Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

666 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 31 Jul 2022 The Pershing Square Foundation is not involved in this case but has supported organizations working to stop human trafficking and image-based abuse. Bill Ackman · Factual · 31 Jul 2022 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Nate Silver Promise 29 Jun 2022 Nate Silver's midterms forecast model will be published soon. Nate Silver · Promise · 29 Jun 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jim Cramer Factual 28 Jun 2022 On the 2022-06-28 Mad Money episode, Jim Cramer interviews Adam Selipsky, CEO of Amazon Web Services. Jim Cramer · Factual · 28 Jun 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 10 Jun 2022 MIRI tried and failed to find a coherent formula for an agent that would let itself be shut down without actively trying to get shut down. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 10 Jun 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 24 May 2022 About 20 years had passed since Microsoft launched Xbox, as of 2022. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 24 May 2022 Microsoft found that a direct connection to one's immediate manager was the biggest factor in effective onboarding. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Satya Nadella Factual 24 May 2022 Nadella spent most of his 32-year professional career in middle-management roles. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 24 May 2022 Microsoft drew on Carol Dweck's growth mindset work, which helped it move from 'know-it-alls' to 'learn-it-alls'. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Satya Nadella Factual 24 May 2022 Microsoft's Flight Simulator, a PC game predating Xbox, is as old as Microsoft. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 29 Apr 2022 Anthropic announced a new fundraising round on 2022-04-29. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Prediction 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity. GiveWell · Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time GiveWell Promise 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022. GiveWell · Promise · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 24 Mar 2022 Workrooms is a VR product Meta built for collaboration. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Mar 2022 Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Lydia Davis. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 14 Mar 2022 In February 2022 Scott Alexander suggested that Manifold Markets add a loan feature to boost investment in long-term markets. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 9 Mar 2022 Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Sam Bankman-Fried. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 9 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 4 Mar 2022 Daniela Amodei said Dario Amodei was getting a PhD in a technical field at the time and so was not working directly on the interest area she described, which she connected with her start in international development. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 4 Mar 2022 Stripe had about 40 people when Daniela Amodei joined. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 4 Mar 2022 Anthropic is currently focused on research and development rather than deployment of products for revenue. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 4 Mar 2022 Anthropic is hiring a lot of people as of March 2022. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 4 Mar 2022 Anthropic chose to incorporate as a public benefit corporation when it was founded. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Gary Marcus Factual Mar 2022 Gary Marcus's March 2022 article argued pure scaling would not solve hallucinations or abstraction and concluded there are serious holes in the scaling argument. Gary Marcus · Factual · Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual Mar 2022 In March 2022 Gary Marcus published an article arguing that deep learning is hitting a wall. Gary Marcus · Factual · Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Feb 2022 Tyler Cowen published a multi-part Conversation with Chuck Klosterman, longer than usual. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Feb 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 12 Feb 2022 TechCrunch interviewed Tyler Cowen about crypto. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 12 Feb 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Guidance 27 Jan 2022 Tesla expects growth in 2022 over 2021 comfortably above 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Elon Musk Promise 27 Jan 2022 Tesla will start delivering Texas-built Model Ys with structural battery pack and 4680 cells after final certification, which should be fairly soon. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Guidance 27 Jan 2022 If able to respond to demand, Tesla's energy business might grow by about 200% to 300% in 2022 rather than about 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Prediction 27 Jan 2022 Batteries will probably not be the limiting factor in Cybertruck production. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 27 Jan 2022 Tesla will not introduce new vehicle models in 2022. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Elon Musk Prediction 27 Jan 2022 Tesla's energy business will grow in 2022. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Members of Anthropic's founding group had previously done a lot of safety research together at different organizations. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 As of 2022 Anthropic pursues its mission primarily through generative model research and AI safety research. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 A few jobs before Anthropic, Daniela Amodei worked at the tech startup Stripe. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Daniela Amodei joined the startup Stripe when it had about 40 people. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Daniela Amodei joined Stripe when it was not much bigger than Anthropic is now. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Daniela Amodei began her career in international development. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual 2022 Pershing Square's limited activist short selling, two high-profile engagements, generated enormous media attention. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Stripe, when she worked there, operated in the highly regulated financial services space with many checks and balances on the company. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Anthropic trains large-scale generative models and does safety research on those models. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Promise 2022 If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022. Bill Ackman · Promise · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Anthropic was founded at the beginning of 2021 by a team of seven people who moved together from OpenAI. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 29 Dec 2021 Tyler Cowen sits on the advisory board of the University of Austin and has no governing role there. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 29 Dec 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 7 Dec 2021 Source Code covers Bill Gates's life from his childhood through the early days of Microsoft. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Dec 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual Nov 2021 The author's specialty is decision making under uncertainty, not theology. Nassim Taleb · Factual · Nov 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 The company just announced a fundamental change, including looking at and reporting on its business as two segments. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Facebook is one of the most used products in the history of the world. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 For the last seven years Meta's research team has worked on a broad array of technologies for next-generation platforms. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Zuckerberg studied Classics, and the word "meta" comes from the Greek word meaning "beyond". Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 The company formerly called Facebook, Inc. is now named Meta. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 When Zuckerberg started Facebook, people mostly typed text on websites. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Meta's mobile apps are free to use. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Facebook was born on a college campus and on the web. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Zuckerberg's original founder's letter said: "we don't build services to make money; we make money to build better services." Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Zuckerberg said that billions of people love the company's services and that hundreds of millions of businesses rely on its tools, and he linked this to its commerce tools being offered at cost or with modest fees. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 28 Oct 2021 Demis Hassabis gave the Kendrew lecture and visited the MRC Laboratory of Molecular Biology, and the talk has been posted online. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Vinod Khosla Factual 14 Oct 2021 Soon after an earlier point in time, a Lehman analyst predicted Amazon (AMZN) would go bankrupt. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 13 Oct 2021 Demis Hassabis was giving the John Kendrew lecture on AlphaFold at the MRC LMB at 2.30pm UK time on 13 October 2021. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 13 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 11 Oct 2021 Bezos said this was one of many stories telling Amazon all the ways it was going to fail. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 11 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 1 Oct 2021 After many failures and setbacks in gaming, Jeff Bezos says "we" have had a success, and he praises the team for its persistence. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 1 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Sam Altman Factual 30 Sep 2021 Sam Altman invested in TrialSpark, announced on 2021-09-30. Sam Altman · Factual · 30 Sep 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual 19 Aug 2021 The Sponsor Warrants restrict selling, hedging or transferring for three years after the initial business combination. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual 19 Aug 2021 As of August 2021, PSTH has about 11 months remaining to enter into a letter of intent for its initial business combination. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Promise 19 Aug 2021 PSTH shareholders will receive $20 per share in cash and one SPARC warrant per share owned, following the cash return. Bill Ackman · Promise · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 19 Aug 2021 Listing SPARC warrants on the NYSE requires an NYSE rule change subject to SEC approval, which is being pursued with the NYSE. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 19 Aug 2021 None of PSTH's directors nor its Sponsor has received or been promised any compensation of any kind. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Factual 19 Aug 2021 Had the UMG transaction closed, the Pershing Square Funds would have invested $1.6 billion in PSTH units on the same terms as IPO investors. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Prediction 19 Aug 2021 The Sponsor Warrants will likely be worthless if PSTH does not complete a high-quality transaction on favorable terms. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Ackman Prediction 19 Aug 2021 PSTH will secure SPARC's approval, giving a path to mitigate the harm the litigation causes shareholders and warrant holders. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Ackman Factual 19 Aug 2021 The SPARC warrants will remove the two-year "shot clock" for a sponsor to complete a transaction. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 22 Jul 2021 The AlphaFold work represents the culmination of five years of effort by the DeepMind AlphaFold team, including overcoming setbacks and developing new algorithmic innovations. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 22 Jul 2021 DeepMind's AlphaFold team worked for five years and closely with EMBL-EBI for the past few months to be able to share the AlphaFold resource. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Factual 20 Jul 2021 Jeff Bezos has stepped down as CEO of Amazon. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Jul 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nate Silver Factual 8 Jun 2021 The 2020 election forecasts by Nate Silver's team were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Ørsted Factual 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted has been named the world's most sustainable energy company three years in a row. Ørsted · Factual · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Ørsted Promise 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted announced on 2 June 2021, with immediate effect, a ban on landfilling of wind turbine blades. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 28 May 2021 Daniela Amodei said she and colleagues had been working during 2021 on Anthropic, which they announced on 2021-05-28. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 28 May 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 28 May 2021 Anthropic is an AI safety and research company. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 28 May 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Factual 15 Apr 2021 Amazon has more than 200 million Prime members worldwide. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 15 Apr 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Factual 15 Apr 2021 In 1997 Amazon had not yet invented Prime, Marketplace, Alexa or AWS. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 15 Apr 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Factual 15 Apr 2021 Amazon hired 500,000 employees in 2020 and now directly employs 1.3 million people worldwide. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 15 Apr 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 31 Mar 2021 Over 10,000 people are needed for Tesla's Giga Texas through 2022. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Promise 30 Mar 2021 Elon Musk is donating $20M to Cameron County schools and $10M to the City of Brownsville for downtown revitalization, with details to follow the next week. Elon Musk · Promise · 30 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 28 Mar 2021 SpaceX may fly a Starship on the afternoon of 29 March 2021. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Promise 25 Mar 2021 1729 will be a newsletter that pays subscribers, giving out at least $1,000 in Bitcoin prizes daily for completing tasks. Balaji Srinivasan · Promise · 25 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 22 Mar 2021 Ray Dalio has systemized his definition of a bubble into a "bubble indicator" that he monitors for each market. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Elon Musk Promise 6 Mar 2021 Tesla will add a "Download Beta" button for FSD Beta to the Service section of the car display in about 10 days from 6 March 2021. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Promise 6 Mar 2021 Tesla is doubling the FSD Beta program size with software version 8.2 and will probably expand it about tenfold with version 8.3. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 4 Mar 2021 Starship SN10 landed intact (as of 4 March 2021). Elon Musk · Factual · 4 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Elon Musk Promise 3 Mar 2021 SpaceX will attempt a Starship launch on 4 March 2021, with the window opening at 9am. Elon Musk · Promise · 3 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Elon Musk Factual 2 Mar 2021 The city of Starbase, Texas is being created (as of 2 March 2021). Elon Musk · Factual · 2 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 The NYT's original pitch was interest in how Scott Alexander warned early about the coronavirus pandemic and urged mask-wearing before it was standard advice. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 Scott Alexander said the NYT's characterisation was true only insofar as he once expressed agreement with an unrelated Charles Murray position: that telling poor people to learn to code is insufficient and a stable income is needed. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 In early 2020, Scott Alexander learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about him. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 Scott Alexander wrote a 30,000-word condemnation of one of the right-wing figures named in the article on his blog a few years ago. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 Scott Alexander has never personally been involved in the tech industry. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual Feb 2021 The Gates Foundation has worked with manufacturers and partners to deliver vaccines cheaply at large scale, including to 822 million children in low-income countries through Gavi. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual Feb 2021 COVID-19 was not the Gates Foundation's sole focus in 2020; it continued work across its other program areas. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual Feb 2021 The Gates Foundation's malaria team had to rethink bed net distribution because mass distribution events were no longer safe during the pandemic. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual Feb 2021 As of February 2021, the Gates Foundation had invested $1.75 billion in the fight against COVID-19. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
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Bill Ackman

Open its page

Promise Their own work or organisation

“If the subscription warrant listing rule is approved and SPARC’s registration statement is declared effective by the SEC, we intend to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders later this year.”

Bill Ackman, Pershing Square letter author 2022 Bill Ackman's Pershing Square 2021 Annual Letter to Shareholders (GuruFocus)

If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022.

Mixed Partly true and partly false in roughly equal measure.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

This is a conditional promise. First establish from SEC and NYSE records whether both conditions were met during 2022: the SEC approved the subscription warrant listing rule, and SPARC's registration statement was declared effective. If both were met in 2022: TRUE if SPARs were distributed to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders by 31 December 2022; MOSTLY FALSE if they were distributed only after 31 December 2022; FALSE if they were never distributed, or if Pershing Square announced it would not distribute them. If either condition was not met during 2022, the promise was never triggered and a non-distribution in 2022 does not break it. Score this case as MIXED, unless Pershing Square dropped the plan altogether despite the conditions later being met (FALSE).

Evidence

  1. Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd. Announces Launch and SPAR Distribution Business Wire (issued by Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd.) · 29 September 2023 Own record
    “Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd. (“SPARC”) today announced that the SEC has declared SPARC’s registration statement effective. SPARC will shortly be distributing special purpose acquisition rights (“SPARs”) at no cost to former securityholders of Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, Ltd. (“PSTH”).”
  2. Ackman Pulls NYSE Rule Change Proposal|SPACInsider SPACInsider · 28 April 2022
    “Pershing Square noted today that, “In view of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s recently proposed rule changes and policy guidance with respect to special purpose acquisition vehicles, we understand that the approval of the NYSE rule change as currently proposed would not likely have occurred at this time.””
  3. Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, Ltd. Will Redeem Its Public Shares and Will Not Consummate an Initial Business Combination Business Wire (PSTH press release page; sidebar item from Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd.) · 11 July 2022 Own record
    “Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, Ltd. (“SPARC”), an affiliate of Pershing Square Tontine Holdings, Ltd. (NYSE:PSTH), notes the withdrawal of the New York Stock Exchange’s proposed amendment to its listing rules that would have allowed SPARC warrants (“SPARs” or generically “subscription warrants”) to trade on the NYSE.1”

Reasoning

The promise depended on two conditions being met in 2022, and neither was. In April 2022 Pershing Square withdrew the proposed NYSE subscription-warrant listing rule, saying approval would likely not have come at that time (E2, confirmed by E3), so the rule was not approved in 2022. SPARC's own release says the SEC declared its registration statement effective only in late September 2023, when it announced it would shortly distribute SPARs to former PSTH securityholders (E1). Because the promise was never triggered in 2022 and the plan was not dropped, the criteria score this as mixed.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022.” (said 2022). Verdict: mixed. Reliability API, claim c_de4dd3c22bbd, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_de4dd3c22bbd

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.