Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

2,528 claims · page 16 of 26

2,528 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell made limited progress in 2019 in assessing public health regulation, a relatively new domain for it. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Promise 28 May 2020 After completing its alcohol policy grant investigation, GiveWell will reflect on what it has learned about public health regulation before deciding whether to do additional work in this area. GiveWell · Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 The GiveWell post on 2020 plans does not include a complete accounting of everything GiveWell plans to do in 2020. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell's plans laid out internally at the beginning of 2020 were disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 In early 2020 GiveWell conducted research that led it to prioritize alcohol policy and pesticide suicide prevention and to deprioritize air pollution, tobacco and road safety. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 Dispensers for Safe Water is a GiveWell standout charity. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell's marketing team is examining how users engage with the GiveWell website and where they may become confused or misinterpret its work. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell has paused work on public health regulation as of May 2020. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell does not typically focus on high-uncertainty, short-timeline reviews of funding opportunities. GiveWell · Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true GiveWell Promise 28 May 2020 In 2020 GiveWell will complete its review of the New Incentives RCT results and decide whether to direct additional funding to New Incentives. GiveWell · Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 20 May 2020 Tyler Cowen held a second Conversations with Tyler interview with Paul Romer, released by 20 May 2020. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 20 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 19 May 2020 Ray Dalio and his wife, in agreement with Governor Lamont, are terminating their partnership with the State of Connecticut to help disengaged students through high school and into jobs. Ray Dalio · Factual · 19 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 15 May 2020 Tyler Cowen co-authored a piece with Garry Kasparov, published by May 2020. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 15 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Gary Marcus Factual 15 May 2020 Gary Marcus has frequently criticized Elon Musk's views on AI publicly on Twitter. Gary Marcus · Factual · 15 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 14 May 2020 Ray Dalio is often asked on social media for advice for young people and shared his top advice in May 2020. Ray Dalio · Factual · 14 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Factual 13 May 2020 Ray Dalio has been sharing his answers to social media questions on a weekly basis in a compiled format. Ray Dalio · Factual · 13 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 30 Apr 2020 In April 2020 Microsoft Teams saw more than 200 million meeting participants in a single day, generating more than 4.1 billion meeting minutes. Satya Nadella · Factual · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 30 Apr 2020 Microsoft has made GitHub's core features free for teams of any size for the first time. Satya Nadella · Factual · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Satya Nadella Factual 30 Apr 2020 Health care providers have created more than 1,400 bots with Microsoft's Healthcare Bot service, helping more than 27 million people access health care information. Satya Nadella · Factual · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Factual 30 Apr 2020 Microsoft Power Platform is used by more than 3.4 million citizen developers and business decision-makers. Satya Nadella · Factual · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 30 Apr 2020 As of April 2020 Microsoft Teams had more than 75 million daily active users, two thirds of whom shared, collaborated or interacted with files on Teams. Satya Nadella · Factual · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Prediction 30 Apr 2020 Microsoft's fiscal Q4 2020 will show consistent execution on a large annuity base, with continued usage and consumption growth across its cloud offerings. Satya Nadella · Prediction · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Factual 30 Apr 2020 The number of organizations integrating third-party and line-of-business apps with Teams tripled in the two months to late April 2020. Satya Nadella · Factual · 30 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Prediction 18 Apr 2020 The essay "It's Time to Build" will be the target of criticism. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 18 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Steven Pinker Factual 28 Mar 2020 The latest lecture in the Rationality course was a guest lecture by climate activist Solomon Goldstein-Rose. Steven Pinker · Factual · 28 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Promise 26 Mar 2020 The 2020-03-26 Rationality class lecture on a rational model for climate action will be recorded and posted later. Steven Pinker · Promise · 26 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Promise 20 Mar 2020 Will MacAskill will give a virtual guest lecture in Pinker's Rationality course later in the spring 2020 semester. Steven Pinker · Promise · 20 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 Balaji Srinivasan posted infographics showing calculations of infection risk at gatherings. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 Balaji Srinivasan has a PhD in electrical engineering and an MS in chemical engineering from Stanford. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 Srinivasan's graduate work at Stanford included genetic circuits and microbes. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2020 The newest lecture in Gen Ed 1066, Rationality, is titled Social and Political Bias. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Khosla Ventures does not allow IRR calculations when making an investment and never looks at them. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Vinod Khosla said he first read about Andy Grove, a Hungarian immigrant who moved to the US and started a company, when he was 15. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Khosla Ventures did not sell many of its portfolio companies and held on to them. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Vinod Khosla does not attend many board meetings now. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Vinod Khosla published his 2019 book recommendations on Medium.com, a list of more than 20 books. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Khosla Ventures basically does not invest in advertising tools now. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Three people Vinod Khosla invested in won Nobel prizes after he invested in them. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 When investing in Impossible Foods, Khosla Ventures made clear it would pass up profit rather than sell the company to a food company that might divert its mission. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Vinod Khosla interviews roughly eight to ten people a week, mostly for Khosla Ventures portfolio companies. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Khosla said his selection of 100 Khosla Ventures portfolio companies did not include successes such as Square, Stripe or Nutanix. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 12 Feb 2020 Demis Hassabis received the 2020 Dan David Prize Future Award alongside Prof. Amnon Shashua. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 12 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation was started 20 years before 2020. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 For the last 20 years the Gates Foundation has focused on improving global health and strengthening US public education. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 Gates said that "we" had known for a while that they wanted to give away the majority of their wealth from Microsoft and use it to make people's lives better. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 The Gates Foundation has spent $53.8 billion over its first 20 years. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Demis Hassabis Factual 2 Feb 2020 The New In Chess review contains many illustrative games from Magnus Carlsen's unbeaten run in 2019. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 2 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Demis Hassabis Factual 2 Feb 2020 New In Chess published a review, by Magnus Carlsen's coach, on how AlphaZero has influenced World Chess Champion Magnus Carlsen. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 2 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Demis Hassabis Factual 6 Jan 2020 New Scientist listed AlphaGo as one of the top 10 scientific discoveries of the last decade. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 6 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Demis Hassabis Factual 2 Jan 2020 DeepMind was started in 2010. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 2 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 Brooks promised to review his 1 January 2018 predictions every 1 January for 32 years. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 As of January 2020, none of Brooks's dated 2018 predictions have turned out to be too pessimistic. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 Brooks had predicted no big AI and machine learning milestones for the period to January 2020, and none were achieved. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 None of the original self-driving predictions listed in the table have come to pass as of January 2020. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 On 1 January 2018 Rodney Brooks published predictions about self driving cars, AI and machine learning, and the space industry. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 GMO exited Japan 100% in 1987 at a P/E of 45x, and Japan then rose to 65x before a downward readjustment lasting 30 years and counting. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 Over 20 years, Ben Inker and Jeremy Grantham have done a lot of work on explaining price earnings multiples. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 GMO calculated that a return to the old price trend plus a typical overrun in extreme house prices would remove $10 trillion of perceived wealth from U.S. consumers and guarantee the worst recession for decades. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 Grantham has been spending twice his usual total research time on the interactions between the virus, the economy and markets. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 In early 1998 GMO fought the Tech bubble from a P/E of 21x to 35x before a 50% decline, losing many clients and then regaining more. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Nassim Taleb Promise 31 Dec 2019 Taleb is running Twitter symposia on topics in Principia Politica and will integrate the comments into the text. Nassim Taleb · Promise · 31 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 30 Dec 2019 Taleb's lecture "From Ponzi to Localism" angered, among others, Riad Salameh and Lebanese bankers. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 30 Dec 2019 In 2019 Taleb gave a lecture in Lebanese, "From Ponzi to Localism", at USJ, broadcast on Lebanese TV during the riots. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 28 Dec 2019 Taleb has written five articles for the New York Times in the past, under pressure from the publisher. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 28 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 27 Dec 2019 Pinker took on an assignment from the Financial Times to write about what to expect from the 2020s for its end-of-year issue. Steven Pinker · Factual · 27 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nouriel Roubini Factual 27 Dec 2019 The latest issue of CIRSD's Horizons magazine includes Roubini's article "The Specter of Deglobalization and the Thucydides Trap". Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 27 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen said he met her (identified in the resolution criteria as the author Gail Hareven) in 2019. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen does not write notes to remind himself of things. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen emails himself reminders about one thing every three days or so and remembers the rest. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen said the activity he was discussing is not an income earner. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen sends himself an email when he needs to remind himself of something. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 23 Dec 2019 Steven Pinker wrote a guest post titled 'NIPS vs. NeurIPS' on Scott Aaronson's blog Shtetl-Optimized. Steven Pinker · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen never sends text messages. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Most podcasts do not offer a transcript. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen has two offices, one in Arlington and one in Fairfax, and used to have three. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jim Cramer Factual 23 Dec 2019 Jim Cramer wrote a piece on Boeing for RealMoney, due to be published shortly after 2019-12-23. Jim Cramer · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 23 Dec 2019 The text in the linked post came verbatim from Taleb's Principia Politica. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen first went to China about 30 years before 2019 and has been there many times since. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen responds to all his emails right away. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 22 Dec 2019 A major theme of Pinker's two books on progress is that modernity replaces ties of clan and tribe with individual freedom and institutionalized social order. Steven Pinker · Factual · 22 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Steven Pinker Factual 21 Dec 2019 Steven Pinker published a new photo gallery of Sweden featuring aurora borealis, frozen rivers and waterfalls, and 200-year-old preserved homes and stores. Steven Pinker · Factual · 21 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jim Cramer Factual 20 Dec 2019 Jim Cramer owns no Eli Lilly stock. Jim Cramer · Factual · 20 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Gary Marcus Factual 14 Nov 2019 Gary Marcus said his coauthor is Ernie Davis, a computer scientist at NYU. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 14 Nov 2019 Gary Marcus wrote a book called The Birth of the Mind about how a small number of genes builds a complex brain. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Promise 17 Oct 2019 Facebook is establishing an independent Oversight Board for people to appeal its content decisions. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook works with independent fact checkers to stop viral hoaxes from spreading. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Promise 17 Oct 2019 Facebook will appoint Oversight Board members with diverse views and backgrounds who each hold free expression as their paramount value. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook's AI systems identify 99% of the terrorist content it takes down before anyone sees it. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Zuckerberg wanted Facebook's services in China because he believed in connecting the whole world and thought they might help create a more open society. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook and the country in question never agreed on what it would take for Facebook to operate there, and that country never let Facebook in. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook built a team of thousands of people and AI systems that can detect self-harm risks within minutes. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook now removes billions of fake accounts a year, most within minutes of registration. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook has over 35,000 people working on security. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Promise 17 Oct 2019 Facebook's Oversight Board will have power to make final binding decisions on whether content stays up or comes down, which Facebook's team and Zuckerberg cannot overturn. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook does not operate Facebook, Instagram or its other services in China, which Zuckerberg gave as partly linked to his question about whether that is the internet we want. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 More than 2 billion people use Facebook. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 23 Sep 2019 Bernie Sanders polled at 11% in the highest-quality poll of Iowa released the weekend of 2019-09-21/22. Nate Silver · Factual · 23 Sep 2019 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Tyler Cowen Factual 18 Jul 2019 Tyler Cowen is supporting Andy Matuschak through a charitable project he runs called Emergent Ventures. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 18 Jul 2019 Tyler Cowen's book Markets and Cultural Voices was published about 15 years before 2019. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Tyler Cowen Factual 18 Jul 2019 Tyler Cowen said that reading this material at about age 13 or 14 blew his mind. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Their own work or organisation
Back to the list

GiveWell

Open its page

Factual Their own work or organisation

“a relatively new-to-GiveWell domain that we see as potentially highly cost-effective but that we made limited progress in assessing last year.”

GiveWell, unsigned blog post 28 May 2020 GiveWell's plans for 2020 (The GiveWell Blog)

GiveWell made limited progress in 2019 in assessing public health regulation, a relatively new domain for it.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Reasoning

Judging its own progress in an internal research area is only in its own records.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell made limited progress in 2019 in assessing public health regulation, a relatively new domain for it.” (said 28 May 2020). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_7755dfb84cc0, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7755dfb84cc0

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.