Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

36 claims

36 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 1 Oct 2026 PSUS holds a portfolio of Pershing Square's best ideas and trades at an 18% discount to cash. Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jensen Huang Factual 2 Jun 2026 NVIDIA used to be a GPU company a long time ago. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Hassabis got into AI originally because he was interested in big questions such as the nature of reality and consciousness. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Daniela Amodei Factual 2026 Amodei said she thought, as she was remembering it, that some early model names were bird names, and gave BERT as an example. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual Dec 2025 Michael Burry has generally stayed away from investing in biomed and medtech. Michael Burry · Factual · Dec 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 10 Jan 2025 Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jensen Huang Factual 29 Dec 2024 After Nvidia's first graphics chip attempt failed, Huang says the company's engineers, together with Chris and Curtis, pivoted to the right way of doing things. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Demis Hassabis Factual Dec 2024 Hassabis's team has practised open science and open access with all of its scientific work. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual Aug 2024 PSCM's new independent directors include long-term investors in PSH and the Pershing Square funds as well as new investors in the management company. Bill Ackman · Factual · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 23 Jul 2024 Llama is already leading on openness, modifiability, and cost efficiency. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 23 Jul 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Factual Jan 2024 Tesla is very far along on its next-generation low-cost vehicle, as of the January 2024 earnings call. Elon Musk · Factual · Jan 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 2024 Pershing Square has not made an activist investment in nearly eight years. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Rodney Brooks Factual 21 Oct 2023 The warehouse mobile robots built by Brooks's current startup are safe in the presence of humans. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 6 Apr 2023 MIRI ran a Visible Thoughts Project that did not get enough funding or personnel and was progressing too slowly. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 31 Jul 2022 The Pershing Square Foundation is not involved in this case but has supported organizations working to stop human trafficking and image-based abuse. Bill Ackman · Factual · 31 Jul 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Prediction 27 Jan 2022 Batteries will probably not be the limiting factor in Cybertruck production. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Members of Anthropic's founding group had previously done a lot of safety research together at different organizations. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Promise 2022 If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022. Bill Ackman · Promise · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Zuckerberg studied Classics, and the word "meta" comes from the Greek word meaning "beyond". Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Promise 19 Aug 2021 PSTH shareholders will receive $20 per share in cash and one SPARC warrant per share owned, following the cash return. Bill Ackman · Promise · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Ørsted Factual 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted has been named the world's most sustainable energy company three years in a row. Ørsted · Factual · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Promise 30 Mar 2021 Elon Musk is donating $20M to Cameron County schools and $10M to the City of Brownsville for downtown revitalization, with details to follow the next week. Elon Musk · Promise · 30 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Promise 6 Mar 2021 Tesla is doubling the FSD Beta program size with software version 8.2 and will probably expand it about tenfold with version 8.3. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 The NYT's original pitch was interest in how Scott Alexander warned early about the coronavirus pandemic and urged mask-wearing before it was standard advice. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 In early 2020, Scott Alexander learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about him. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 Scott Alexander wrote a 30,000-word condemnation of one of the right-wing figures named in the article on his blog a few years ago. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Steven Pinker Factual 9 Oct 2018 Steven Pinker has consulted with Obama's speechwriters and has met heads of state such as Justin Trudeau. Steven Pinker · Factual · 9 Oct 2018 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Buffett said Berkshire tried to time its sales of Dow Chemical stock once it rose above the conversion price, selling more aggressively as the price rose, because it did not want to own the roughly 72 million common shares. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tami Reller has held multiple CFO roles at Microsoft, for Microsoft Dynamics, the Product and Services Division and Windows. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Vinod Khosla Factual 7 Dec 2013 Square is possibly the most popular payment system, and when Khosla Ventures backed it everybody told Khosla it would take 10-15 years. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 GMO has modeled momentum and value as two key variables for 33 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry's proposed "Milton's Opus" never got off the ground, after his investors met it with scepticism and outside institutions he approached went off to do the idea themselves. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 By mid-2005 Michael Burry bought credit default swaps on billions of dollars of subprime mortgage-backed securities and bonds of financial companies. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Buffett previously assured shareholders that General Re was underwriting with discipline, and that assurance proved wrong. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon reached 25 million customers and $2 billion in sales, which it had not expected. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Marc Andreessen Factual Jun 1995 Early in his time at the University of Illinois, Andreessen started working in a research lab at the university's physics research facility. Marc Andreessen · Factual · Jun 1995 Their own work or organisation
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Bill Ackman

Open its page

Promise Their own work or organisation

“If the subscription warrant listing rule is approved and SPARC’s registration statement is declared effective by the SEC, we intend to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders later this year.”

Bill Ackman, Pershing Square letter author 2022 Bill Ackman's Pershing Square 2021 Annual Letter to Shareholders (GuruFocus)

If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022.

Mixed Partly true and partly false in roughly equal measure.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

This is a conditional promise. First establish from SEC and NYSE records whether both conditions were met during 2022: the SEC approved the subscription warrant listing rule, and SPARC's registration statement was declared effective. If both were met in 2022: TRUE if SPARs were distributed to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders by 31 December 2022; MOSTLY FALSE if they were distributed only after 31 December 2022; FALSE if they were never distributed, or if Pershing Square announced it would not distribute them. If either condition was not met during 2022, the promise was never triggered and a non-distribution in 2022 does not break it. Score this case as MIXED, unless Pershing Square dropped the plan altogether despite the conditions later being met (FALSE).

Evidence

  1. Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd. Announces Launch and SPAR Distribution Business Wire (issued by Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd.) · 29 September 2023 Own record
    “Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd. (“SPARC”) today announced that the SEC has declared SPARC’s registration statement effective. SPARC will shortly be distributing special purpose acquisition rights (“SPARs”) at no cost to former securityholders of Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, Ltd. (“PSTH”).”
  2. Ackman Pulls NYSE Rule Change Proposal|SPACInsider SPACInsider · 28 April 2022
    “Pershing Square noted today that, “In view of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s recently proposed rule changes and policy guidance with respect to special purpose acquisition vehicles, we understand that the approval of the NYSE rule change as currently proposed would not likely have occurred at this time.””
  3. Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, Ltd. Will Redeem Its Public Shares and Will Not Consummate an Initial Business Combination Business Wire (PSTH press release page; sidebar item from Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd.) · 11 July 2022 Own record
    “Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd. (“SPARC”), an affiliate of Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, Ltd. (NYSE:PSTH), notes the withdrawal of the New York Stock Exchange’s proposed amendment to its listing rules that would have allowed SPARC warrants (“SPARs” or generically “subscription warrants”) to trade on the NYSE.1”

Reasoning

The promise depended on two conditions being met in 2022, and neither was. In April 2022 Pershing Square withdrew the proposed NYSE subscription-warrant listing rule, saying approval would likely not have come at that time (E2, confirmed by E3), so the rule was not approved in 2022. SPARC's own release says the SEC declared its registration statement effective only in late September 2023, when it announced it would shortly distribute SPARs to former PSTH securityholders (E1). Because the promise was never triggered in 2022 and the plan was not dropped, the criteria score this as mixed.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022.” (said 2022). Verdict: mixed. Reliability API, claim c_de4dd3c22bbd, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_de4dd3c22bbd

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.