Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 20 Jan 2026 Society will be able to produce enough that everyone is wealthy by today's standards. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 20 Jan 2026 Within the next 10 years humans will reach Kurzweil's definition of the singularity, being at least a thousand times more intelligent. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 AI timelines and forecasting
Own records only Ray Kurzweil Factual 20 Jan 2026 People Kurzweil spoke to who a year earlier dismissed AI as not very good have completely changed their views in the last year. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 20 Jan 2026 Humans will merge with AI so that biological and computational intelligence become the same thing. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 20 Jan 2026 Kurzweil said he thinks that in 2026 there will be many things that remind people of AGI, but that people will not be convinced AGI has arrived in 2026. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 20 Jan 2026 People will not be able to tell whether an idea comes from biological or computational intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 20 Jan 2026 Technology
Not checkable Michael Burry Not checkable 20 Jan 2026 It’s a very good place to set up offensive missile capabilities to threaten Russia / China Michael Burry · Not checkable · 20 Jan 2026
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 20 Jan 2026 The US already has the right to place military installations across Greenland. Michael Burry · Factual · 20 Jan 2026 AI policy and governance
Not checkable Michael Burry Not checkable 20 Jan 2026 If you throw a ball into the air you’ll see the same effect - the ball is slowest at its highest point. Michael Burry · Not checkable · 20 Jan 2026
Not checkable Daniela Amodei Not checkable 13 Jan 2026 We now have the right structure in place to support the most critical motions for our product organization Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 13 Jan 2026
Not checkable Daniela Amodei Not checkable 13 Jan 2026 Labs gives us room to break the mold and explore, Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 13 Jan 2026
Not checkable Daniela Amodei Not checkable 13 Jan 2026 The speed of advancement in AI demands a different approach to how we build, how we organize, and where we focus. Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 13 Jan 2026
Not checkable Daniela Amodei Not checkable 13 Jan 2026 discovering experimental products at the frontier of Claude’s capabilities, and scaling them responsibly to meet the needs of our… Daniela Amodei · Not checkable · 13 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 This is really a supernova moment. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 In terms of magnitude, it's obviously bigger than the Internet. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 They know better than anyone what their customers need. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 Nvidia is actually a great company and fully deserves its position. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 First of all, I have to say this is the biggest technological revolution in my lifetime. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 You can't download electricity, you can't download indoor plumbing, you can't download a TV, but you can download AI. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 Decade after decade of over - optimism was followed by disappointment. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 If you can significantly improve the productivity of doctors, lawyers, or programmers, can you take a share of the increased value? Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 From all of this, it feels like it's definitely still in the early stages. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 Regarding chips, in any market with commodity characteristics, the number one cause of surplus is shortage. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 Large models are becoming more capable, and small models are chasing behind. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 I'd say: I'm basically surprised by what I see every day. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 The great news about this technology is that it has become extremely democratic. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 A person with an IQ of 120 is good enough. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 12 Jan 2026 Joe Studwell has a new book titled How Africa Works. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 12 Jan 2026 Economics and markets
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 Comparable things are the microprocessor, the steam engine, and electricity. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 High pricing is often beneficial to customers because it supports better R & D. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 This is why I think AI startups are more creative in pricing than SaaS companies. Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 This is the computer industry we've been in for the past 80 years - building literal mathematical machines that can perform billions of… Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Marc Andreessen Not checkable 12 Jan 2026 Every day, I come across a new AI research paper that completely shocks me - it's some new ability or some new discovery that I never… Marc Andreessen · Not checkable · 12 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 I have always been an optimist. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 Bill Gates said he thinks the impact of AI on the job market will grow over the next five years. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 I believe the world will keep improving—but it is harder to see that today than it has been in a long time. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Mostly false Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 Over the last decade the world has cut projected emissions by more than 40 percent. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Other global risks
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 We are far better off than when I was born 70 years ago. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 Of all things humans have created, AI will change society the most. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 By the 2040s, new innovations could virtually eliminate deaths from HIV/AIDS. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 Bill Gates said he believes AI and robot advances will not plateau before exceeding human levels. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 AI timelines and forecasting
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 Governments will have to play a central role in leading the implementation of AI into their health systems. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 But it is critical that we restore some of the funding. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 Today, an even greater risk than a naturally caused pandemic is that a non-government group will use open source AI tools to design a… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 They ensure that we will never go back to the world in 2000 where over 10 million children died from preventable causes every year—and they… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 The number of deaths of children under 5 worldwide rose in 2025, going backwards on a key metric of progress. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 When I founded Microsoft, I believed a digital revolution powered by great software would make the world a better place. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Unresolvable Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 Deaths of children under 5 rose for the first time this century, from 4.6 million in 2024 to 4.8 million in 2025, driven by less support from rich to poor countries. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 As AI delivers on its potential, we could reduce the work week or even decide there are some areas we don’t want to use AI in. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 This idea of treating others as you wish to be treated does not just apply to rich countries giving aid. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 The “golden rule” precept is more important now than ever with the record disparities in wealth. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 We aren’t quite there yet—developers still have work to do on reliability and how we connect the AI to doctors and nurses so they are… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 AI will soon let poor farmers get better advice on weather, prices, crop diseases and soil than even the richest farmers get today. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 But these days, my optimism comes with footnotes. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 I will spend much of my year working with partners to advocate for increased funding for the health of the world’s children. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Tyler Cowen Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 At least they are from Hyderabad! Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Mostly false Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 AI makes software developers at least twice as efficient. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 However, more needs to be done to encourage higher levels of generosity from the rich and to show how fulfilling and impactful it can be. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 AI gives us a chance for the kind of personalized learning to keep students motivated that we have dreamed of in the past. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 Bill Gates started Breakthrough Energy about 10 years before 2026. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 Those two qualities—foresight and care—are what give me hope as the year begins. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 The Gates Foundation has committed $1.4 billion to supporting farmers on the frontlines of extreme weather. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 Thanks to treatments, a person with HIV today can expect to live almost as long as someone without the virus. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 The rise in child deaths will continue unless progress is made in restoring aid budgets. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 If health funding for poor countries decreases by 20 percent, 12 million more children could die by 2045. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 AI capabilities will allow far more goods and services to be made with less labor. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not researched Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 Aid represented less than 1 percent of GDP even in the most generous countries. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 Economics and markets
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 9 Jan 2026 AI's rate of improvement is already starting to disrupt job demand in software development. Bill Gates · Factual · 9 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 Without a large global carbon tax (which is, unfortunately, politically unachievable), market forces do not properly incentivize the… Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 Gates said he believes health care can be improved dramatically in all countries by using AI both to accelerate the development of innovations and directly in the delivery of health care. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 Breakthroughs are a bell that cannot be unrung. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Not yet due Bill Gates Prediction 9 Jan 2026 Bill Gates said he believes that within the next decade the world will get back on track and enter a new era of unprecedented progress. Bill Gates · Prediction · 9 Jan 2026 Other
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 9 Jan 2026 Yet only by replacing all emitting activities with cheaper alternatives will we stop the temperature increase. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 9 Jan 2026
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 The price of AI is falling faster than Moore's Law. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 Falling AI token prices will drive huge demand for AI. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 The DeepSeek model is completely open-source and anyone can download and run it. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Not yet due Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 It is very likely that AI chips will become cheap and abundant within five years. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Leading AI application companies start with one model but soon use 12, 50 or more models. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Many of the world's best AI researchers are only 22, 23 or 24 years old. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 Field building and careers
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 DeepSeek's model is on par with Claude 3.5 Sonnet, GPT-4o and Gemini on almost all benchmarks. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Not yet due Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 With hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars being invested, the unit cost of AI companies will drop sharply over the next decade. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Within 6 to 12 months of a frontier model's release, a small model with the same capabilities appears. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Brendan Foody, published by 2026-01-07. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 Andreessen said he tends to think the AI industry will be structured similarly to the computer industry, with a very small number of giant models running in huge data centers and a cascade of smaller models below. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 The revenue growth rate of leading AI companies is faster than that of any previous technology wave Andreessen has seen. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 AI models will cascade down to very small models running on single chips embedded in every physical object. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Neural networks were explored by a small group of people for about 80 years. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Consumer AI products commonly have monthly price tiers of $200 or $300. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 In the 1980s, when Andreessen was in college, AI was a niche field and everyone thought it would never come true. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 There are 5 billion people on Earth using some version of mobile broadband Internet. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 Technology
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 The smartest AI models will always be at the top, while small models will be greater in number. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Mixed Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Within less than 12 months, four or five Chinese companies caught up to the frontier of the AI industry. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 Cursor, though it started by calling large models, is building its own AI model. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Marc Andreessen Prediction 7 Jan 2026 Andreessen said he highly doubts that the product forms people use today (as of January 2026) will be the same in five or ten years. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 7 Jan 2026 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Factual 7 Jan 2026 China's open-source model strategy has created global price competition in AI. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 7 Jan 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not checkable Satya Nadella Not checkable 4 Jan 2026 Computing throughout its history has been about empowering people and organizations to achieve more, and AI must follow the same path, Satya Nadella · Not checkable · 4 Jan 2026
Not checkable Satya Nadella Not checkable 4 Jan 2026 The choices we make about where we apply our scarce energy, compute, and talent resources will matter, Satya Nadella · Not checkable · 4 Jan 2026
Not checkable Satya Nadella Not checkable 4 Jan 2026 If we do that, it can become one of the most profound waves of computing yet. Satya Nadella · Not checkable · 4 Jan 2026
Not checkable Satya Nadella Not checkable 4 Jan 2026 We now have a clearer sense of where the tech is headed, but also the harder and more important question of how to shape its impact on the… Satya Nadella · Not checkable · 4 Jan 2026
Not checkable Satya Nadella Not checkable 4 Jan 2026 This is the socio-technical issue we need to build consensus around. Satya Nadella · Not checkable · 4 Jan 2026
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Factual AI, the economy and work

“But in fact, it's building its own AI model.”

Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder 7 January 2026 2026 Early Interview with Marc Andreessen: AI Revolution Just Started (36Kr)

Cursor, though it started by calling large models, is building its own AI model.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

What would count as true or false

True: by 2026-01-07, Cursor (Anysphere) had publicly announced, released or credibly been reported to be developing its own AI model(s), meaning models it trains or fine-tunes itself (for example, its own coding or agent model), while it had started by relying on third-party large models. Mostly true: it was building its own models, but with a minor difference in detail (for example, smaller specialised models, or fine-tunes of open-weight base models, rather than a frontier model built from scratch, where the claim does not depend on this). Mixed: the evidence is ambiguous, for example only small auxiliary models plus reports of plans. Mostly false: it had only announced intentions or hiring, with no model in development or released, or it had only re-branded third-party models. False: credible evidence shows Cursor relied entirely on third-party models and was not developing its own.

Evidence

  1. Introducing Cursor 2.0 and Composer · Cursor Cursor (Anysphere) · 29 October 2025
    “Today, we’re releasing two big updates that make Cursor the best place to work with agents: our first coding model, Composer, and a new interface for working with many agents in parallel.”
  2. Why Cursor's CEO believes OpenAI, Anthropic competition won't crush his startup | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 9 December 2025
    “Cursor also confirmed the existence of those models in November when it said in a blog post, “Our in-house models now generate more code than almost any other LLMs in the world.””
  3. Exclusive: The high costs and thin margins threatening AI coding startups TechCrunch · 7 August 2025
    “And Anysphere announced in January that it is attempting to build its own model, which could give it more control over its expenses.”
  4. A technical report on Composer 2 · Cursor Cursor (Anysphere) · 27 March 2026
    “The report covers the full training process, from continued pretraining on an open base model, Kimi K2.5, through large-scale reinforcement learning, with a focus on closely emulating the real Cursor environment.”

Reasoning

E3 (TechCrunch, Aug 2025) reports that Anysphere announced in January 2025 that it was attempting to build its own model. In E1 (Oct 2025), Cursor announced the release of Composer as "our first coding model." In E2 (TechCrunch, Dec 2025), Cursor is quoted saying its in-house models generate more code than almost any other LLMs. Together these show Cursor was building and had released its own trained models before 2026-01-07, which meets the true criterion.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “Cursor, though it started by calling large models, is building its own AI model.” (said 7 January 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_f93174e58bca, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f93174e58bca

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.