1,587 claims · page 2 of 16
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Jun 2026 | On 2026-06-10 Dario Amodei published a new essay titled Policy on the AI Exponential. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 4 Jun 2026 | GitHub and GitHub Copilot will offer both Anthropic (Claude) and other models. Satya Nadella · Promise · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft's free cash flow is currently being allocated to capital return in a sensible way, per Nadella. Satya Nadella · Factual · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 4 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will allow anyone to bring models they fine-tune or build, including open-weight models, into Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 4 Jun 2026 | Every Microsoft product will offer Anthropic, OpenAI and MAI models, plus the ability to bring your own models. Satya Nadella · Promise · 4 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA used to be a GPU company a long time ago. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Marcus's X post the previous night, prompted by Google's announced equity financing, was viewed over 750,000 times overnight. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Nadella said "we" would be back at the same venue at 6pm on the evening of 2 June 2026, the day he spoke. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's ecosystem spans upstream to its supply chain in Taiwan, where it all begins, and downstream to data centers and eventually to end users. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | In the coming months Microsoft will build Autopilots out into a complete digital team of autopilots inside Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Nadella said that in summer 2026 coding would be brought to all knowledge work within one Copilot super app. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will use its new AI accelerator to power Microsoft 365 Copilot. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Promise | 2 Jun 2026 | Microsoft will offer Nvidia's models and tooling in Microsoft Foundry. Satya Nadella · Promise · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Gary Marcus | Factual | 2 Jun 2026 | Most people responding to Marcus's X post agreed with it. Gary Marcus · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's Vera Rubin system is in full production. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA uses RTX for its GPUs, DGX for its systems, and DSX for its AI infrastructure ecosystem. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Jensen Huang | Prediction | 1 Jun 2026 | The Vera CPU will be NVIDIA's new major growth driver. Jensen Huang · Prediction · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA's OpenShell is open source. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA announced Nemotron 3 Ultra, its next open model, at the keynote. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 1 Jun 2026 | NVIDIA is working with Cadence to accelerate Cadence's tools on CUDA. Jensen Huang · Factual · 1 Jun 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 27 May 2026 | Isomorphic Labs has a number of its drug programs in the pre-clinical stage. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 27 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Demis Hassabis | Promise | 20 May 2026 | Google DeepMind will release a Gemini 3.5 Pro model following Gemini 3.5 Flash. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 20 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic incorporated as a public benefit corporation. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic made a conscious decision not to run ads on Claude. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Dalio has spoken to top levels of both the Democratic and Republican parties, and everyone agrees on the mechanics of how debt crises work. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Ray Dalio studied roughly the last 500 years of history to find what causes the rise and decline of reserve currencies and empires. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei started working at Stripe when it had about 40 people. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei graduated college in 2009 with a literature degree. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Most of Anthropic's revenue comes from businesses. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 May 2026 | It has been 10 years since AlphaGo. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei spent nearly six years at Stripe working closely with engineers. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ørsted | Factual | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted has commenced installation of monopile foundations at Hornsea 3 in the UK and Baltica 2 in Poland. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ørsted | Prediction | 6 May 2026 | Commissioning of Greater Changhua 2b and 4 offshore wind farms in Taiwan remains on track for the third quarter of 2026. Ørsted · Prediction · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Ørsted | Prediction | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted will significantly increase its power generation throughout 2026 as its offshore construction projects are delivered. Ørsted · Prediction · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted's net profit for Q1 2026 was DKK 2.6 billion, affected by non-cash tax effects and impairments due to higher long-dated US interest rates. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Ørsted | Promise | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted maintains its gross investment guidance of DKK 50-55 billion. Ørsted · Promise · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ørsted | Factual | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted's offshore business EBITDA in Q1 2026 was DKK 7.5 billion, up DKK 1.2 billion from the same period last year. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Ørsted | Promise | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted maintains its full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance of above DKK 28 billion excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees. Ørsted · Promise · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ørsted | Factual | 6 May 2026 | Revolution Wind delivered first power to New England and the first wind turbines were installed at Sunrise Wind outside New York, per Ørsted's Q1 2026 announcement. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta is already training models more advanced than Muse Spark. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta released its Muse family of models in 2026, starting with Muse Spark, along with a significantly upgraded Meta AI. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Guidance | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta is increasing its 2026 infrastructure capital expenditure forecast. Mark Zuckerberg · Guidance · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | More than 3.5 billion people use at least one Meta app every day. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | As of April 2026, Meta has its next set of more advanced AI models in training. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Demis Hassabis met South Korean President Lee Jae-myung in Seoul. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta AI use has increased greatly since the updates, and the Meta AI app has consistently been near the top of the app stores. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta is testing an early version of business AIs, and weekly conversations have grown 10 times since the start of 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta remains the biggest investor in VR across the industry. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Mark Zuckerberg said Meta released Ray-Ban MetaOptics glasses "this quarter" (as of April 29, 2026), designed for all-day wear rather than primarily as sunglasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | The number of people using Meta's AI glasses daily tripled year over year. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Demis Hassabis decided from a very young age to work on AI because he was obsessed with big questions as a schoolchild. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Hassabis got into AI originally because he was interested in big questions such as the nature of reality and consciousness. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Hassabis said he thinks his team is working on about 18 or 19 drug programs across a range of areas, from cardiovascular disease to cancer to immunology. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 30 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen appeared on the Conversations with Coleman podcast, published by 2026-03-30. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 30 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 26 Mar 2026 | The last chapter of Tyler Cowen's new generative book is about how AI will revolutionize the sciences. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 26 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 26 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen published a new "generative book" that he says was fully written by himself. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 26 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Paul Gillingham, published by 2026-03-25. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen's conversation with Paul Gillingham was mostly about Mexico. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Harvey Mansfield, published by 2026-03-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | The CUDA-X demo video shown at GTC 2026 was entirely simulation, with no hand-drawn animation or joint rigging. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | NVIDIA is currently the only platform in the world able to run all AI models across all AI fields, at the edge or in the cloud. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen's planned conversation with Toby Wilkinson has ancient and Ptolemaic Egypt as its topic. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 10 Mar 2026 | Streetwise is now available for sale as of 2026-03-10. Bill Ackman · Factual · 10 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a literary Conversations with Tyler episode with Henry Oliver, published by 2026-03-04. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Factual | 3 Mar 2026 | As of March 2026, Michael Burry had not directly tackled the overvaluation of the market itself in his writing. Michael Burry · Factual · 3 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA's H20 charges/(releases), net, were insignificant in both Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2026. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Jensen Huang | Promise | 25 Feb 2026 | Beginning in Q1 fiscal 2027, NVIDIA will include stock-based compensation expense in its non-GAAP financial measures. Jensen Huang · Promise · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA's H20 charges/(releases), net, were $4.5 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026 and ($180 million) in Q2 fiscal 2026. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Guidance | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA expects stock-based compensation in Q1 fiscal 2027 to have a 0.1% impact on non-GAAP gross margin and add $1.9 billion to non-GAAP operating expenses. Jensen Huang · Guidance · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | The tax expense included in the table represents the impact of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 22 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen recorded a podcast with Jake Sullivan and Jon Finer, mostly on geopolitics, with a transcript available. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 22 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen appeared on the podcast of Rasheed Griffith and Diego Sanchez de la Cruz, discussing Latin America and Spain. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Joe Studwell, published by 2026-02-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Andrew Ross Sorkin, published by 2026-02-04. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Over 1,500 customers have used both Anthropic and OpenAI models on Microsoft Foundry. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said he is confident that Tesla will get to a production rate of one million Optimus 3 units a year in Fremont. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | CyberCab's whole design was to optimize the fully considered cost per mile of autonomous driving. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Satya Nadella | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Over 250 customers are on track to process over one trillion tokens on Foundry this year. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Over 80% of the Fortune 500 have active agents built using Microsoft's low-code/no-code tools (Copilot Studio and Agent Builder). Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla expects to start CyberCab production in April 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said "we" expect fully autonomous vehicles in probably somewhere between a quarter and half of the United States by the end of 2026, pending regulatory approval. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft introduced Agent 365 in the quarter ended December 2025, letting organizations extend governance, identity, security and management to agents. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk has updated Tesla's mission to "amazing abundance". Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft 365 Copilot had its biggest quarter-over-quarter improvement in response quality to date. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Dina Powell McCormick joined Meta as president and vice chairman. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said Tesla would expect, over time, to make far more CyberCabs than all of its other vehicles combined. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will transition the Cybertruck line to a fully autonomous vehicle line. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta expects to roll out its new AI-enabled products and formats over the course of 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta rebuilt the foundations of its AI program in 2025. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla expects to operate autonomous service in dozens of major cities by end of 2026. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | In his opening remarks, Zuckerberg outlined themes including personal AI and LLMs combined with recommendation systems. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will end the Model S and Model X programs. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | As of January 2026, Tesla operates cars in Austin with no one inside, no safety monitor and no follow car. Elon Musk · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 28 Jan 2026 | Musk said that "this" would probably double every month "type of thing", and described it as being on an exponential curve; the quote does not say what "this" refers to. Elon Musk · Prediction · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | As of January 2026, Meta had been building Meta Superintelligence Labs (MSL) for about six months. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Satya Nadella | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Microsoft's latest SQL Server is growing as an IaaS service in Azure. Satya Nadella · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Jan 2026 | Tesla will convert the Model S and X production space at Fremont into an Optimus factory with a long-term goal of one million Optimus robots a year. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Jan 2026 | Meta is elevating individual contributors and flattening its teams. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Jan 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
“Today I'm publishing a new essay, Policy on the AI Exponential.”
Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, on X 10 June 2026 Post by @DarioAmodei on X, 2026-06-10 (X)
On 2026-06-10 Dario Amodei published a new essay titled Policy on the AI Exponential.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True: an essay titled 'Policy on the AI Exponential' (or essentially that title) by Dario Amodei was published on 2026-06-10 (or dated that day on his personal site or Anthropic's site; publication a day either side because of time zones still counts). Mostly true: the essay was published under Amodei's name within a few days of 2026-06-10, or under a title that differs only trivially (punctuation, capitalisation, a subtitle). Mixed: not used for this single-event claim. Mostly false: an essay on this topic exists but came out materially later (more than a week after), or was not a new essay (for example a republication or a short post rather than an essay), or carries a substantially different title. False: dated records (his website, archive snapshots, news coverage) show no such essay published around that date, or show the essay was written by someone else.
Evidence
- AI Regulation Push: Amodei Demands Power Blocking Unsafe Models, Anthropic Pledges $350 Million TechTimes · 11 June 2026
“Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a sweeping policy essay, "Policy on the AI Exponential," on Wednesday, June 10, arguing that the US government should hold legal authority to block or reverse the release of frontier AI models that fail independent safety testing.”
- Policy Anthropic · 10 June 2026 Own record
“Policy on the AI exponential AI is advancing at exponential speed, and the policymaking process was built for a slower world. We’re sharing policy proposals to prepare our institutions for AI progress. Jun 10, 2026”
- Dario Amodei — Policy on the AI Exponential Dario Amodei (darioamodei.com) Own record
“Along with this essay, Anthropic is releasing a legislative proposal on frontier model testing and a policy framework for job displacement, for which we intend to provide substantial financial backing.”
Reasoning
TechTimes is independent of the subject, and it reports that Dario Amodei published the policy essay "Policy on the AI Exponential" on Wednesday, June 10 (E1). Anthropic's news index lists "Policy on the AI exponential" dated Jun 10, 2026 (E2). Amodei's personal site hosts the essay under that title (E3). The title and date match the claim.
Cite this claim
Dario Amodei, “On 2026-06-10 Dario Amodei published a new essay titled Policy on the AI Exponential.” (said 10 June 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_25af7da61e70, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_25af7da61e70
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.