Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

1,587 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Ørsted Promise 2017 DONG Energy maintains its target of a lost-time injury frequency (LTIF) of 1.5 by 2020. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Ørsted Prediction 2017 With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever. Ørsted · Prediction · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Promise 2017 DONG Energy's target is that 100% of the biomass it buys will be certified as sustainable by 2020. Ørsted · Promise · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Factual 2017 DONG Energy is the energy company in Europe that has come furthest in the transition to renewable energy. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 2017 DONG Energy was listed on Nasdaq Copenhagen on 9 June 2016, the biggest IPO in Danish history. Ørsted · Factual · 2017 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Factual 31 Dec 2016 Of his 2016 predictions made at 50% confidence, Scott Alexander got 8 right and 5 wrong, a score of 62%. Scott Alexander · Factual · 31 Dec 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Factual 31 Dec 2016 Scott Alexander makes predictions at the start of every year and scores them at the end of every year. Scott Alexander · Factual · 31 Dec 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Promise 28 Jul 2016 LeCun will teach his NYU deep learning course again in the Spring of 2017. Yann LeCun · Promise · 28 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Factual 28 Jul 2016 Videos of LeCun's 2015 NYU deep learning course lectures were taken down for legal reasons, while the slides remain available. Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 28 Jul 2016 Yann LeCun gave a recent series of 8 lectures on deep learning at Collège de France in Paris. Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Factual 28 Jul 2016 LeCun's Collège de France lectures were taught in French and later dubbed in English. Yann LeCun · Factual · 28 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 21 Jul 2016 Berkshire has a provision that in any corporate transaction Class A stock cannot be treated differently from Class B stock. Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 21 Jul 2016 Buffett has given away about 40% of his Berkshire shares as of July 2016. Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual 21 Jul 2016 Thiel does not agree with every plan in the Republican Party's platform. Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 21 Jul 2016 When Buffett gives away his Berkshire shares, he always converts the Class A voting stock into Class B stock first. Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Warren Buffett Factual 21 Jul 2016 Berkshire does not use consultants or advisory organizations to direct how it votes its shares. Warren Buffett · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual 21 Jul 2016 Neither Peter Thiel nor Donald Trump is a politician. Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual 21 Jul 2016 Peter Thiel builds companies and supports people building new things, from social networks to rocket ships. Peter Thiel · Factual · 21 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 As the technology matures, all Tesla vehicles will have the hardware necessary to be fully self-driving with fail-operational capability. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 Worldwide regulatory approval of self-driving will require on the order of 6 billion miles (10 billion km) of driving data. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 Tesla Autopilot miles will soon exceed twice 89 million miles, i.e. over 178 million miles. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 When used correctly, Tesla's Autopilot is already significantly safer than a person driving alone. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 In cities where demand exceeds the supply of customer-owned cars, Tesla will operate its own ride-hailing fleet. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 A vehicle cheaper than the Model 3 is unlikely to be necessary for Tesla. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla plans to address most of the consumer vehicle market with the Model 3, a future compact SUV and a new kind of pickup truck. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla will remove the beta label from Autopilot once it is approximately 10 times safer than the US vehicle average. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 Adding cars to a Tesla shared fleet will lower the true cost of ownership to the point where almost anyone could own a Tesla. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 Providing solar power has been on Tesla's website for 10 years. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 Refinement and validation of self-driving software will take much longer than installing the cameras, radar, sonar and computing hardware. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 Tesla's fleet learning is currently happening at just over 3 million miles (5 million km) per day. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 Tesla believes the Tesla Semi will deliver a substantial reduction in the cost of cargo transport while increasing safety. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 Every Tesla Autopilot release goes through extensive internal validation before reaching any customers. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 The first Tesla master plan, written by Elon Musk 10 years before 2016, is in the final stages of completion. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 With autonomy, it will probably make sense to shrink buses and turn bus drivers into fleet managers. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Factual 20 Jul 2016 Musk said that starting with step 1 was all he could afford to do with what he made from PayPal. Elon Musk · Factual · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla's version 1.0 of its Model 3 factory machine will probably arrive in 2018. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 When regulators approve true self-driving, Tesla owners will be able to summon their Tesla from pretty much anywhere. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Elon Musk Prediction 20 Jul 2016 A first-principles physics analysis suggests that a 5 to 10 fold improvement in automotive production is achievable by version 3 of Tesla's factory machine, on a roughly 2-year iteration cycle. Elon Musk · Prediction · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 20 Jul 2016 Tesla plans to create an integrated solar-roof-with-battery product and scale it throughout the world. Elon Musk · Promise · 20 Jul 2016 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual Jun 2016 In his first blog post on Trump, in June 2016, Sam Altman said it would be a good time for everyone to start speaking up. Sam Altman · Factual · Jun 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual 28 Jan 2016 Pershing Square missed the opportunity in 2015 to trim or sell certain positions that approached its estimate of intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · 28 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander gave a 90% probability that UNSONG would get fewer hits than Slate Star Codex in 2016. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander will score at or above the 95th percentile on next year's PRITE (psychiatry in-training exam). Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander will not stop using Twitter, Tumblr, or Facebook in 2016. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Scott Alexander Factual 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander makes predictions at the start of every year and scores them at the end of each year. Scott Alexander · Factual · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander will still be at his current job at the end of 2016. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 Scott Alexander will attend at least one Solstice event in 2016. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square bought additional Platform Specialty Products stock at $25 per share to help the company finance an acquisition. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 In 2015 Pershing Square missed opportunities to trim or sell positions that approached its estimate of intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Jan 2016 Near the 2000 peak Grantham challenged audiences, perhaps 2000 professionals in total, to find a bubble that had not fully broken, and he said no one offered one. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square has had limited turnover on its investment team and throughout the firm since its inception. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual Jan 2016 In his previous quarterly letter written in January, Grantham said market commentators were too pessimistic on global stock markets, especially the U.S. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square has never attempted to hedge short-term market movements but has sought inexpensive hedges against the risk of dramatic market declines. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Jan 2016 Grantham's 2011 resources report got many multiples of the hits of a typical GMO quarterly letter. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Promise Jan 2016 Pershing Square expects to add at least one new investment to its portfolio in the next few months after January 2016. Bill Ackman · Promise · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square's biggest valuation error was assigning too much value to 'platform value' in certain holdings. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual Jan 2016 Grantham had earlier warned of trouble if China quickly slowed its demand growth for minerals. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Pershing Square started slowly with Paul Hilal because his prior focus was technology and the firm had never made a technology investment. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Bill Ackman Factual Jan 2016 Ackman said that when the company's stock rose to the mid-$200s per share "this summer", "we" did not sell, believing it probable that the company would complete additional transactions that would meaningfully increase intrinsic value. Bill Ackman · Factual · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Bill Ackman Prediction Jan 2016 Bill Ackman said Paul was ready to pursue his own venture and that he expected him to be a great success. Bill Ackman · Prediction · Jan 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 Over GMO's 28 years of asset allocation, most risk reduction for clients came in the 2000 and 2007 US bubbles, which GMO sidestepped to a considerable degree. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 GMO considers a 60-65% equity position what it would hold in a normal world with everything fairly priced. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 Most of GMO's extra performance over 28 years came from ranking asset classes more correctly than not. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 GMO's Benchmark-Free portfolio carries almost 50% equity or equity-like exposure. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual 2016 GMO does not expect its strategists or analysts to toe a party line. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2016 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Dario Amodei Factual 17 Aug 2015 Dario Amodei thinks and talks a lot about the risks of powerful AI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 17 Aug 2015 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Yann LeCun Factual 18 Feb 2015 Yann LeCun has been obsessed with integrating learning end to end so machines learn good representations for over 30 years. Yann LeCun · Factual · 18 Feb 2015 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true GiveWell Factual 2015 In 2014, GiveWell tracked $27.8 million in money moved to its recommended charities. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 2015 The UN agreed on a set of development goals once before, in 2000, and the authors call it one of the best ideas for development either of them has ever seen; they say it focused the world on key measures of basics such as good health and a chance to get an education. Bill Gates · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 The limited donor growth in 2014 is largely due to many new 2013 donors, particularly those giving under $1,000, not giving again in 2014. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable GiveWell Factual 2015 GiveWell's true 2014 money moved may be somewhat higher than the amount it recorded. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 2015 Bill and Melinda Gates wrote the 2015 Annual Letter about what the future holds. Bill Gates · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable GiveWell Factual 2015 GiveWell's money moved calculation includes only donations it is confident it influenced. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 GiveWell generally averages Google Analytics and Clicky website traffic data. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 GiveWell estimates about half of its 2014 expenses supported its traditional top charity work and about half the Open Philanthropy Project. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 Of the 8,970 donors who gave to GiveWell's recommended charities in 2014, GiveWell knows where 3,558 (about 40%) learned of its work. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 The measured donor retention of about one third may understate true retention because some donors are anonymous or share partial information. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 In 2014 the number of donors giving to GiveWell's recommended charities or GiveWell unrestricted rose 9% to about 9,300. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 GiveWell believes it tracked the majority of donations it influenced in 2014, though the amount of donations it is uncertain about is larger than in past years. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Factual 2015 In 2014, GiveWell recommended and Good Ventures made two grants: $250,000 to Evidence Action and about $34,000 to IDinsight. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only GiveWell Factual 2015 GiveWell guesses about 50% of the $1.9 million in unattributed 2014 donations to AMF were influenced by GiveWell, and did not include this in money moved. GiveWell · Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Rodney Brooks Promise 16 Dec 2014 Starting in 2015, Rethink Robotics will provide APIs allowing developers to improve Baxter. Rodney Brooks · Promise · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Rodney Brooks Factual 16 Dec 2014 Brooks has recently learned JavaScript. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Rodney Brooks Factual 16 Dec 2014 Brooks no longer touches the product directly but takes part in prototyping that he shows to the engineers. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 16 Dec 2014 Brooks first presented his 1986 layered-architecture work in France. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Rodney Brooks Factual 16 Dec 2014 Rethink Robotics does not have all of those disciplines (neurobiology, ethology, psychophysics, sociology) but bases its work on user experience. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Factual 16 Dec 2014 Brooks managed to build his first robot at age sixteen. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Rodney Brooks Factual 16 Dec 2014 Baxter uses some parts of Brooks's earlier research work, but less intensively than research laboratories do. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 16 Dec 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Prediction 30 Sep 2014 Scott Alexander said he already expects this post will be used as convenient material to fling at the Blue Tribe. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 30 Sep 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 30 Sep 2014 Scott Alexander is a psychiatrist by profession. Scott Alexander · Factual · 30 Sep 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Scott Alexander Factual 30 Sep 2014 The worst reaction Scott Alexander got to a blog post was to his post about the death of Osama bin Laden. Scott Alexander · Factual · 30 Sep 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 10 Jul 2014 Microsoft was founded on the belief that technology creates opportunities for people and organizations, by putting a PC on every desk and in every home. Satya Nadella · Factual · 10 Jul 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Promise 10 Jul 2014 Microsoft will announce its earnings results for the past quarter on July 22, 2014, and Nadella will say more then about what Microsoft is doing in FY15 to focus on its core. Satya Nadella · Promise · 10 Jul 2014 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Satya Nadella Promise 10 Jul 2014 During July 2014, Nadella and Microsoft's Senior Leadership Team will share more about the engineering and organization changes they believe are needed. Satya Nadella · Promise · 10 Jul 2014 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tony Bates joined Microsoft through the Skype acquisition, where he was Skype CEO, and later led Microsoft's Business Development and Evangelism team. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Mark Penn will be a member of and advisor to the SLT and continue to report to Satya Nadella. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Chris Capossela will be promoted to EVP, join the SLT, and remain acting lead of the Consumer Channels Group until his replacement is named. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Mark Penn's work produced Microsoft's 'Honestly' campaign and Super Bowl ad, both widely cited across the industry as examples of high impact advertising. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tami Reller agrees with having a single marketing leader and will support Chris through his transition into his new role. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Promise 3 Mar 2014 Mark Penn will take a new role at Microsoft as EVP, Chief Strategy Officer. Satya Nadella · Promise · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Back to the list

Ørsted

Open its page

Promise Their own work or organisation

“We maintain our target of an LTIF of 1.5 by 2020.”

Henrik Poulsen, CEO 2017 DONG Energy Annual report 2016 Summary (DONG Energy)

DONG Energy maintains its target of a lost-time injury frequency (LTIF) of 1.5 by 2020.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Test: was the reported lost-time injury frequency for 2020 at or below 1.5? True: the 2020 LTIF is at most 1.5. Mostly true: LTIF was at most 1.5 in 2020 with a minor discrepancy in the reporting basis. Mostly false: the 2020 LTIF was above 1.5 but at most 2.0, or 1.5 was reached only after 2020. False: the 2020 LTIF was above 2.0, or the target was dropped.

Evidence

  1. Interim ESG report 9M 2020.pub Ørsted A/S · 2020 Own record
    “The total recordable injury rate (TRIR) for 9M 2020 was 3.8 injuries per million hours worked compared with 4.7 in 9M 2019.”
  2. Interim ESG report H1 2020 Ørsted A/S · 2020 Own record
    “TRIR for H1 2020 was 3.6 injuries per million hours worked compared with 4.4 in H1 2019.”
  3. Ørsted - ESG performance report 2020 Ørsted A/S · 2020 Own record
    “Injuries per million hours worked”

Reasoning

Ørsted's 2020 interim ESG reports give safety performance as a total recordable injury rate (TRIR): 3.6 for H1 2020 [E2] and 3.8 for 9M 2020 [E1]. Neither gives a lost-time injury frequency. The full-year 2020 ESG performance report also frames its safety target as TRIR, and its extracted text contains no 2020 LTIF figure [E3]. The switch to TRIR hints that the metric changed, but no source states that the LTIF target of 1.5 was dropped or gives a 2020 LTIF, so the criteria cannot be applied.

Cite this claim

Ørsted, “DONG Energy maintains its target of a lost-time injury frequency (LTIF) of 1.5 by 2020.” (said 2017). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_9b33fee05fdf, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9b33fee05fdf

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.