666 claims · page 4 of 7
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixed | Bill Ackman | Factual | 31 Jul 2022 | The Pershing Square Foundation is not involved in this case but has supported organizations working to stop human trafficking and image-based abuse. Bill Ackman · Factual · 31 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Nate Silver | Promise | 29 Jun 2022 | Nate Silver's midterms forecast model will be published soon. Nate Silver · Promise · 29 Jun 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jim Cramer | Factual | 28 Jun 2022 | On the 2022-06-28 Mad Money episode, Jim Cramer interviews Adam Selipsky, CEO of Amazon Web Services. Jim Cramer · Factual · 28 Jun 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 10 Jun 2022 | MIRI tried and failed to find a coherent formula for an agent that would let itself be shut down without actively trying to get shut down. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 10 Jun 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | About 20 years had passed since Microsoft launched Xbox, as of 2022. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft found that a direct connection to one's immediate manager was the biggest factor in effective onboarding. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Nadella spent most of his 32-year professional career in middle-management roles. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft drew on Carol Dweck's growth mindset work, which helped it move from 'know-it-alls' to 'learn-it-alls'. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft's Flight Simulator, a PC game predating Xbox, is as old as Microsoft. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 29 Apr 2022 | Anthropic announced a new fundraising round on 2022-04-29. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Prediction | 6 Apr 2022 | GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity. GiveWell · Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | GiveWell | Promise | 6 Apr 2022 | GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022. GiveWell · Promise · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Workrooms is a VR product Meta built for collaboration. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Mar 2022 | Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Lydia Davis. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Mar 2022 | In February 2022 Scott Alexander suggested that Manifold Markets add a loan feature to boost investment in long-term markets. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 9 Mar 2022 | Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Sam Bankman-Fried. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 9 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Mar 2022 | Daniela Amodei said Dario Amodei was getting a PhD in a technical field at the time and so was not working directly on the interest area she described, which she connected with her start in international development. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Mar 2022 | Stripe had about 40 people when Daniela Amodei joined. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Mar 2022 | Anthropic is currently focused on research and development rather than deployment of products for revenue. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Mar 2022 | Anthropic is hiring a lot of people as of March 2022. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 4 Mar 2022 | Anthropic chose to incorporate as a public benefit corporation when it was founded. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 4 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | Mar 2022 | Gary Marcus's March 2022 article argued pure scaling would not solve hallucinations or abstraction and concluded there are serious holes in the scaling argument. Gary Marcus · Factual · Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | Mar 2022 | In March 2022 Gary Marcus published an article arguing that deep learning is hitting a wall. Gary Marcus · Factual · Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Feb 2022 | Tyler Cowen published a multi-part Conversation with Chuck Klosterman, longer than usual. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Feb 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 12 Feb 2022 | TechCrunch interviewed Tyler Cowen about crypto. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 12 Feb 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Guidance | 27 Jan 2022 | Tesla expects growth in 2022 over 2021 comfortably above 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2022 | Tesla will start delivering Texas-built Model Ys with structural battery pack and 4680 cells after final certification, which should be fairly soon. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Guidance | 27 Jan 2022 | If able to respond to demand, Tesla's energy business might grow by about 200% to 300% in 2022 rather than about 50%. Elon Musk · Guidance · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2022 | Batteries will probably not be the limiting factor in Cybertruck production. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 27 Jan 2022 | Tesla will not introduce new vehicle models in 2022. Elon Musk · Promise · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 27 Jan 2022 | Tesla's energy business will grow in 2022. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Members of Anthropic's founding group had previously done a lot of safety research together at different organizations. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | As of 2022 Anthropic pursues its mission primarily through generative model research and AI safety research. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | A few jobs before Anthropic, Daniela Amodei worked at the tech startup Stripe. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Daniela Amodei joined the startup Stripe when it had about 40 people. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Daniela Amodei joined Stripe when it was not much bigger than Anthropic is now. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Daniela Amodei began her career in international development. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 2022 | Pershing Square's limited activist short selling, two high-profile engagements, generated enormous media attention. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Stripe, when she worked there, operated in the highly regulated financial services space with many checks and balances on the company. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Anthropic trains large-scale generative models and does safety research on those models. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Bill Ackman | Promise | 2022 | If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022. Bill Ackman · Promise · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 2022 | Anthropic was founded at the beginning of 2021 by a team of seven people who moved together from OpenAI. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 29 Dec 2021 | Tyler Cowen sits on the advisory board of the University of Austin and has no governing role there. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 29 Dec 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Gates | Factual | 7 Dec 2021 | Source Code covers Bill Gates's life from his childhood through the early days of Microsoft. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Dec 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | Nov 2021 | The author's specialty is decision making under uncertainty, not theology. Nassim Taleb · Factual · Nov 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | The company just announced a fundamental change, including looking at and reporting on its business as two segments. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Facebook is one of the most used products in the history of the world. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | For the last seven years Meta's research team has worked on a broad array of technologies for next-generation platforms. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg studied Classics, and the word "meta" comes from the Greek word meaning "beyond". Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | The company formerly called Facebook, Inc. is now named Meta. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | When Zuckerberg started Facebook, people mostly typed text on websites. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Meta's mobile apps are free to use. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Facebook was born on a college campus and on the web. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg's original founder's letter said: "we don't build services to make money; we make money to build better services." Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Zuckerberg said that billions of people love the company's services and that hundreds of millions of businesses rely on its tools, and he linked this to its commerce tools being offered at cost or with modest fees. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 28 Oct 2021 | Demis Hassabis gave the Kendrew lecture and visited the MRC Laboratory of Molecular Biology, and the talk has been posted online. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 14 Oct 2021 | Soon after an earlier point in time, a Lehman analyst predicted Amazon (AMZN) would go bankrupt. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 14 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 13 Oct 2021 | Demis Hassabis was giving the John Kendrew lecture on AlphaFold at the MRC LMB at 2.30pm UK time on 13 October 2021. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 13 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 11 Oct 2021 | Bezos said this was one of many stories telling Amazon all the ways it was going to fail. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 11 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 1 Oct 2021 | After many failures and setbacks in gaming, Jeff Bezos says "we" have had a success, and he praises the team for its persistence. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 1 Oct 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 30 Sep 2021 | Sam Altman invested in TrialSpark, announced on 2021-09-30. Sam Altman · Factual · 30 Sep 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The Sponsor Warrants restrict selling, hedging or transferring for three years after the initial business combination. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | As of August 2021, PSTH has about 11 months remaining to enter into a letter of intent for its initial business combination. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Bill Ackman | Promise | 19 Aug 2021 | PSTH shareholders will receive $20 per share in cash and one SPARC warrant per share owned, following the cash return. Bill Ackman · Promise · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | Listing SPARC warrants on the NYSE requires an NYSE rule change subject to SEC approval, which is being pursued with the NYSE. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | None of PSTH's directors nor its Sponsor has received or been promised any compensation of any kind. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | Had the UMG transaction closed, the Pershing Square Funds would have invested $1.6 billion in PSTH units on the same terms as IPO investors. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | The Sponsor Warrants will likely be worthless if PSTH does not complete a high-quality transaction on favorable terms. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Prediction | 19 Aug 2021 | PSTH will secure SPARC's approval, giving a path to mitigate the harm the litigation causes shareholders and warrant holders. Bill Ackman · Prediction · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 19 Aug 2021 | The SPARC warrants will remove the two-year "shot clock" for a sponsor to complete a transaction. Bill Ackman · Factual · 19 Aug 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | The AlphaFold work represents the culmination of five years of effort by the DeepMind AlphaFold team, including overcoming setbacks and developing new algorithmic innovations. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 22 Jul 2021 | DeepMind's AlphaFold team worked for five years and closely with EMBL-EBI for the past few months to be able to share the AlphaFold resource. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 22 Jul 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 20 Jul 2021 | Jeff Bezos has stepped down as CEO of Amazon. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 20 Jul 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Nate Silver | Factual | 8 Jun 2021 | The 2020 election forecasts by Nate Silver's team were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Jun 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Ørsted | Factual | 2 Jun 2021 | Ørsted has been named the world's most sustainable energy company three years in a row. Ørsted · Factual · 2 Jun 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ørsted | Promise | 2 Jun 2021 | Ørsted announced on 2 June 2021, with immediate effect, a ban on landfilling of wind turbine blades. Ørsted · Promise · 2 Jun 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 28 May 2021 | Daniela Amodei said she and colleagues had been working during 2021 on Anthropic, which they announced on 2021-05-28. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 28 May 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 28 May 2021 | Anthropic is an AI safety and research company. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 28 May 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 15 Apr 2021 | Amazon has more than 200 million Prime members worldwide. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 15 Apr 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 15 Apr 2021 | In 1997 Amazon had not yet invented Prime, Marketplace, Alexa or AWS. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 15 Apr 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 15 Apr 2021 | Amazon hired 500,000 employees in 2020 and now directly employs 1.3 million people worldwide. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 15 Apr 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 31 Mar 2021 | Over 10,000 people are needed for Tesla's Giga Texas through 2022. Elon Musk · Factual · 31 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Elon Musk | Promise | 30 Mar 2021 | Elon Musk is donating $20M to Cameron County schools and $10M to the City of Brownsville for downtown revitalization, with details to follow the next week. Elon Musk · Promise · 30 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 28 Mar 2021 | SpaceX may fly a Starship on the afternoon of 29 March 2021. Elon Musk · Promise · 28 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Promise | 25 Mar 2021 | 1729 will be a newsletter that pays subscribers, giving out at least $1,000 in Bitcoin prizes daily for completing tasks. Balaji Srinivasan · Promise · 25 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Mar 2021 | Ray Dalio has systemized his definition of a bubble into a "bubble indicator" that he monitors for each market. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 6 Mar 2021 | Tesla will add a "Download Beta" button for FSD Beta to the Service section of the car display in about 10 days from 6 March 2021. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Elon Musk | Promise | 6 Mar 2021 | Tesla is doubling the FSD Beta program size with software version 8.2 and will probably expand it about tenfold with version 8.3. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 4 Mar 2021 | Starship SN10 landed intact (as of 4 March 2021). Elon Musk · Factual · 4 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Elon Musk | Promise | 3 Mar 2021 | SpaceX will attempt a Starship launch on 4 March 2021, with the window opening at 9am. Elon Musk · Promise · 3 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 2 Mar 2021 | The city of Starbase, Texas is being created (as of 2 March 2021). Elon Musk · Factual · 2 Mar 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Feb 2021 | The NYT's original pitch was interest in how Scott Alexander warned early about the coronavirus pandemic and urged mask-wearing before it was standard advice. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Feb 2021 | Scott Alexander said the NYT's characterisation was true only insofar as he once expressed agreement with an unrelated Charles Murray position: that telling poor people to learn to code is insufficient and a stable income is needed. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Feb 2021 | In early 2020, Scott Alexander learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about him. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Feb 2021 | Scott Alexander wrote a 30,000-word condemnation of one of the right-wing figures named in the article on his blog a few years ago. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Feb 2021 | Scott Alexander has never personally been involved in the tech industry. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | Feb 2021 | The Gates Foundation has worked with manufacturers and partners to deliver vaccines cheaply at large scale, including to 822 million children in low-income countries through Gavi. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | Feb 2021 | COVID-19 was not the Gates Foundation's sole focus in 2020; it continued work across its other program areas. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Gates | Factual | Feb 2021 | The Gates Foundation's malaria team had to rethink bed net distribution because mass distribution events were no longer safe during the pandemic. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Bill Gates | Factual | Feb 2021 | As of February 2021, the Gates Foundation had invested $1.75 billion in the fight against COVID-19. Bill Gates · Factual · Feb 2021 | Their own work or organisation |
“Creating the city of Starbase, Texas”
Elon Musk, posting on X 2 March 2021 Post by @elonmusk on X, 2021-03-02 (X)
The city of Starbase, Texas is being created (as of 2 March 2021).
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
What would count as true or false
Factual claim judged as of 2 March 2021: a city of Starbase, Texas was being created, meaning concrete steps toward forming such a municipality were under way. True: by around that date, SpaceX or Musk had taken concrete steps toward municipal incorporation, such as contacting Cameron County or Texas officials about incorporating, or filing a petition. Mostly true: concrete steps existed but were at a very early or informal stage, such as initial outreach to officials only. Mixed: the effort amounted to branding and planning with limited official action. Mostly false: as of the date the 'city' was only an aspiration or rebranding, with no steps toward incorporation. False: the evidence shows no effort to create a city existed, or that the claim was a joke with no basis. Incorporation later on (e.g. in 2025) does not by itself make the 2021 claim true. It is relevant only as evidence of steps already under way in 2021.
Evidence
- Elon Musk seeks to create the city of Starbase in South Texas Houston Chronicle · 2 March 2021
“County Judge Eddie Treviño Jr. confirmed the news, saying Cameron County had been officially approached by SpaceX over the past few days.”
- Elon Musk seeks to create the city of Starbase in South Texas Houston Chronicle · 2 March 2021
“If SpaceX and Elon Musk would like to pursue down this path, they must abide by all state incorporation statutes,”
- Starbase, Texas - Wikipedia Wikipedia
“In March 2021, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk announced plans to incorporate a new city to be called Starbase in the area.”
- City of Starbase Incorporation election - Wikipedia Wikipedia · 22 April 2025
“In December 2024, SpaceX sent a letter to county judge Eddie Treviño Jr., containing an incorporation petition signed by area residents;”
Reasoning
The Houston Chronicle reported on 2 March 2021 that Cameron County Judge Eddie Treviño Jr. confirmed SpaceX had officially approached the county in the preceding few days (E1). He also said any effort would have to follow state incorporation statutes (E2). This shows concrete outreach to officials toward incorporation was under way. However, the evidence shows nothing beyond that initial contact, such as a petition. The evidence records an incorporation petition sent in December 2024 (E4), and none of the items reports a petition in 2021; the 2021 step on record is SpaceX's approach to Cameron County (E1), which fits the criteria's "very early or informal stage" tier.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “The city of Starbase, Texas is being created (as of 2 March 2021).” (said 2 March 2021). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_d82fbbd4cf66, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d82fbbd4cf66
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.