he and UBS had agreed to his withdrawal considerably earlier. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jul 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry deliberately avoided Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns as swap counterparties. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry shut down Scion Capital in 2008. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry's prediction of a mortgage market meltdown was based on his research into the residential mortgage market and mortgage-backed securities. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Scion's credit default swaps covered AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, among other firms that failed or nearly failed. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 By mid-2005 Michael Burry bought credit default swaps on billions of dollars of subprime mortgage-backed securities and bonds of financial companies. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 After studying regulatory filings on mortgage-backed securities, Michael Burry waited for lenders to offer the riskiest mortgages to the least qualified buyers. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry demanded daily collateral settlement on his swaps, with cash posted to Scion's account the next day if positions moved in its favor. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 By early 2008 Michael Burry exited all remaining credit default positions by auctioning them to Wall Street banks seeking protection. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Burry exited his remaining credit default positions well before the government bailouts of the financial crisis. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 During 2007, under pressure from investors, Michael Burry liquidated most of Scion's credit default swaps at a substantial profit. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry used six counterparties for his credit default swaps to limit exposure to any one of them. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 In 2005 and 2006 Michael Burry argued in letters to Scion Capital clients that the mortgage market would melt down in the second half of 2007, badly damaging the economy. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable GiveWell Factual 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell's reviews of other organizations tend to focus on the end product and stay agnostic on those organizations' progress and how they can improve. GiveWell · Factual · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true GiveWell Factual 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell last laid out a business plan in November 2008. GiveWell · Factual · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell will examine itself critically over the coming weeks and share its self-review in near real time on its blog. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell intends to discuss, for each of its self-review questions, its progress since November 2008, where it stands today relative to success, and what it can do to improve. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 2010 In 2006 Warren Buffett committed to gradually give all his Berkshire Hathaway stock to philanthropic foundations. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 Warren Buffett will continue to distribute about 4% of the Berkshire shares he retains each year. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2010 About 20% of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway shares have been distributed to date, including shares given by his late wife Susan Buffett. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 None of Warren Buffett's pledged money will go to endowments; it will be spent on current needs. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 More than 99% of Warren Buffett's wealth will go to philanthropy during his lifetime or at death. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 At the latest, proceeds from all of Warren Buffett's Berkshire shares will be spent for philanthropic purposes within 10 years after his estate is settled. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The response to Grantham's revelation about resource scarcity and denial was nil, the first time since he started writing. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's neutral 65% equity position has been pulled back slightly to 62%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In March 2009 GMO believed its quality overweight was a winning bet against the market over its seven-year horizon. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO reinvested in March 2009 to be almost neutral in equities and recently took a few chips off the table. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The October 2009 letter refers to underweighting emerging equity "last summer" just in time to avoid its two-month 40% freefall; the extracted text is jumbled, and it does not make clear whether this describes a move GMO made or one Grantham said it would have been good to make. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's best forecast, for the 10 years ending October 2008, had a 1 in 100,000 chance of being just luck. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO has over 70 seven-year forecast estimates since 1994 and every one ranked asset classes better than random. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Promise Oct 2009 GMO plans to post its entire set of forecasts to its website with some preliminary analysis of the results. Jeremy Grantham · Promise · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In equity accounts GMO kept a massive overweight in quality stocks. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Factual 1 May 2009 Thiel had hoped his essay on the limits of politics would provoke reactions, and it did. Peter Thiel · Factual · 1 May 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 13 Apr 2009 As a Stanford undergraduate, Thiel started a student newspaper that he says scored some limited victories, most notably in undoing speech codes instituted by the university. Peter Thiel · Factual · 13 Apr 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 2009 In 2009, Taleb said that he probably had the best track record in existence at that time, because, comparatively, other people had disappeared. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 Roubini began worrying about the US economy and financial system in 2006 after seeing an unsustainable housing bubble in home prices and mortgages. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 Roubini wrote about his concerns in summer 2006 and gave a speech to a few hundred International Monetary Fund staff in early September 2006. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 In 2006 people were sceptical of Roubini's predictions, talking instead of high growth, a Goldilocks economy and a gently deflating minor housing bubble. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 2009 Taleb said the only important thing was that he had protected his clients. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 3 Apr 2008 Nassim Taleb worked on Wall Street for close to two decades in trading and risk management of derivatives. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 3 Apr 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 The Scion Funds' portfolio of credit default swaps on subordinated tranches of subprime mortgage securitizations has been reduced to an insignificant size, with only three contracts remaining. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 Burry said he had recently found opportunity in a handful of severely battered South Korean securities, a Chinese media company and a global internet giant, and that such positions amounted to roughly one-third of the portfolio. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 If the Funds' remaining credit shorts fell to zero value, Scion Qualified Value Fund would lose about 19% of its value and Scion Value Fund about 15%. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 The Scion Funds are roughly one-fifth cash, held largely in foreign currencies. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Prediction 2008 Burry said that, with only three such contracts remaining in force, he did not expect further meaningful impact on the Funds' portfolios from this sort of trade. Michael Burry · Prediction · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 When he first began thinking about these matters, Yudkowsky expected the largest benefits from Artificial Intelligence yet felt no anxiety about it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Promise 2008 Scion Capital is closing its dedicated Asian investment funds and returning capital to investors in those funds. Michael Burry · Promise · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 The Scion Funds established direct commodity exposure through futures contracts during a recent commodity price pullback. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 Yudkowsky asks readers to consider how many media stories on artificial intelligence cite the Terminator movies as if they were documentaries, and how many media stories on brain-computer interfaces mention Star Trek's Borg. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Khosla invests in all energy approaches he thinks might be viable. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 After being told to come back in a month, Bill Gates worked day and night on a software project that he said ended his college education and began his journey with Microsoft. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2007 Grantham says GMO has not found any case where excellent fundamentals and generous cheap liquidity coexisted without producing a bubble. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2007 For slow-moving managers who do not exit quickly by unloading their company, default will probably be common. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2007 GMO's 7-year forecast implies U.S. equities would return minus 1.4% real per year as P/Es and profit margins revert to long-term averages. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2007 As of April 2007, Grantham personally holds a short position in copper. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said he made a deal with Jack in a few minutes, waiving an audit, due diligence or anything else that would give Jack an opportunity to reconsider. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Large future gains in Berkshire's non-insurance earnings will come only if it makes major, sensible acquisitions. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's partners in owning MidAmerican Energy are Walter Scott, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire did not provide Equitas and its 27,972 names unlimited protection. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said 35 university classes would come to Omaha for sessions with him in the 2006-2007 school year, and that he takes almost all visiting students, in aggregate more than 2,000, to lunch at Gorat's. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Retroactive insurance contracts always produce underwriting losses for Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Buffett's 2007 federal and state income taxes will be exactly what they would have been had he not made his 2007 charitable contributions. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's net worth rose $16.9 billion in 2006, raising per-share book value of Class A and B stock by 18.4%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's super-cat insurance activity, which lost money in 2004 and 2005, was very profitable in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said Berkshire believed its $16.9 billion gain in net worth during 2006 was a record one-year gain for any American business, leaving aside boosts from mergers. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's manufacturing, service and retailing group earned 25% on average tangible net worth in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Charlie Munger began his career as a lawyer, and Buffett thought of himself as a security analyst. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Over 42 years under present management, Berkshire's book value per share grew from $19 to $70,281, 21.4% compounded annually. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Lou Simpson has an outstanding long-term record managing GEICO's equity portfolio. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 GEICO's productivity grew 47% between yearend 2003 and yearend 2006 (policies up 42%, employees down 3.5%). Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's annual meeting draws many people from around the globe every year. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 In 2006 Berkshire agreed to enter into a huge retroactive reinsurance contract with Equitas. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Tony Nicely became GEICO's CEO in 1992, and GEICO's growth accelerated greatly afterward. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Promise 2007 Any shareholder coming from outside the U.S. or Canada will be given a special credential and instructions for attending the reception. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire has done many retroactive reinsurance transactions, a multiple of the number and amount of such policies entered into by any other insurer. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire decided in 2006 to offer Equitas a huge reinsurance policy. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire is prepared to lose $6 billion in a single event if paid appropriately for assuming the risk. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Exxon Mobil and other companies earn far more than Berkshire, but their earnings largely go to dividends and/or repurchases rather than building net worth. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Berkshire's results from its bread-and-butter insurance lines will deteriorate in 2007, though Buffett said he thought they would remain satisfactory. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Guidance 2007 After the Equitas transaction, Berkshire's annual DCRA cost will initially increase to about $450 million a year. Warren Buffett · Guidance · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire sharply reduced its wind (super-cat) exposures because rates fell as capital flooded the field. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Much of Berkshire's float growth came from acquiring other insurers, plus internal growth, particularly at Ajit Jain's reinsurance operation. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 In 1967 Buffett had no expectation that Berkshire's float would develop as it has. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Back to the list

Bill Ackman

Open its page

Factual Their own work or organisation

“I actually had an even better idea we want to speak about, another GDP type idea, but it was not liquid enough to get here.”

Bill Ackman, speaking at Ira Sohn Conference 6 June 2011 Transcript of Bill Ackman's Super Fast Speech at the Ira Sohn Conference (Insider Monkey)

Bill Ackman says he had an even better GDP-type idea but it was not liquid enough to present at the conference.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Reasoning

Unnamed idea and subjective judgement of being better and illiquid cannot be tested.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “Bill Ackman says he had an even better GDP-type idea but it was not liquid enough to present at the conference.” (said 6 June 2011). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_99d3927a354f, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_99d3927a354f

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.