28,548 claims · page 28 of 286
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I think it’s gone great. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | The human body cannot survive very well on other planets, other moons, or in outer space. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | because I don’t think birth subsidies have been effective. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The nonprofit sector will have fake jobs for a very long time to come, and probably many more of them. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I think we’re better off if those countries develop more. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | People just don’t like change that much. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Wealth will not be held only by a small group; there will be a lot of wealth for everyone, though the small group will be much wealthier. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | But technological progress means you trade in one set of problems for another. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I don’t feel my advice is that influential. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | So I think the norm is that new technology comes and people are tricked. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I’m not at all pessimistic on the job front. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I’m very struck by this recent conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which is a nothing burger, but I think people are making a mistake… Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Vinod Khosla | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | AI will free us to be more human, in my view. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Frankly, I’m not worried about the inverted pyramid per se. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Vinod Khosla | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | People will still work on the things they want to work on, not because they need to work. Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The supply of people wanting to immigrate to the US will dry up, due to lower birth rates elsewhere and improving source countries. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | But at the end of the day, I think myopia still will rule. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Whatever predicts political violence, I don’t think it’s hard times, per se. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Most Americans outside border areas do not feel they are losing their country, even if they think immigration is too high. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly false | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | India and Africa would probably be the next waves. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Not checkable | Bill Ackman | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | A must listen on Iran, an IRGC’s daughter’s perspective. Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Yeah, there’s too many nuclear weapons out there, for one thing. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | And fewer people are worse than more people: it’s less innovative, right? Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Africa has and will have a lot of talent, but the US has a history of race relations or that might be a complicated decision. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Vinod Khosla | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | The room for creativity is very, very large, but we are drilled into a narrow vision of what we are supposed to do, and I think that’s the… Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | And older voters, I think they’re in a way more cynical and less ideological. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Because of AI, people will not even need an engineering degree, except for those whose passion is learning. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Cowen said he was worried a bit about the inverted population pyramid, but thinks AI will provide enough of a productivity boost that it "won't bankrupt us." Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Mainly what they have done is tricked people. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Vinod Khosla | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | It is unlikely that a 5-year-old today will need to look for a job as an adult. Vinod Khosla · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | World War two is very decisively settled. That’s quite rare in history. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | My greatest concern is simply this: even if all the effects are positive, when you introduce big changes into a world that is used to… Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Bill Ackman | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | It helps us to understand what we are fighting for and what we are fighting against. Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Mixed | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Hungary's birth subsidies boosted its birth rate for a while, before it fell back. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Things will be pushed through for somewhat myopic reasons, such as the need to outpace China (which might even be true), and that will be the selling point. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | AIs will build their own institutions rather than a new UN or Bretton Woods. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Hungary spent up to 5% of its GDP on birth subsidies. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The US will keep increasing its healthcare spending. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | For the US, immigration has gone better because we can attract more high-quality immigrants whenever we want to. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I don’t see why voters would want that. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | The Apollo program was a big trick. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | And now there are many 80-year-olds who are more dynamic than a typical 60-year-old might have been, say, in 1972. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Well, they’re selfish! Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | The US will remain a nation of immigrants. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Not checkable | Bill Ackman | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Harsh, but accurate. Bill Ackman · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | mostly they were a wreck. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | So the older voters have extreme power now. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I agree with that reason. I’m just not sure it will change practical life that much. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | But there’s scarcity for a long, long time to come. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I have a messy job, by the way. I’ll be fine. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | They’re not actually going to be happy at all the changes that will bring. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Well, higher education is the easiest example. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | I’m sure it’s super wasteful and full of political rant seeking, but at the end of the day, there’s some modest value in it. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Vinod Khosla | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | The abundance of goods and services will be very, very large. Prices will be very, very low, Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Vinod Khosla | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | What happens when all labor is free? Vinod Khosla · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | Solved is never quite the word. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a literary Conversations with Tyler episode with Henry Oliver, published by 2026-03-04. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Cowen said he can readily imagine that within 50 years most diseases will have been beaten back and everyone will die of old age or accidents. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | Future conflicts will be more like World War One than World War Two. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | Other global risks |
| Unresolvable | Tyler Cowen | Prediction | 4 Mar 2026 | In programming, AI will win out and do most of the work, with humans possibly working alongside it. Tyler Cowen · Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Not checkable | Tyler Cowen | Not checkable | 4 Mar 2026 | And I think ultimately, it’s easier to patch up people’s bodies than their minds because the brain is so complex. Tyler Cowen · Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Michael Burry | Factual | 3 Mar 2026 | As of March 2026, Michael Burry had not directly tackled the overvaluation of the market itself in his writing. Michael Burry · Factual · 3 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we're committed to standing up to-- you know, actions that we think are not in line with the values of this country. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | We're not doing it, you know, for the sake of Pentagon officials. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | We are trying to do whatever we can to support U.S. national security. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | Amodei said that, for their part, they have two red lines and have had them from day one. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we're still trying to reach a deal with them. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we haven't had that conversation yet. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we are patriots. In everything we have done here, we have stood up for the values of this country. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Own records only | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | To Anthropic's knowledge, no one in the field has run into the limits of its two usage exceptions. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we've been studiously evenhanded. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic has been the most forward-leaning of all AI companies in working with the U.S. government and military. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | A supply chain risk designation has never before been applied to an American company. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | We are willing to provide our models to all branches of the government, including the Department of War, the intelligence community, Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | As of the interview, Anthropic had received only a tweet and no formal supply chain designation or government action. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | The Pentagon gave Anthropic an ultimatum to agree to its terms within three days or be designated a supply chain risk. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | the judicial interpretation of the Fourth Amendment has not caught up. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Unresolvable | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic was the first AI company to put its models on the classified cloud. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | It's not about any particular person. It's not about any particular administration. It's about the principle of standing up for what's… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we'll do everything we can to support the Department of War to provide its technology for as long as it takes to off-board us Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | it's very hard to interpret this in any way other than punitive. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | We are still-- you know, we are still advocating for those red lines. We're not gonna move on those red lines. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | The amount of computation going into AI models doubles every four months. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Not researched | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | The law does not say that any company with a military contract can't do business with Anthropic at all, and Anthropic issued a statement pointing to the law. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | If we can get to the point with the department where, you know, where, you know, we can see things the same way, then perhaps there could… Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic will be fine, and the impact of the supply chain risk designation on it will be fairly small. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | Domestic mass surveillance does not help the U.S. catch up with its adversaries. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | We can choose to sell or not sell whatever we want. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | Our model has a personality. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | I believe we have to defend our country from autocratic adversaries like China and like Russia. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | the AI systems of today are nowhere near reliable enough to make fully autonomous weapons. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | it didn't actually concede in any meaningful way. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | I actually agree that in the long run, we need to have a democratic conversation. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | We simply believe that the reliability is not there yet, and that we need to have a conversation about oversight. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | The red lines we have drawn we drew because we-- we-- we-- we believe that crossing those red lines is-- is contrary to American values. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | there's a basic unpredictability to them that in a purely technical way we have not solved. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Not checkable | Dario Amodei | Not checkable | 28 Feb 2026 | we're committed to trying to find a deal. Dario Amodei · Not checkable · 28 Feb 2026 | |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Promise | 28 Feb 2026 | If Anthropic receives formal government action on the designation, it will review it and challenge it in court. Dario Amodei · Promise · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | It is not illegal for the government to buy data collected by private firms and analyze it in mass with AI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
“And now there are many 80-year-olds who are more dynamic than a typical 60-year-old might have been, say, in 1972.”
Tyler Cowen 4 March 2026 Forecast 2050 - Tyler Cowen Transcript (Finn Murphy Substack)
And now there are many 80-year-olds who are more dynamic than a typical 60-year-old might have been, say, in 1972.
Not checkable An opinion, value judgement or statement with nothing to check.
Cite this claim
Tyler Cowen, “And now there are many 80-year-olds who are more dynamic than a typical 60-year-old might have been, say, in 1972.” (said 4 March 2026). Verdict: not checkable. Reliability API, claim c_c76d3dcdba3c, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c76d3dcdba3c
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.