| Resolved true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
1 Jan 2017 |
As of January 1, 2017, Y Combinator had funded over 3,200 founders and 1,470 companies.
Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Sam Altman | Factual |
1 Jan 2017 |
Paul Graham and Jessica Livingston put in place a YC cultural value of doing the right thing for founders even when not in YC's short-term interest.
Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Sam Altman | Factual |
1 Jan 2017 |
YC sees significant dropoffs of underrepresented founders at stages after YC, such as raising late-stage capital.
Sam Altman · Factual · 1 Jan 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false |
Ørsted | Promise |
2017 |
DONG Energy will stop using coal altogether at its power plants from 2023.
Ørsted · Promise · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In connection with the 2016 IPO, 20% of DONG Energy's shares were sold for a total value of DKK 19.7 billion.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Jeremy Grantham | Factual |
2017 |
Jeremy Grantham started following the market in 1965 and could look back at a 1935-1965 period he calls the Ben Graham training period.
Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
First gas was produced from the Laggan-Tormore field west of the Shetland Isles in 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In June 2016 DONG Energy completed an IPO, the biggest in Danish history, and in December 2016 it was included in the OMX C20 index on Nasdaq Copenhagen.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's Wind Power EBITDA rose 93% to DKK 11.9 billion in 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's treasury shares have not been acquired for the purpose of reducing the share capital.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's share capital is divided into 420 million shares with the same voting and dividend rights.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In 2016 DONG Energy's Wind Power earnings doubled to DKK 11.9 billion and for the first time exceeded earnings from oil and gas production.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy has reduced its coal consumption by 73% since 2006.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy disagrees with the 2016 ruling against the former Elsam and has decided to appeal, to be heard by the High Court of Western Denmark.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
Since August 2016, 61% of DONG Energy's sourced biomass has been certified as sustainable.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
CO2 emissions from DONG Energy's heat and power generation stagnated temporarily in 2016 due to less favourable wind conditions than in 2015.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In March 2016 DONG Energy terminated the EPC contract for the platform for the Hejre project.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy has reduced CO2 emissions from its power and heat generation by 52% since 2006 and targets a 96% reduction by 2023 compared to 2006.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's dialogue with investors and analysts is subject to restrictions starting three weeks before publication of its financial reports.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
The faulty transmission cable at Gode Wind was not part of DONG Energy's construction responsibility, and the transmission company largely compensated DONG Energy.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false |
Ørsted | Prediction |
2017 |
DONG Energy's REnescience waste treatment plant in Northwich is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017.
Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy is the first company to install 1,000 offshore wind turbines.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's total net profit in 2016, including Oil & Gas, was DKK 13.2 billion, and it recommends a dividend of DKK 2.5 billion be paid in 2017.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's 2016 EBITDA from continuing operations was DKK 19.1 billion, underlying growth of 95%.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy is converting its power stations to generate power and heat from sustainable biomass instead of coal and gas.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time |
Ørsted | Promise |
2017 |
DONG Energy's target is that 60% of the biomass it buys during 2017 will be certified as sustainable.
Ørsted · Promise · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy Group's CO2 emissions have been halved relative to 2006.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due |
Ørsted | Promise |
2017 |
DONG Energy aims to phase out coal completely from its power and heat generation by 2023.
Ørsted · Promise · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's employee satisfaction index rose from 74 in 2015 to 76 in 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ørsted | Promise |
2017 |
DONG Energy targets an average ROCE up to 2023 of 12-14% for the Group, 13-15% for Wind Power and 9-11% for Distribution & Customer Solutions.
Ørsted · Promise · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy completed coal-to-biomass conversion of Studstrup Power Station in October 2016 and Unit 1 at Avedøre Power Station in December 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In connection with the IPO, DONG Energy's total dividend for 2016 was fixed at DKK 2.5 billion, or DKK 6.0 per share.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Jeremy Grantham | Factual |
2017 |
In his early training period Grantham adopted Ben Graham's value-oriented biases.
Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy installed offshore wind turbine no. 1,000 in autumn 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In 2016 DONG Energy installed 0.6GW of new offshore wind capacity and completed conversions of two CHP plants in Aarhus and Copenhagen to sustainable biomass.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ørsted | Promise |
2017 |
DONG Energy maintains its target of a lost-time injury frequency (LTIF) of 1.5 by 2020.
Ørsted · Promise · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy renegotiated its most important long-term gas purchase contracts, resulting in one-off compensation totalling DKK 4.3 billion in 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
In November 2016 DONG Energy decided to initiate a process aimed at divesting its oil and gas production activities.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy installed the world's first 8MW offshore wind turbine at Burbo Bank Extension in September 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's injury frequency was at a record low in 2016.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy's 2016 profit after tax from continuing operations was DKK 12.2 billion, its best result ever and a significant increase on 2015.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Ørsted | Prediction |
2017 |
With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever.
Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ørsted | Promise |
2017 |
DONG Energy's target is that 100% of the biomass it buys will be certified as sustainable by 2020.
Ørsted · Promise · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy introduced the Sustainable Biomass Partnership (SBP) certification scheme in 2016, developed in collaboration with other European energy companies.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy is the energy company in Europe that has come furthest in the transition to renewable energy.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
DONG Energy was listed on Nasdaq Copenhagen on 9 June 2016, the biggest IPO in Danish history.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Ørsted | Factual |
2017 |
Third-party auditors conduct regular control visits to check whether biomass producers meet requirements such as the SBP standard.
Ørsted · Factual · 2017 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
31 Dec 2016 |
Of his 2016 predictions made at 50% confidence, Scott Alexander got 8 right and 5 wrong, a score of 62%.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 31 Dec 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
31 Dec 2016 |
Scott Alexander makes predictions at the start of every year and scores them at the end of every year.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 31 Dec 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Yann LeCun | Promise |
28 Jul 2016 |
LeCun will teach his NYU deep learning course again in the Spring of 2017.
Yann LeCun · Promise · 28 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
28 Jul 2016 |
Videos of LeCun's 2015 NYU deep learning course lectures were taken down for legal reasons, while the slides remain available.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
28 Jul 2016 |
Yann LeCun gave a recent series of 8 lectures on deep learning at Collège de France in Paris.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Yann LeCun | Factual |
28 Jul 2016 |
LeCun's Collège de France lectures were taught in French and later dubbed in English.
Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Berkshire has a provision that in any corporate transaction Class A stock cannot be treated differently from Class B stock.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Buffett has given away about 40% of his Berkshire shares as of July 2016.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Thiel does not agree with every plan in the Republican Party's platform.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
When Buffett gives away his Berkshire shares, he always converts the Class A voting stock into Class B stock first.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Berkshire Hathaway has a dual-class share structure.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Berkshire does not use consultants or advisory organizations to direct how it votes its shares.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Neither Peter Thiel nor Donald Trump is a politician.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Peter Thiel | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Peter Thiel builds companies and supports people building new things, from social networks to rocket ships.
Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Warren Buffett | Factual |
21 Jul 2016 |
Buffett said Berkshire has "had it for 20 years" and that its A and B stock have always sold right at parity.
Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Elon Musk | Promise |
20 Jul 2016 |
As the technology matures, all Tesla vehicles will have the hardware necessary to be fully self-driving with fail-operational capability.
Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
Worldwide regulatory approval of self-driving will require on the order of 6 billion miles (10 billion km) of driving data.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla Autopilot miles will soon exceed twice 89 million miles, i.e. over 178 million miles.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
When used correctly, Tesla's Autopilot is already significantly safer than a person driving alone.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Elon Musk | Promise |
20 Jul 2016 |
In cities where demand exceeds the supply of customer-owned cars, Tesla will operate its own ride-hailing fleet.
Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Elon Musk | Citation |
20 Jul 2016 |
The 2015 NHTSA report says US automotive fatalities increased by 8% to one death every 89 million miles.
Elon Musk · Citation · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla calls Autopilot beta to decrease complacency and indicate it will keep improving, and Autopilot is always off by default.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
A vehicle cheaper than the Model 3 is unlikely to be necessary for Tesla.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Elon Musk | Promise |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla plans to address most of the consumer vehicle market with the Model 3, a future compact SUV and a new kind of pickup truck.
Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Elon Musk | Promise |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla will remove the beta label from Autopilot once it is approximately 10 times safer than the US vehicle average.
Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
Adding cars to a Tesla shared fleet will lower the true cost of ownership to the point where almost anyone could own a Tesla.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
Providing solar power has been on Tesla's website for 10 years.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
Refinement and validation of self-driving software will take much longer than installing the cameras, radar, sonar and computing hardware.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla's fleet learning is currently happening at just over 3 million miles (5 million km) per day.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla believes the Tesla Semi will deliver a substantial reduction in the cost of cargo transport while increasing safety.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
Every Tesla Autopilot release goes through extensive internal validation before reaching any customers.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
The first Tesla master plan, written by Elon Musk 10 years before 2016, is in the final stages of completion.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
With autonomy, it will probably make sense to shrink buses and turn bus drivers into fleet managers.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Factual |
20 Jul 2016 |
Musk said that starting with step 1 was all he could afford to do with what he made from PayPal.
Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false |
Elon Musk | Promise |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla's version 1.0 of its Model 3 factory machine will probably arrive in 2018.
Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
When regulators approve true self-driving, Tesla owners will be able to summon their Tesla from pretty much anywhere.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Elon Musk | Prediction |
20 Jul 2016 |
A first-principles physics analysis suggests that a 5 to 10 fold improvement in automotive production is achievable by version 3 of Tesla's factory machine, on a roughly 2-year iteration cycle.
Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false |
Elon Musk | Promise |
20 Jul 2016 |
Tesla plans to create an integrated solar-roof-with-battery product and scale it throughout the world.
Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Sam Altman | Factual |
Jun 2016 |
In his first blog post on Trump, in June 2016, Sam Altman said it would be a good time for everyone to start speaking up.
Sam Altman · Factual · Jun 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
28 Jan 2016 |
Pershing Square missed the opportunity in 2015 to trim or sell certain positions that approached its estimate of intrinsic value.
Bill Ackman · Factual · 28 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander gave a 90% probability that UNSONG would get fewer hits than Slate Star Codex in 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander will score at or above the 95th percentile on next year's PRITE (psychiatry in-training exam).
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander will be involved in at least one published or accepted research paper by the end of 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander will not stop using Twitter, Tumblr, or Facebook in 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Scott Alexander | Factual |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander makes predictions at the start of every year and scores them at the end of each year.
Scott Alexander · Factual · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander will still be at his current job at the end of 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander will finish a long FAQ in 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Slate Star Codex will remain active through 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Scott Alexander | Prediction |
25 Jan 2016 |
Scott Alexander will attend at least one Solstice event in 2016.
Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
Jan 2016 |
Pershing Square generally does not use margin leverage in its investment strategy.
Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Jeremy Grantham | Factual |
Jan 2016 |
Grantham says his earlier warning of drowning in grain did not mean he expected an abrupt weather shift, only that it was possible.
Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched |
Jeremy Grantham | Factual |
Jan 2016 |
In 1999 GMO presented 28 major past bubbles, all of which fully mean-reverted, with none being a paradigm shift.
Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Bill Ackman | Factual |
Jan 2016 |
Pershing Square bought additional Platform Specialty Products stock at $25 per share to help the company finance an acquisition.
Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 |
Their own work or organisation |