Claims · Reliability API

28,548 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
Verdict	Person	Kind	Said	Claim	Topic
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Prediction	2007	Executive compensation reform will occur only if the largest institutional shareholders demand a fresh look at the whole system. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007	Economics and markets
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	GEICO spends far more on advertising than any of its competitors, including much larger ones. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	constructing complex mental imagery requires that a concept target a piece of existing mental imagery, which the concept then transforms. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Each ascending layer of the code-modality-concept-thought-deliberation model of the human mind is more elaborate, complex, flexible and computationally expensive. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Own records only	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	After reviewing the facts in the spring of 2006, Buffett and Ajit concluded that Equitas was likely to survive. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	The modern West has lost faith in itself. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	In the Enlightenment and post-Enlightenment period, this loss of faith liberated enormous commercial and creative forces. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Rather than fiveness, the AI would have formed the concept “things-it-takes-about-20-milliseconds-to-understand.” Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Bin Laden is a passionate man of wealth and power, so that his personal example reminds us of the boundary cases Locke so readily dismissed. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Intelligence in the human cognitive supersystem results from many cognitive processes taking place on multiple levels of organization. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Concepts can describe both environmental sensory experience and internally generated mental imagery. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Prediction	2007	Software-level parallelism, poorly handled by present-day languages, will likely be one of the greatest challenges in AI development. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 2007	AI capabilities
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	At the time of the 2007 letter, NetJets was operating profitably in Europe under Mark Booth's leadership, and the letter expected the positive trend to continue. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire agreed to pay all of Equitas's future claims and expenses up to $13.9 billion in exchange for $7.12 billion in cash and securities. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Evolution uses existing genetic complexity to build new genetic complexity but exhibits no foresight. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The short, snappy auditory tag “five” can stand in for the complexity bound up in the fiveness concept. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	For the purposes of this discussion, we are not speaking of the ability to understand numbers, arithmetic, or mathematics, only an AI’s… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Humans are not intelligent by virtue of being “supersystems,” but by virtue of being a particular supersystem which implements human… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	a human designer can use foresight to plan multiple new system components as part of a coordinated upgrade. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Prediction	2007	Buffett's thinking about the disposition of his Berkshire shares is very unlikely to change in a material way. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	The violence had failed to create a new unity. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Copycat has a direct procedural implementation of number sense and does not use mapping constructs to build numerical concepts. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Each option would have a diﬀerent configuration; the AI would choose one of the four options based on its current hypothesis about the… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	America’s antiquated military was not suited to fight such an enemy Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Locke’s argument proceeds in an understated manner; he does not wish to inflame passions by taking sides in the contentious debates of the… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The mental image of a triangular light bulb would intuitively appear to result from imposing "triangular" on the "light bulb" concept. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The lesson I would learn out from this morality tale of color constancy is that sensory modalities are about invariants and not just… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	we no longer believe in the existence of a Gott mit uns in heaven. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The idea of 'pure' abstract reasoning has historically given rise to pathologies in AI research. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	A concept with internal structure or procedural structure, created by the AI’s own thought processes in response to experience, is mutable… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	we go away suspicious that the reporting company wished it that way. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	I have been the Typhoid Mary of compensation committees. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Own records only	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Taxes had nothing to do with Buffett's decision to give away his Berkshire shares or its timing. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Possession of the category “five” does not even imply the possession of the categories “four” or “six,” much less the formulation of the… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The target matter of Artificial Intelligence is not the surface variation that makes one human slightly smarter than another human, but… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	a design based only on consensus contemporary theory might omit feature controllers! Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	The Islamic side retains a strong religious and political conception of reality; Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Nevertheless, we will be seeking to purchase additional brokerage operations. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	There can be no worldwide political entity, but there is a possibility of a worldwide abandonment of politics. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	He will receive this bonanza even though an index fund might have returned Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Maybe it was a good thing for his investors that Walter didn’t go to college. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Mostly true	Warren Buffett	Prediction	2007	Unrelenting pressures will cause the Buffalo News's profit margins to slide. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	There is no better recipe for continued success. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	A real AI would be the ultimate general solution because it would encapsulate the cognitive processes that human programmers use to write… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	But the world has not yet come to an end, and there is no easy telling how long the twilight of the modern age will endure. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	are emergent from the underlying representation of concepts Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Own records only	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire issues no incentive payoffs to CEOs that are unrelated to the business performance they control. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Prediction	2007	The math of the 2-and-20 fee arrangement is certain to make investors poorer over time than they would have been without it. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	This would be a Pyrrhic victory, for it would come at the price of doing away with everything that fundamentally distinguishes the modern… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	On the level of the individual, even at the end there will still remain a choice of sorts between Jerusalem and Athens. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Prediction	2007	Buffett said he believed that at some point in the future U.S. workers and voters would find the annual "tribute" paid abroad so onerous that there would be a severe political backlash. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	The question of human nature was abandoned because it is too perilous a question to debate. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The regularities in an “expert system for arithmetic” would be real, noticeable by simple and computationally feasible means, and could be… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Feature controller layers in the brain are not a separate system independent from the feature detector layers. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The concrete theory presented in Section 2 goes under the name of “deliberative general intelligence” (DGI). Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I believe that the search for a single essence of intelligence lies at the center of AI’s previous failures. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Jack was a long-time friend of mine and an excellent, but somewhat eccentric, businessman. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I suspect it will usually be best to separate out a less expensive cueing mechanism as the background process Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	contribute as much or more to our society’s well-being. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Own records only	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire has three outstanding candidates to replace Buffett as CEO, as he has previously told shareholders. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	That murder is the secret origin of all religious and political institutions, and is remembered and transfigured in the form of myth. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Clearly we own some terrific businesses. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	to solve all three problems simultaneously constitutes the fundamental challenge of building a system that learns complexity in… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Mostly true	Peter Thiel	Factual	2007	In René Girard's theory, knowledge of the founding murder is driven by the historical working of the Judeo-Western revelation. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	The successful popularization of such knowledge would be the only thing to fear Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	In helping to craft the post-World War II centrist economic policy consensus, the Rockefellers had forgotten their own family history. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Unresolvable	Warren Buffett	Promise	2007	Berkshire will again hold a reception at 4 p.m. on Saturday afternoon of the 2007 annual meeting weekend for shareholders who have come from outside North America. Warren Buffett · Promise · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	If all the LISP tokens in a semantic net were given random new names, there would be no way to deduce whether G0025 formerly meant… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Nevertheless, certain themes emerge and recur—the question of the city and humanity, the issues of founding and origins, and the relation… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	A semantic net not only lacks richness, it lacks the capacity to represent richness. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Yudkowsky wrote that Lenat tried self-optimizing heuristics (Eurisko), which failed to yield intelligence, and then moved on to Cyc. He framed this as a way of understanding the field's behaviour if one postulates that Eurisko was treated as a failed hypothesis. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	there is very little value in the state of nature, and most value has been added by human work or intellect. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Warren Buffett	Factual	2007	Berkshire's non-insurance earnings increased 38% in 2006. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007	Their own work or organisation
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I believe that the most important skill an AI developer can have is knowing what not to program. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Mixed	Peter Thiel	Factual	2007	The original expropriation of oil built as many as half of the greatest fortunes of the twentieth century. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007	Economics and markets
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	this cognitive superprocess will hereafter be referred to as deliberation. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	The slowdown in residential real estate activity stems in part from the weakened lending practices of recent years. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Schmitt’s solution to this impending defeat demands an affirmation of the political in the West. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	I fervently believe in real trade – the more the better for both us and the world. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Human cognition may be massively parallel at lower levels, but the overall flow of cognition is serial. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	Science and research methods
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	but that is no excuse for ignoring concept-concept relations in a new theory. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Isolation means that if a concept, or a piece of knowledge, is handed to the AI on a silver platter, the AI may be isolated from the things… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	The correspondence happens on the level where 13 is the structure 00001101, not on the level where it is the number thirteen. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	the possession or creation of this knob is the most interesting part of the process, not the selection of one knob from many. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Ever hopeful, Charlie and I soldier on. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	We already know what the ultimate bottom layer of an Artificial Intelligence looks like; it looks like ones and zeroes. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	However, the new science of humanity must drive the idea of imitation, or mimesis, much further than it has in the past. Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	The Copycat researchers explicitly noted that concept formation was not being studied. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	One of these concepts, the one-to-one correspondence between two mental images, is not just a useful oﬀspring of the “fiveness” concept… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Even if the thought experiment is basically correct, and the woes described would result from an attempt to capture a high-level… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Sandberg's quantity S is greater than 1 even within a single-processor computer system. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI compute, hardware and data
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	These managerial attributes sometimes wane as institutions – particularly those that are exempt from market forces – age. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not researched	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Factual	2007	Humans have slow but hugely parallel computation, while AIs have fast but resource-poor computation. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 2007	AI capabilities
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Because these founding myths also served the critical role of distinguishing between legitimate and illegitimate violence, their unraveling… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Warren Buffett	Not checkable	2007	Rather than opening their minds, they closed their eyes. Warren Buffett · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Peter Thiel	Not checkable	2007	Most new wealth will be created by the strong enforcement of property rights going forward and will be enjoyed by those who play by the… Peter Thiel · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Physics envy in AI is the search for a single, simple underlying process, with the expectation that this one discovery will lay bare all… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Mostly true	Peter Thiel	Factual	2007	Thomas Hobbes boasted of having deserted and run away from fighting in a religious war. Peter Thiel · Factual · 2007	Philosophy, ethics and society
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	I would argue that the decomposable concept is superior to a modality-level feature detector. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007
Not checkable	Eliezer Yudkowsky	Not checkable	2007	Opacity refers to the potential inability of an AI’s subsystems to modify content that originated outside the AI. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Not checkable · 2007

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Eliezer Yudkowsky

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“The target matter of Artificial Intelligence is not the surface variation that makes one human slightly smarter than another human, but rather the vast store of complexity that separates a human from an amoeba.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky 2007 Levels of Organization in General Intelligence (MIRI)

The target matter of Artificial Intelligence is not the surface variation that makes one human slightly smarter than another human, but…

Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “The target matter of Artificial Intelligence is not the surface variation that makes one human slightly smarter than another human, but…” (said 2007). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_dca49eda6f7a, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dca49eda6f7a

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.