Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

12 claims

12 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Research failed Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2026 Waymo added two cities in 2025, Austin and Atlanta. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2026 Technology
Research failed Demis Hassabis Factual 28 Feb 2024 Early signs show large models becoming transferable to robotics. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Feb 2024 AI capabilities
Research failed Elon Musk Factual 18 Dec 2023 A Starship Super Heavy Booster was moved to the launch pad on or around 2023-12-18. Elon Musk · Factual · 18 Dec 2023 Their own work or organisation
Research failed Steven Pinker Factual 30 Dec 2022 Writing for Russian readers, Indian PM Narendra Modi extolled, however hypocritically in Pinker's view, democracy, peace, economic growth and universal humanism. Steven Pinker · Factual · 30 Dec 2022 Other
Research failed Nate Silver Factual 27 May 2022 Forgiving some student loan debt is reasonably popular. Nate Silver · Factual · 27 May 2022 Economics and markets
Research failed Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 28 Feb 2018 The experiment in which people stay in a smoke-filling room when others look calm is pretty well replicated, with many variations finding basically the same result, though he said he did not want to put absolute faith in it because of the replication crisis. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 28 Feb 2018 Science and research methods
Research failed Scott Alexander Prediction 15 Feb 2018 Cryptocurrency will neither collapse nor take over everything by 2023. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 15 Feb 2018 Economics and markets
Research failed Marc Andreessen Factual 1 Jan 2018 Andreessen took part in a debate with Peter Thiel at the Milton Conference. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 1 Jan 2018 Their own work or organisation
Research failed Scott Alexander Prediction 25 Jan 2016 The occupation of the Oregon ranger station will end in 2016. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 25 Jan 2016 Other
Research failed Ray Kurzweil Factual Oct 2005 Creating and releasing the 1918 flu virus from its published genetic data would be easier than building and detonating an atomic bomb from its design, since no rare materials like plutonium or enriched uranium are needed. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Oct 2005 Biosecurity
Research failed Ray Kurzweil Factual Oct 2005 An easier approach than synthesis from scratch would be to modify a conventional flu virus with the 8 published genes of the 1918 virus. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Oct 2005 Biosecurity
Research failed Ray Kurzweil Factual Oct 2005 Synthesizing the 1918 flu virus from scratch would be difficult but far from impossible. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Oct 2005 Biosecurity
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Eliezer Yudkowsky

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Factual Science and research methods

“This is a pretty well-replicated experiment.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky, podcast guest 28 February 2018 Sam Harris and Eliezer Yudkowsky on "AI: Racing Toward the Brink" (MIRI)

The experiment in which people stay in a smoke-filling room when others look calm is pretty well replicated, with many variations finding basically the same result, though he said he did not want to put absolute faith in it because of the replication crisis.

Research failed Research could not run for this claim; not scored.

Reasoning

No resolution criteria were returned for this claim, so it could not be researched.

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “The experiment in which people stay in a smoke-filling room when others look calm is pretty well replicated, with many variations finding basically the same result, though he said he did not want to put absolute faith in it because of the replication crisis.” (said 28 February 2018). Verdict: research failed. Reliability API, claim c_ffb137a28ab2, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_ffb137a28ab2

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.