Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Not checkable Yann LeCun Not checkable 2010 ConvNets are perfect candidates for hardware implementations, and embedded applications, as demonstrated by the increasing amount of work… Yann LeCun · Not checkable · 2010
Not researched Bill Gates Factual 2010 Filtering seawater in an inexpensive process would yield enough fuel for the entire remaining lifetime of the planet. Bill Gates · Factual · 2010 Technology
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2010 I’ve worked in an economy that rewards someone who saves the lives of others on a battlefield with a medal, rewards a great teacher with… Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 The tough thing is building the pilot reactor — finding the several billion, Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Yann LeCun Not checkable 2010 A major question for Machine Learning is how to learn such good features automatically. Yann LeCun · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 there are a lot of concerns about that. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Yann LeCun Not checkable 2010 It seems that unsupervised pre-training (U , U +) is crucial when newly proposed non-linearities are not in place. Yann LeCun · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 So, the climate changes will be terrible for them. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not researched Yann LeCun Factual 2010 Spatially translating the input of a ConvNet feature detection layer translates the output but leaves it otherwise unchanged. Yann LeCun · Factual · 2010 AI capabilities
Resolved true Yann LeCun Factual 2010 In many problems labeled data is scarce whereas unlabeled data is abundant. Yann LeCun · Factual · 2010 AI capabilities
Not researched Bill Gates Factual 2010 The energy density of renewable energy technologies is dramatically less than that of a power plant, requiring thousands of times more area. Bill Gates · Factual · 2010 Technology
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 2010 Today's nuclear reactors are constantly refueled, requiring many people and controls that can go wrong. Bill Gates · Factual · 2010 Technology
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 by far you would pick energy. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2010 In a comparative sense, though, many individuals give more to others every day. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 The ones who make scientific arguments are very few. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 The R&D piece — it’s crazy how little it’s funded. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Warren Buffett Not checkable 2010 The reaction of my family and me to our extraordinary good fortune is not guilt, but rather gratitude. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2010
Not checkable Bill Gates Not checkable 2010 If the trade-off you get into is, “Let’s make energy super expensive,” then the rich can afford that. Bill Gates · Not checkable · 2010
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The response to Grantham's revelation about resource scarcity and denial was nil, the first time since he started writing. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Most if not all banks that engage in proprietary trading now gather information from their institutional clients and exploit it. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 GMO's seven-year forecast has quality stocks returning 7 percentage points more than the S&P 500, or 9 points more than the non-quality remainder. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 As of October 2009, Citigroup, owned by taxpayers, was preparing to substantially increase its proprietary trading. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Grantham's forecast six months before October 2009 was that, regardless of fundamentals, there would be a sharp market rally. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's neutral 65% equity position has been pulled back slightly to 62%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO said in July 2009 that it would sit and wait for the market to be silly (overpriced) again. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 All overpriced markets will eventually mean revert, leaving most institutions with withdrawal symptoms. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Ben Bernanke was picked to replace Alan Greenspan as Fed chairman. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In the long run, quality stocks have not required investors to pay a premium for owning safe companies. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In March 2009 GMO believed its quality overweight was a winning bet against the market over its seven-year horizon. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 Grantham guessed that the US market would drop below fair value, which he put at a 22% decline from the S&P 500 level of 1098 on October 19, 2009. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO reinvested in March 2009 to be almost neutral in equities and recently took a few chips off the table. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 By 2006 the US CEO-to-average-worker pay ratio had risen to between 400/1 and 600/1. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO had consistently expected a global economic recovery by late 2009 or early 2010. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The October 2009 letter refers to underweighting emerging equity "last summer" just in time to avoid its two-month 40% freefall; the extracted text is jumbled, and it does not make clear whether this describes a move GMO made or one Grantham said it would have been good to make. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Analyst earnings estimates merely follow the market up rather than leading it, as GMO showed clients in earlier cycles. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The US decided to encourage more homebuilding by giving new house buyers $8,000 each. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 AI policy and governance
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In 1964 the ratio of US CEO pay to average worker pay was reported at between 20/1 and 40/1. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 In October 2009, Grantham wrote that it still seemed a safe bet that seven lean years lay ahead. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In March 2009 quality was the cheapest subset of global equities. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Hyman Minsky argued that the natural outcome of ordinary people interacting is to make occasional financial crises "well nigh inevitable." Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 Grantham said his personal view was that a major China stumble in the next three years or so was maybe only a one in three chance, but was still the most likely important unpleasant surprise of the fundamental economic variety. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 As of October 2009 the size of the financial system continues to grow and shows every sign of being out of control. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 By failing to learn from the crisis, the US is probably condemning itself to another serious financial crisis in the not-too-distant future. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Alan Greenspan overtly ignored the threat of asset-class bubbles and encouraged them. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Ben Bernanke was reappointed as Fed chairman. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The more common practice among endowments is to take out more money when assets are overpriced. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 The body under discussion (referred to only as "it") did not rise to the occasion to limit the recklessness of Fannie and Freddie. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 AI policy and governance
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 GMO forecasts seven-year real returns below 1.25% a year for bonds other than emerging. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 By 2007 the share had risen to 7.5% of GDP; the surrounding text also mentions a figure of 3%, but does not say what year it refers to or what sector the share describes. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 Grantham said he expected developed markets to grow moderately less fast, at about 2.25%, for the next chunk of time, and to look pretty anemic compared with emerging countries growing at twice that rate. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Grantham said that Greenspan, holding what Grantham called arguably the most important job in the world, simply did not believe in interfering with capitalism at all. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 AI policy and governance
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's best forecast, for the 10 years ending October 2008, had a 1 in 100,000 chance of being just luck. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 The rising market will be stopped, by Grantham's blind guess in the first few months of 2010, by a combination of factors. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Less than a year before October 2009, the banks behind that year's record bonus pool, estimated at about $23 billion, had been on the edge of a run on the bank. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Larry Summers, with a Financial Times platform, did little bullying and blew no warning whistles of impending doom in 2006 and 2007. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 As the financial system grows it becomes a bigger drain on the rest of the economy and slows it down. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 As of October 2009, US corporate ex-financials profit margins remain above average. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO has over 70 seven-year forecast estimates since 1994 and every one ranked asset classes better than random. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 Grantham said he believed emerging market equities were well on the way to the 'emerging emerging bubble' he described about 18 months earlier, in his 1Q 2008 Quarterly Letter. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 Grantham guessed that before the end of 2010 the US market would fall painfully (which he defined as at least 15%) from its October 2009 levels. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 Without the measure Grantham was discussing, which the surrounding text does not name, "we shall surely fail again." Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Quality stocks have slightly outperformed the market over the 40 years to 2009, per GMO's Exhibit 2. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 On October 19, 2009 the US market was almost 25% overpriced by GMO's measure, which would cut its 5.7% real seven-year return forecast by more than 3% a year. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Promise Oct 2009 GMO plans to post its entire set of forecasts to its website with some preliminary analysis of the results. Jeremy Grantham · Promise · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In 1930 there was no extra liquidity flowing around and absolutely no moral hazard. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 As of October 2009 the US/global economy had not fallen into another Great Depression. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Resolved false Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 GMO's seven-year forecast return for the S&P 500 is well below 3%, while the high-quality subset is still handsome. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Resolved false Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 The irony may well be that strong economic data in 2010 is likely to be accompanied by a weak stock market. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Prediction Oct 2009 The US market will not need to fall below the February 2009 low of 666 in the coming decline. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Goldman Sachs presents a potential hedge fund trade to clients as attractive because Goldman has already chosen to make that trade itself. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 Obama and his advisors, in the 2009 administration, relied on the same people who allowed or facilitated the development of the financial crisis. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 AI policy and governance
Own records only Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 In equity accounts GMO kept a massive overweight in quality stocks. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Their own work or organisation
Not researched Jeremy Grantham Factual Oct 2009 GMO's estimate of fair value for the S&P 500 is now about 860. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Oct 2009 Economics and markets
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 Thus, I advocate focusing energy elsewhere, onto peaceful projects that some consider utopian. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 Politics is about interfering with other people’s lives without their consent. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 It would be absurd to suggest that women’s votes will be taken away or that this would solve the political problems that vex us. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 Politics gets people angry, destroys relationships, and polarizes peoples’ vision: the world is us versus them; good people versus the… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 That’s why I’m a libertarian. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 While I don’t think any class of people should be disenfranchised, I have little hope that voting will make things better. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Factual 1 May 2009 In the past, libertarians have made little progress in the political sphere. Peter Thiel · Factual · 1 May 2009 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 1 May 2009 In America, people are imprisoned for using mild drugs, tortured by the government, and forced to bail out reckless financial companies. Peter Thiel · Factual · 1 May 2009 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 1 May 2009 I believe that politics is way too intense. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 1 May 2009
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Factual 1 May 2009 Thiel had hoped his essay on the limits of politics would provoke reactions, and it did. Peter Thiel · Factual · 1 May 2009 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Peter Thiel Factual 1 May 2009 Voting is not under siege in America, but many other rights are. Peter Thiel · Factual · 1 May 2009 Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 I do not despair because I no longer believe that politics encompasses all possible futures of our world. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 By starting a new Internet business, an entrepreneur may create a new world. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 The fate of our world may depend on the effort of a single person who builds or propagates the machinery of freedom that makes the world… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 We must redouble the efforts to commercialize space, but we also must be realistic about the time horizons involved. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 In our time, the great task for libertarians is to find an escape from politics in all its forms Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 Politics is about interfering with other people’s lives without their consent. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 Thus, I advocate focusing energy elsewhere, onto peaceful projects that some consider utopian. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 I believe that politics is way too intense. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 The limitation of the Internet is that these new worlds are virtual and that any escape may be more imaginary than real. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 13 Apr 2009 Thiel has focused his efforts as entrepreneur and investor on new technologies, notably the Internet, that may create a new space for freedom. Peter Thiel · Factual · 13 Apr 2009 Technology
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 The 1920s were the last decade in American history during which one could be genuinely optimistic about politics. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 It is a realistic risk, and for this reason I eagerly support this initiative. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 Since 1920, the vast increase in welfare beneficiaries and the extension of the franchise to women — two constituencies that are… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 But in a broader sense we did not achieve all that much for all the effort expended. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 For this reason, all of us must wish Patri Friedman the very best in his extraordinary experiment. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
Not checkable Peter Thiel Not checkable 13 Apr 2009 Those who have argued for free markets have been screaming into a hurricane. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 13 Apr 2009
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Yann LeCun

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“It seems that unsupervised pre-training (U , U +) is crucial when newly proposed non-linearities are not in place.”

Yann LeCun 2010 Convolutional Networks and Applications in Vision (yann.lecun.com)

It seems that unsupervised pre-training (U , U +) is crucial when newly proposed non-linearities are not in place.

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Yann LeCun, “It seems that unsupervised pre-training (U , U +) is crucial when newly proposed non-linearities are not in place.” (said 2010). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_eb9d67f65704, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_eb9d67f65704

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.