Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

1,587 claims · page 15 of 16

1,587 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not yet due Warren Buffett Promise 2010 At the latest, proceeds from all of Warren Buffett's Berkshire shares will be spent for philanthropic purposes within 10 years after his estate is settled. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The response to Grantham's revelation about resource scarcity and denial was nil, the first time since he started writing. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's neutral 65% equity position has been pulled back slightly to 62%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In March 2009 GMO believed its quality overweight was a winning bet against the market over its seven-year horizon. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO reinvested in March 2009 to be almost neutral in equities and recently took a few chips off the table. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The October 2009 letter refers to underweighting emerging equity "last summer" just in time to avoid its two-month 40% freefall; the extracted text is jumbled, and it does not make clear whether this describes a move GMO made or one Grantham said it would have been good to make. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's best forecast, for the 10 years ending October 2008, had a 1 in 100,000 chance of being just luck. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO has over 70 seven-year forecast estimates since 1994 and every one ranked asset classes better than random. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Promise Oct 2009 GMO plans to post its entire set of forecasts to its website with some preliminary analysis of the results. Jeremy Grantham · Promise · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In equity accounts GMO kept a massive overweight in quality stocks. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Factual 1 May 2009 Thiel had hoped his essay on the limits of politics would provoke reactions, and it did. Peter Thiel · Factual · 1 May 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 13 Apr 2009 As a Stanford undergraduate, Thiel started a student newspaper that he says scored some limited victories, most notably in undoing speech codes instituted by the university. Peter Thiel · Factual · 13 Apr 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Nassim Taleb Factual 2009 In 2009, Taleb said that he probably had the best track record in existence at that time, because, comparatively, other people had disappeared. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 Roubini began worrying about the US economy and financial system in 2006 after seeing an unsustainable housing bubble in home prices and mortgages. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 Roubini wrote about his concerns in summer 2006 and gave a speech to a few hundred International Monetary Fund staff in early September 2006. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 In 2006 people were sceptical of Roubini's predictions, talking instead of high growth, a Goldilocks economy and a gently deflating minor housing bubble. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 2009 Taleb said the only important thing was that he had protected his clients. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 3 Apr 2008 Nassim Taleb worked on Wall Street for close to two decades in trading and risk management of derivatives. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 3 Apr 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 The Scion Funds' portfolio of credit default swaps on subordinated tranches of subprime mortgage securitizations has been reduced to an insignificant size, with only three contracts remaining. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 Burry said he had recently found opportunity in a handful of severely battered South Korean securities, a Chinese media company and a global internet giant, and that such positions amounted to roughly one-third of the portfolio. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 If the Funds' remaining credit shorts fell to zero value, Scion Qualified Value Fund would lose about 19% of its value and Scion Value Fund about 15%. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 The Scion Funds are roughly one-fifth cash, held largely in foreign currencies. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Prediction 2008 Burry said that, with only three such contracts remaining in force, he did not expect further meaningful impact on the Funds' portfolios from this sort of trade. Michael Burry · Prediction · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 2008 When he first began thinking about these matters, Yudkowsky expected the largest benefits from Artificial Intelligence yet felt no anxiety about it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Promise 2008 Scion Capital is closing its dedicated Asian investment funds and returning capital to investors in those funds. Michael Burry · Promise · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2008 The Scion Funds established direct commodity exposure through futures contracts during a recent commodity price pullback. Michael Burry · Factual · 2008 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Vinod Khosla Factual 28 Sep 2007 Khosla invests in all energy approaches he thinks might be viable. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 28 Sep 2007 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 After being told to come back in a month, Bill Gates worked day and night on a software project that he said ended his college education and began his journey with Microsoft. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2007 Grantham says GMO has not found any case where excellent fundamentals and generous cheap liquidity coexisted without producing a bubble. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2007 For slow-moving managers who do not exit quickly by unloading their company, default will probably be common. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2007 GMO's 7-year forecast implies U.S. equities would return minus 1.4% real per year as P/Es and profit margins revert to long-term averages. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Apr 2007 As of April 2007, Grantham personally holds a short position in copper. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said he made a deal with Jack in a few minutes, waiving an audit, due diligence or anything else that would give Jack an opportunity to reconsider. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Large future gains in Berkshire's non-insurance earnings will come only if it makes major, sensible acquisitions. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's partners in owning MidAmerican Energy are Walter Scott, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said 35 university classes would come to Omaha for sessions with him in the 2006-2007 school year, and that he takes almost all visiting students, in aggregate more than 2,000, to lunch at Gorat's. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Buffett's 2007 federal and state income taxes will be exactly what they would have been had he not made his 2007 charitable contributions. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said Berkshire believed its $16.9 billion gain in net worth during 2006 was a record one-year gain for any American business, leaving aside boosts from mergers. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Promise 2007 Any shareholder coming from outside the U.S. or Canada will be given a special credential and instructions for attending the reception. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire has done many retroactive reinsurance transactions, a multiple of the number and amount of such policies entered into by any other insurer. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Berkshire's results from its bread-and-butter insurance lines will deteriorate in 2007, though Buffett said he thought they would remain satisfactory. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Guidance 2007 After the Equitas transaction, Berkshire's annual DCRA cost will initially increase to about $450 million a year. Warren Buffett · Guidance · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 2007 In 1967 Buffett had no expectation that Berkshire's float would develop as it has. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Berkshire's insurance operations will periodically have bad years. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Buffett said he believed Berkshire's other insurance operations would clear the underwriting-gain hurdle needed for overall float to be cost-free in many, if not most, years. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 2007 After reviewing the facts in the spring of 2006, Buffett and Ajit concluded that Equitas was likely to survive. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Buffett's thinking about the disposition of his Berkshire shares is very unlikely to change in a material way. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Taxes had nothing to do with Buffett's decision to give away his Berkshire shares or its timing. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire has three outstanding candidates to replace Buffett as CEO, as he has previously told shareholders. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 2007 Berkshire will again hold a reception at 4 p.m. on Saturday afternoon of the 2007 annual meeting weekend for shareholders who have come from outside North America. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual Nov 2006 The Scion funds do not participate in the cash residential mortgage-backed securities market. Michael Burry · Factual · Nov 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual Nov 2006 Variation in side pocket value comes from the Livedoor position being held in Japanese yen while the fund reports in dollars. Michael Burry · Factual · Nov 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual Nov 2006 On a notional basis, 41.6% of Scion's mortgage shorts are on BBB- tranches and 49.8% on BBB tranches. Michael Burry · Factual · Nov 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual Nov 2006 The Livedoor, Blue Ocean Re and Symetra side pockets are all carried at cost. Michael Burry · Factual · Nov 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 5 Oct 2006 Through September 2006 the Scion portfolio was down for the year, and its performance was solely due to its credit default swap positions. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Oct 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 5 Oct 2006 Burry attempts, within reason, to keep the Scion Value Fund and Scion Qualified Value Fund pari passu in portfolio composition. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Oct 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual Oct 2006 At the end of October 2006, single name corporate CDS were 3.27% of assets under management in the Scion Value Fund and 3.55% in the Scion Qualified Value Fund. Michael Burry · Factual · Oct 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 Burry stated that Scion Capital negotiated very favorable ISDA agreements with all eight of its credit derivatives counterparties. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 The Scion funds carry credit default swaps on subprime mortgage-backed securities with $1.687 billion in notional value. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 Burry spends nearly all his time on stocks and other long-oriented analysis rather than shorts. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Prediction 2006 Burry expected that, in the worst case, his fund's mortgage short would fully amortize to nil value over the next three years, at an average annual cost of carry of roughly six percent of current assets under management. Michael Burry · Prediction · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 The Funds held quite a bit of cash in 2006, something that last occurred in the 2001-2002 era. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 The Scion Funds have roughly a 12% allocation in Asia, lower than in the past. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 Burry never expected Scion's mortgage short to pay off within one year. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2006 The Scion Funds hold roughly $2 million in put options focused on the Russell 2000 Index. Michael Burry · Factual · 2006 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jim Cramer Factual 16 Dec 2005 Cramer said he received a handwritten letter from President Bok apologizing on behalf of the University for the travesty that was his graduation. Jim Cramer · Factual · 16 Dec 2005 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jim Cramer Factual 16 Dec 2005 In his last Crimson article, Cramer wrote that Alan Heimert's words to the Faculty were rooted more in fiction than in fact. Jim Cramer · Factual · 16 Dec 2005 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jim Cramer Factual 16 Dec 2005 For twenty years of his career Cramer worked only with people who were incredibly rich. Jim Cramer · Factual · 16 Dec 2005 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Michael Burry Factual 2004 Since earlier in 2004, the Scion Funds have held long equity and distressed debt investments, domestic and foreign, positioned to benefit from higher oil prices. Michael Burry · Factual · 2004 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Factual 12 Dec 2002 Kurzweil has developed these models for a few decades and made many predictions about intelligent machines in the 1980s. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 12 Dec 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Ray Kurzweil Factual 12 Dec 2002 Kurzweil developed mathematical models of technology trends because as an inventor he realized an invention must make sense when the technology is finished, three or four years later. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 12 Dec 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire's Nebraska Furniture Mart will keep its new Kansas City-area store open on Sundays. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Ron Peltier will likely make more real estate brokerage acquisitions for Berkshire in 2002 and the following years. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Patrick Wolff, twice U.S. chess champion, will play all comers blindfolded in the mall at Berkshire's 2002 annual meeting weekend. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire expects the FINOVA transaction overall to prove satisfactory for Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Under competitive conditions likely for a few years, NetJets' scale advantage will at best produce modest profits. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire lost $2 billion to $2.5 billion in the September 11th event without having been paid properly for the risk assumed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Buffett made three decisions about Dexter that hurt Berkshire shareholders: buying it, paying for it with stock, and procrastinating on operational changes. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire's purchases of Fruit of the Loom debt indirectly reduced its purchase price for the whole company by a small amount. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Since Ajit Jain joined Berkshire in 1986, Buffett has known the details of almost every policy he wrote and never saw him break any of Berkshire's three underwriting rules. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 MidAmerican Energy's reported earnings should increase considerably in 2002 because the goodwill amortization charge will disappear under new GAAP rules. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 For at least the next year, the Civic Auditorium in downtown Omaha is the only site available for Berkshire's annual meeting. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 The few fixed-income strategies involving highly-liquid AAA securities that Buffett manages have reasonable prospects of continuing to produce good returns over the next year or two. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Over time, Berkshire's insuring of jumbo risks should be profitable, though periodically it will bring a terrible year. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 At the 2001 Berkshire meeting, Patrick Wolff played as many as six blindfolded chess games simultaneously. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 At the parent company level, Berkshire makes no charitable contributions except those designated by shareholders. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Buffett previously assured shareholders that General Re was underwriting with discipline, and that assurance proved wrong. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire's holdings, about 10% of Fruit of the Loom's senior debt, will probably return about 70% of face value. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Bob and Petra Hamman and Sharon Osberg are expected to host bridge tables in the mall outside Borsheim's at Berkshire's 2002 annual meeting weekend. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire's per-share intrinsic value grew somewhat faster than book value over 37 years, and in 2001 it probably decreased less than book value. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 NetJets has more than 300 planes constantly operating in the U.S. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 The new R.C. Willey store in Henderson, Nevada outsells all other stores in the chain, with volume far above any competitor's and twice what Buffett anticipated. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire's headquarters added one employee in 2001 and now has 14.8 employees. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Buffett will keep well over 99% of his net worth in Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Bill Robertie, one of only two two-time backgammon world champions, will be at the Berkshire 2002 annual meeting mall to play shareholders. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire will give people who order annual meeting tickets a booklet with information for enjoying their visit to Omaha. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire's roughly 50-year experience investing in distressed debt has so far been rewarding. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 In 2002 the Omaha Royals will play the Oklahoma RedHawks at the Berkshire shareholder baseball game. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Buffett predicted that Joe and Tad would make General Re a huge asset for Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 All of Berkshire's 2001 acquisitions were paid for in cash, so shareholders did not give up any interest in existing companies. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
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Warren Buffett

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Promise Their own work or organisation

“At the latest, the proceeds from all of my Berkshire shares will be expended for philanthropic purposes by 10 years after my estate is settled.”

Warren Buffett, pledge letter author 2010 Warren Buffett - The Giving Pledge (Giving Pledge)

At the latest, proceeds from all of Warren Buffett's Berkshire shares will be spent for philanthropic purposes within 10 years after his estate is settled.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Reasoning

The deadline is 10 years after his estate is settled, which has not yet happened.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “At the latest, proceeds from all of Warren Buffett's Berkshire shares will be spent for philanthropic purposes within 10 years after his estate is settled.” (said 2010). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_aef77a83e359, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_aef77a83e359

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.